比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC会继续下降还是反弹？

比特币目前在周日上午7:30（美国东部时间）的82,856至83,032美元之间的交易，市值为1.65万亿美元，全球24小时全球贸易销量为156亿美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) price showed signs of short-term consolidation on the 1-hour chart, following a recent bounce from its lows, shifting slightly lower in early Sunday morning trades.

比特币（BTC）的价格显示了1小时表中的短期整合迹象，此前其低点反弹，在周日清晨的交易中略低。

At the time of writing, Sunday morning saw Bitcoin trade between $82,856 and $83,032 in a quiet session. It had a market cap of $1.65 Trillion and a 24-hour trade volume of $15.6 Billion. For the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency’s price varied between $81,629 and $83,496.03, remaining 23.6% below its all-time high reached on January 20, 2025.

在撰写本文时，周日早晨在一个安静的会议上看到比特币交易在82,856至83,032美元之间。它的市值为1.65万亿美元，贸易量为156亿美元。在过去的24小时中，加密货币的价格在81,629美元至83,496.03美元之间，剩余23.6％的高度低于2025年1月20日。

On the 1-hour chart, after bouncing from the lows at $81,629, bitcoin price showed signs of short-term consolidation. Despite showing temporary upward momentum, lower highs and lower lows signaled the persistence of a broader downtrend.

在1小时的图表上，在低点以81,629美元的价格弹跳后，比特币的价格显示出短期合并的迹象。尽管表现出暂时的向上动量，但下部的高低还是低点表示较大的下降趋势的持久性。

Crucially, resistance at $84,500 remained in sight, while support at $81,600 was a key level to watch. Volume patterns suggested weak buyer participation, with green bars lacking conviction. A breakout above $83,500 on increased volume could indicate a short-term bullish move, whereas a rejection at this level would strengthen bearish sentiment.

至关重要的是，仍然可以看出84,500美元的电阻，而支撑为81,600美元是值得关注的关键水平。数量模式表明，买家的参与较弱，绿色酒吧缺乏信念。超过$ 83,500的量增加的突破可能表明短期看涨的举动，而在此级别上的拒绝将增强看跌的情绪。

On the 4-hour chart, a clearer view emerged of the recent relief rally from the lows at $81,629. While minor volume spikes during sell-offs highlighted market uncertainty, the absence of strong buying volume undermined the rebound’s credibility. A significant resistance range between $83,500 and $84,000 was pivotal.

在4小时的图表上，最近从低点开始的救济集会出现了更清晰的视野，价格为81,629美元。尽管抛售期间的少量飙升强调了市场不确定性，但缺乏强劲的购买量却破坏了反弹的信誉。重要的阻力在83,500美元至84,000美元之间至关重要。

Failure to break above this zone would suggest continued downside pressure, but a breakout accompanied by a volume surge could offer a buying opportunity. Traders should keep an eye out for patterns of rejection or bullish confirmation at these levels.

未能突破该区域将表明持续的下行压力，但是伴随着数量增长的突破可以提供购买机会。交易者应留意这些水平上的拒绝或看涨确认的模式。

On the daily chart, bitcoin remained in a defined downtrend, having fallen from its recent high at $96,967. A cluster of red candles with extended wicks suggested persistent selling pressure, though periods of green candles signaled some support for buyers.

在每日图表上，比特币仍处于定义的下降趋势中，从最近的高点下降了96,967美元。一群带有延伸灯芯的红色蜡烛表明，绿色蜡烛时期表明了对买家的支持。

The nearest support at $82,000 was currently being tested, with further downside potential if this level failed. In terms of resistance, levels between $88,000 and $90,000 posed further challenges for bullish momentum. A sustained move above these zones, supported by increased volume, could signal a trend reversal.

目前正在测试最接近$ 82,000的最接方支持，如果此水平失败，则具有进一步的下行潜力。在阻力方面，88,000美元至90,000美元之间的水平对看涨势头构成了进一步的挑战。在这些区域上方的持续移动，并受到增加的体积支持，这可能表明趋势逆转。

Oscillator analysis reflected market indecision. The relative strength index (RSI) at 44, Stochastic at 30, commodity channel index (CCI) at -54, and average directional index (ADX) at 23 all indicated neutral conditions.

振荡器分析反映了市场犹豫不决。在44处的相对强度指数（RSI），在30时随机指数，-54时商品通道指数（CCI）和23个指示的平均方向指数（ADX）。

However, the awesome oscillator’s negative value of -10 suggested underlying bearish pressure. In contrast, the momentum indicator’s positive value of -843 and a bullish reading from the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) at -939 offered some encouragement for buyers. This divergence in signals highlighted the need for further confirmation before establishing directional bias.

但是，令人敬畏的振荡器的负值为-10，暗示了潜在的看跌压力。相比之下，动量指标的正值为-843，而在-939的移动平均融合分歧（MACD）中的看涨读数为买家提供了一些鼓励。信号中这种差异突出了在建立方向偏差之前需要进一步确认的必要性。

Fibonacci retracement levels provided valuable reference points across all timeframes. On the daily chart, key levels varied from the $96,967 high to the $76,600 low, including $91,607 (23.6%), $88,758 (38.2%), $86,784 (50%), $84,811 (61.8%), and $82,022 (78.6%).

斐波那契回溯水平在所有时间表上提供了有价值的参考点。在每日图表上，关键水平从96,967美元高到76,600美元的低点，包括91,607美元（23.6％），$ 88,758（38.2％），86,784美元（50％），$ 84,811（61.8％）（61.8％），和$ 82,,022（78.6％）。

On the 4-hour chart, the $88,772 high and $81,629 low resulted in retracement levels at $87,148 (23.6%), $85,999 (38.2%), $85,201 (50%), $84,404 (61.8%), and $83,069 (78.6%). Similarly, the 1-hour chart’s retracement levels, from a high of $84,561 to a low of $81,629, presented resistance and support zones at $83,869 (23.6%), $83,440 (38.2%), $83,095 (50%), $82,749 (61.8%), and $82,263 (78.6%). These levels were key for traders to identify potential reversal or continuation points.

在4小时的图表上，$ 88,772高点和81,629美元的低点导致回溯水平为87,148美元（23.6％），$ 85,999（38.2％），$ 85,201（50％），$ 84,404（61.8％）（61.8％），和$ 83,069％（78.6％）（78.6％）（78.6％）。 Similarly, the 1-hour chart's retracement levels, from a high of $84,561 to a low of $81,629, presented resistance and support zones at $83,869 (23.6%), $83,440 (38.2%), $83,095 (50%), $82,749 (61.8%), and $82,263 (78.6%).这些水平是交易者确定潜在逆转或延续点的关键。

Moving averages (MAs) painted a predominantly bearish picture. All short and long-term exponential moving averages (EMA) and simple moving

移动平均值（MAS）绘制了一幅主要看跌图片。所有短期和长期指数的移动平均值（EMA）和简单的移动