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比特币 (BTC) 价格预测:BTC 价格形成头肩形态,预计 9.1 万美元为双顶,看跌背离形态

2025/01/23 14:44

周三,比特币 (BTC) 价格以黑色 Marubozu 烛台收盘后,显然看跌前景正在逐渐抬头。

比特币 (BTC) 价格预测:BTC 价格形成头肩形态,预计 9.1 万美元为双顶,看跌背离形态

Bitcoin (BTC) price encountered a crucial resistance range between $107k and $109k during Wednesday's trading session, forming a short-term reversal pattern after closing the day in a black Marubozu candlestick. This development suggests that the bearish outlook is gradually gaining ground.

比特币 (BTC) 价格在周三交易时段遇到了 107,000 美元至 109,000 美元之间的关键阻力区间,在当天以黑色 Marubozu 烛台收盘后形成了短期反转形态。这一事态发展表明,看跌前景正在逐渐抬头。

Four-Hour Time Frame Analysis

四小时时间框架分析

Within the four-hour time frame, Bitcoin price is forming a potential head and shoulders (H&S) pattern. This bearish formation is further supported by a falling divergence of the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

在四个小时的时间范围内,比特币价格正在形成潜在的头肩(H&S)形态。相对强弱指数(RSI)的背离下降进一步支撑了这种看跌形态。

If the short-term bearish sentiment continues, Bitcoin price will find a solid support range between $101k and $99.5k. This zone has previously acted as a strong support area during the coin's uptrend.

如果短期看跌情绪持续,比特币价格将在 10.1 万美元至 9.95 万美元之间找到坚实的支撑区间。该区域此前曾在代币上涨趋势中充当强大的支撑区域。

Daily Time Frame Analysis

每日时间框架分析

Shifting to the daily time frame, a potential macro reversal pattern has been forming since early December 2024. This pattern resembles a double top and is accompanied by bearish divergence.

转向每日时间框架,自 2024 年 12 月初以来,潜在的宏观反转模式已经形成。该模式类似于双顶,并伴随着看跌背离。

If this macro bearish outlook materializes, Bitcoin price could drop to the lower border of a horizontal channel around $91k. This level has been identified as a crucial support area in the past.

如果这种宏观看跌前景成为现实,比特币价格可能会跌至 9.1 万美元左右的水平通道下限。该水平过去已被确定为关键支撑区域。

Bitcoin price has been rising within an ascending channel since December 2023, reaching a high of $116k on January 4, 2025. However, the coin faced strong resistance at the upper border of the channel and has since been consolidating.

自 2023 年 12 月以来,比特币价格一直在上升通道内上涨,并于 2025 年 1 月 4 日达到 11.6 万美元的高点。然而,比特币在通道上边界面临强大阻力,此后一直在盘整。

After forming a morning star candlestick pattern at the lower border of the channel, Bitcoin price rebounded slightly, encountering another wave of selling pressure around $108k.

在通道下缘形成晨星烛台形态后,比特币价格小幅反弹,在 108k 美元附近遭遇另一波抛售压力。

Four-Hour Time Frame Analysis

四小时时间框架分析

On the four-hour time frame, Bitcoin price is forming a potential head and shoulders (H&S) pattern. This bearish formation is further highlighted by a falling divergence of the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

在四个小时的时间范围内,比特币价格正在形成潜在的头肩(H&S)形态。相对强弱指数(RSI)的背离下降进一步凸显了这种看跌形态。

If the short-term bearish momentum continues, Bitcoin price will find a solid support range between $101k and $99.5k. This zone has previously acted as a strong support area during the coin's uptrend.

如果短期看跌势头持续,比特币价格将在 10.1 万美元至 9.95 万美元之间找到坚实的支撑区间。该区域此前曾在代币上涨趋势中充当强大的支撑区域。

Daily Time Frame Analysis

每日时间框架分析

In the daily time frame, a potential macro reversal pattern has been forming since early December 2024. This pattern can be described as a double top and is accompanied by bearish divergence.

从日线图来看,自2024年12月上旬以来,潜在的宏观反转模式已经形成。这种模式可以被描述为双顶,并伴随着看跌背离。

If this macro bearish outlook materializes, Bitcoin price could drop to the lower border of a horizontal channel around $91k. This level has been identified as a crucial support area in the past.

如果这种宏观看跌前景成为现实,比特币价格可能会跌至 9.1 万美元左右的水平通道下限。该水平过去已被确定为关键支撑区域。

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