比特币 (BTC) 价格预测，因为 BTC 在美国债务上限截止日期之前下跌

比特币 (BTC) 价格全天基本保持区间波动，在看跌压力推动价格逼近 90,000 美元之前，维持在 93,000 美元上方的支撑位

Bitcoin price remained largely range-bound on Friday, maintaining support above $93,000 before bearish pressure drove the price closer to $90,000 during the late trading hours.

周五比特币价格基本维持区间波动，维持在 93,000 美元上方的支撑位，随后看跌压力推动价格在尾盘逼近 90,000 美元。

The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading at $91,863.90 at the time of writing, down over 2% on the day.

截至撰写本文时，全球最大的加密货币交易价格为 91,863.90 美元，当日下跌超过 2%。

However, BTC managed to post a 3.2% gain over the past week.

然而，BTC 在过去一周上涨了 3.2%。

The border cryptocurrency market remained in a downward trajectory as bearish sentiment prevailed.

由于看跌情绪盛行，边境加密货币市场仍处于下行轨道。

The overall cryptocurrency market capitalisation dropped 4.3% in the past 24 hours to $3.36 trillion as of press time.

截至发稿，加密货币总市值在过去 24 小时内下跌 4.3%，至 3.36 万亿美元。

The crypto fear and greed index dropped by 4 points to 50 from yesterday’s 54, signalling a shift towards neutral sentiment as traders adopt a more cautious stance in the face of uncertain market conditions.

加密货币恐惧和贪婪指数从昨天的 54 点下跌 4 点至 50 点，表明随着交易者面对不确定的市场状况采取更加谨慎的立场，情绪转向中性。

Bitcoin traders reacted to the looming US debt ceiling deadline on Friday as Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned Congress that the U.S. could hit its borrowing limit between January 14 and 23.

周五，比特币交易员对迫在眉睫的美国债务上限最后期限做出了反应，财政部长珍妮特·耶伦警告国会，美国可能会在 1 月 14 日至 23 日之间达到借贷上限。

If lawmakers fail to act in time, the US risks running out of cash to meet its financial obligations, which could trigger significant economic consequences.

如果立法者未能及时采取行动，美国将面临耗尽现金来履行其财政义务的风险，这可能会引发严重的经济后果。

During such scenarios, investors tend to pull back from volatile assets, seeking safety in more stable options.

在这种情况下，投资者往往会从波动性较大的资产中撤出，转而寻求更稳定的选择来寻求安全。

Interestingly, while Bitcoin is often viewed as a hedge against economic instability, it has consistently underperformed in the days following debt ceiling resolutions.

有趣的是，虽然比特币通常被视为对冲经济不稳定的工具，但在债务上限决议后的几天里，它一直表现不佳。

Bitcoin also dropped as bearish technicals appeared on its daily chart. Earlier in the day, veteran trader Peter Brandt flagged a head and shoulders top pattern on the BTC/USD chart.

由于日线图上出现看跌技术，比特币也下跌。当天早些时候，资深交易员 Peter Brandt 在 BTC/USD 图表上标记出头肩顶形态。

This is a classic reversal pattern that indicates a shift from a bullish to a bearish trend.

这是一种经典的反转模式，表明趋势从看涨转向看跌。

It is usually followed by a price drop if it’s confirmed. Based on the chart, a daily close below the neckline at around $90,000 would validate the pattern.

如果得到确认，通常会随之降价。根据图表，每日收盘价低于颈线 90,000 美元将验证该模式。

If this breakdown happens, Bitcoin could see a drop towards the $78,000 level in the coming weeks, according to the analyst.

这位分析师表示，如果这种崩溃发生，比特币可能会在未来几周内跌向 78,000 美元的水平。

Adding to the narrative, analyst Ali Martinez highlighted a lack of support below the $93,000 mark.

分析师阿里·马丁内斯 (Ali Martinez) 强调，93,000 美元关口下方缺乏支撑。

IntoTheBlock data shows a sharp drop in buying interest in this price range, with fewer Bitcoin addresses holding BTC below this level.

