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加密货币新闻

BTC评论家彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)预测,比特币(BTC)的价格可能会跌至10,000美元

2025/03/29 11:46

BTC评论家彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)最近预测,比特币价格可能会低至10,000美元。

Peter Schiff, a known BTC critic, recently predicted that Bitcoin price could plummet to as low as $10,000. Schiff has expressed concerns over Bitcoin’s long-term viability, particularly in comparison to gold.

著名的BTC评论家彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)最近预测,比特币价格可能会低至10,000美元。希夫对比特币的长期生存能力表示关注,尤其是与黄金相比。

His argument centers on Bitcoin’s current performance, which he believes is being driven by short-term hype rather than deep-rooted fundamentals.

他的论点集中在比特币目前的表现上,他认为这是由短期炒作驱动的,而不是根深蒂固的基本面。

Schiff’s prediction is particularly alarming for those who view Bitcoin as a store of value. In the current trends, millions of young people are invested in Bitcoin while gold, a standard hedge, is pushing higher.

对于那些将比特币视为价值存储的人来说,Schiff的预测尤其令人震惊。在当前的趋势中,数百万年轻人投资了比特币,而标准对冲的黄金正在推动更高。

According to Peter Schiff, when gold prices rise to new record levels then the value of Bitcoin may plummet.

根据彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)的说法,当黄金价格上涨到新的记录水平时,比特币的价值可能会暴跌。

“By the time they get to their target of $5K for gold, they will drag Bitcoin down to $10K, meaning a drop of 95% from the highest it was valued in 2021,” Schiff reasoned.

Schiff称:“当他们达到黄金的$ 5K目标时,他们将将比特币降低到1.0万美元,这意味着从2021年估值的最高价值下降了95%。”

Bitcoin Price Recent Performance Against Gold

比特币价格最近对黄金的表现

According to Peter Schiff, Bitcoin price has underperformed in relation to gold. Gold prices recently broke through $3,000 per ounce as global economic conditions continued to affect the global.

根据彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)的说法,比特币价格与黄金相关的表现不佳。随着全球经济状况继续影响全球,黄金价格最近破产了每盎司3,000美元。

Since early 2025, the prices of Bitcoin have come down by over 30% against gold with one Bitcoin currently only equivalent to 27.4 ounces of gold as compared to 41 ounces in December of 2021.

自2025年初以来,比特币的价格下跌了30%以上,而一家比特币目前仅相当于27.4盎司黄金,而2021年12月为41盎司。

If Bitcoin is an asset that people only buy when the stock market is going up and risk appetite is high, what is it that investors are buying? It's not a stock as it will never have earnings or pay a dividend. It's clearly not a risk-off asset, a store of value, or digital gold.

如果比特币是只有在股市上涨而风险偏好时人们购买的资产,那么投资者正在购买什么?它不是股票,因为它永远不会有收入或股息。显然,这不是冒险的资产,价值存储或数字黄金。

— Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) March 28, 2025Another issue that Schiff dislikes about Bitcoin also revolves around its categorization as a “risk asset.” He says that BTC price movements are synchronized with the rest of the market, especially when investors are more willing to take risks. While gold provides investors with a safe-haven, the Bitcoin price operation is defined as having a volatility closer to that of the traditional markets among investors. Therefore, as argued by Peter Schiff, BTC price may decline as investors turn to the safe-havens, such as gold, in turbulent times.

- 2025年3月28日,Schiff不喜欢比特币的彼得·希夫(@Peterschiff)也围绕其作为“风险资产”的分类。他说,BTC的价格变动与其他市场同步,尤其是当投资者更愿意冒险时。尽管黄金为投资者提供了避风港,但比特币价格运营定义为波动率更接近投资者中传统市场的波动性。因此,正如彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)所说的那样,随着投资者在动荡时期转向避风势,BTC的价格可能会下降。

Market Analyst Weigh In On Bitcoin Trend

市场分析师权衡比特币趋势

Several market analysts are echoing Schiff’s concerns, suggesting that Bitcoin price could face challenges in the near term. Peter Brandt, a veteran trader, has pointed out that Bitcoin might be on a path to $65,635, citing a “bear wedge” pattern that has emerged in the cryptocurrency’s price charts.

几位市场分析师正在呼应Schiff的担忧,这表明比特币价格可能会在短期内面临挑战。资深交易员彼得·布兰特(Peter Brandt)指出,比特币可能正在达到65,635美元的道路,理由是在加密货币的价格表中出现了“熊楔”模式。

Meanwhile, crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe shared his own cautious outlook on Bitcoin’s short-term prospects.

同时,加密交易者MichaëlVande Poppe分享了自己对比特币短期前景的谨慎前景。

"Still holding above $80K, but the structure is getting weaker. It starts to look slightly less good.

“仍然持有超过$ 80k的价格,但结构越来越弱。它开始看起来略微降低。

If we drop below $84K, then we'll likely see a deeper correction from here."

如果我们跌至8.4k美元以下,那么我们可能会从这里看到更深入的更正。”

Another crypto trader, TheKingfisher, expressed doubts about a sustained bullish recovery, suggesting that Bitcoin’s current price movement aligns with a typical market cooldown.

另一位加密货币交易员Thekingfisher对持续的看涨恢复表示怀疑,这表明比特币的当前价格变动与典型的市场冷却。

"This feels more like a typical market cool down after a strong move.

“这更像是一个典型的市场,这是一个强劲的举动。

We're approaching the seasonal reset (which is normally in Oct/Nov) but I think the broader market trend will decide more quickly. Expect some fib dumping soon."

我们正在接近季节性重置(通常在10月/11月),但我认为更广泛的市场趋势将更快地决定。期待很快会倾倒一些纤维。”

Alternative Views on Bitcoin’s Future Trend

关于比特币未来趋势的替代观点

Not everyone shares Peter Schiff’s pessimism about Bitcoin price. Charlie Morris, founder of ByteTree, highlighted that despite recent challenges, Bitcoin may have already seen its worst.

并非所有人都分享彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)对比特币价格的悲观主义。 Bytetree的创始人查理·莫里斯(Charlie Morris)强调,尽管最近面临挑战,但比特币可能已经看到了最糟糕的情况。

According to Morris, gold ETFs are still showing signs of extremely slow inflows.

根据莫里斯的说法,黄金ETF仍显示出非常缓慢的流入迹象。

This view contrasts sharply with Peter Schiff’s, emphasizing that the cryptocurrency may not be as doomed as some critics suggest.

这种观点与彼得·席夫(Peter Schiff)的观点形成鲜明对比,强调加密货币可能并不像一些批评家所暗示的那样注定。

Additionally, Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, has weighed in on the broader market of precious metals and cryptocurrencies. While Kiyosaki acknowledged Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against inflation, he predicted that silver would outperform both Bitcoin and gold in the near term.

此外,Rich Dod Dod Dad的作者Robert Kiyosaki在更广泛的贵金属和加密货币的市场上加入了。尽管Kiyosaki承认比特币作为对通货膨胀的对冲的角色,但他预测,银色在短期内将超越比特币和黄金。

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