IntoTheBlock 数据显示，在此价格范围内的购买兴趣急剧下降，持有 BTC 低于该水平的比特币地址较少。

With Bitcoin now trading at $91,863.90, this lack of support becomes even more critical.

由于比特币现在的交易价格为 91,863.90 美元，缺乏支撑变得更加严重。

This means that if Bitcoin fails to reclaim $93,000, there’s little structural support to prevent further downturn.

这意味着，如果比特币未能重回 93,000 美元，则几乎没有结构性支撑来防止进一步下滑。

Yet the long-term narrative remained bullish as many analysts reiterated that corrections are normal during bull runs, and Bitcoin has averaged 30% pullbacks during past cycles.

然而，长期观点仍然看涨，因为许多分析师重申，牛市期间的调整是正常的，而比特币在过去的周期中平均回调了 30%。

One bullish case was offered by trader and influencer Jason A. Williams, who told his X followers that the biggest digital currency was trading in an accumulation zone, which could lay the foundation for a break out above $131,000 by Q1 2025.

交易员兼影响者 Jason A. Williams 提出了一个看涨案例，他告诉他的 X 粉丝，最大的数字货币正在积累区域进行交易，这可能为 2025 年第一季度突破 131,000 美元奠定基础。

Fellow analyst Moustache reinforced the narrative, pointing to a bullish megaphone pattern that BTC had formed over 3.5 years and was currently retesting.

分析师 Mustache 强化了这一说法，指出 BTC 在 3.5 年来形成的看涨扩音器模式目前正在重新测试。

Once confirmed, he added that this could push prices above six figures once again.

他补充说，一旦得到确认，这可能会再次将价格推高至六位数以上。

Ai16z (AI16Z) gained over 20% in the past 24 hours, bringing its market cap to over $1.6 billion when writing.

Ai16z (AI16Z) 在过去 24 小时内上涨了 20% 以上，截至撰稿时其市值已超过 16 亿美元。

Its daily trading had fallen 17.6% to $115 million after starting the day with a trading volume of $202 million.

其日交易量自当天交易量为 2.02 亿美元以来，下跌了 17.6% 至 1.15 亿美元。

ai16z (AI16Z) deviated from the broader crypto market downturn after the project shared a plan to update its tokenomics to add more utility to its native token.

在该项目分享了更新其代币经济学以为其原生代币添加更多实用性的计划后，ai16z（AI16Z）偏离了更广泛的加密市场低迷。

Ai16z is an AI-focused venture capital fund powered by meme fund launcher Daos.fun. According to its updated tokenomics, the project plans to create an open-source Pump.fun inspired launch pad for its AI projects.

Ai16z 是一家专注于人工智能的风险投资基金，由 meme 基金发起者 Daos.fun 提供支持。根据其更新的代币经济学，该项目计划为其人工智能项目创建一个受开源 Pump.fun 启发的启动板。

Fees generated from the platform will be used to buy back AI16Z tokens from the market and create a liquidity pool.

平台产生的费用将用于从市场回购 AI16Z 代币并创建流动性池。

The project also plans to utilize the token as the base currency within its agent-run ecosystem.

该项目还计划在其代理运行的生态系统中利用代币作为基础货币。

The updated tokenomics of the project and the increased utility of AI16Z tokens seem to have drawn investor interest.

该项目更新的代币经济学和 AI16Z 代币实用性的增加似乎吸引了投资者的兴趣。

LDO rose 3.2% over the past day, trading at $1.84 while its market cap stood at $1.63 billion.

LDO 过去一天上涨 3.2%，交易价格为 1.84 美元，而其市值为 16.3 亿美元。

While there was no particular reason for the recent gains in LDO, the altcoin rallied on the back of a significant surge in trading activity and rising open interest.

虽然 LDO 最近的上涨没有特别的原因，但山寨币在交易活动大幅增加和未平仓合约增加的背景下上涨。

Data shows a 41.48% increase in trading volume to $193.01 million and a 3.

数据显示，交易量增长了 41.48%，达到 1.9301 亿美元，增长了 3.