比特币 (BTC) 价格再次接近 70,000 美元：是否有足够的流动性飙升至 100,000 美元？

比特币价格在触及 58,000 美元左右的局部底部后，过去一周继续看涨。从那时起，数量有所增加

Bitcoin (BTC) price showed bullish continuation over the past week after hitting a local bottom around $58,000. Since then, there has been an increase of more than 15%, reaching a high of over $68,000 on Wednesday.

比特币 (BTC) 价格在触及 58,000 美元左右的局部底部后，在过去一周显示出看涨的延续。此后涨幅超过15%，周三达到超过68,000美元的高位。

The price is moving closer to the psychological level around $70,000. The question now remains if there is enough liquidity for BTC to spike to $100,000.

价格正在接近 70,000 美元左右的心理水平。现在的问题仍然是，是否有足够的流动性让 BTC 飙升至 10 万美元。

A trader known as Axel Bitblaze, who has more than 108,000 followers on Twitter, shared some insights to discuss if there is enough liquidity for BTC price to spike to $100,000 soon.

一位名叫 Axel Bitblaze 的交易员在 Twitter 上拥有超过 108,000 名粉丝，他分享了一些见解，讨论是否有足够的流动性让 BTC 价格很快飙升至 100,000 美元。

$BTC is nearing $70K, and CT is already shouting for $100K BTC and a massive altseason

BTC 已接近 7 万美元，CT 已经在喊话 10 万美元的 BTC 和大规模的山寨季

But let’s talk facts. is there really enough liquidity & catalysts in place to send us higher ?

但我们还是用事实说话吧。是否真的有足够的流动性和催化剂来推动我们走高？

Here’s my breakdown of upcoming liquidity events with stats. A must read thread: 🧵👇

以下是我对即将发生的流动性事件的统计数据细分。必读主题：🧵👇

The Need For More Liquidity

需要更多流动性

In his thread, Axel highlighted the importance of liquidity in the crypto market, recalling how previous bull runs in 2016 and 2020 were driven by increasing liquidity. He suggested that the current conditions could lead to a similar scenario, but only if the necessary liquidity events materialized.

Axel 在他的帖子中强调了加密货币市场流动性的重要性，回顾了 2016 年和 2020 年之前的牛市是如何由流动性增加推动的。他表示，当前的情况可能会导致类似的情况，但前提是必要的流动性事件成为现实。

Axel outlined several key factors contributing to the liquidity landscape:

阿克塞尔概述了影响流动性格局的几个关键因素：

Stablecoins Market Capitalization: He noted that stablecoins are essential for the crypto ecosystem. Currently, the market cap for stablecoins reached its highest level since the collapse of UST, at $173 billion.

稳定币市值：他指出，稳定币对于加密生态系统至关重要。目前，稳定币的市值达到了 UST 崩溃以来的最高水平，达到 1730 亿美元。

He highlighted that USDT, which has a 69% share of the total stablecoin market cap, has shown a close correlation with Bitcoin’s price movements historically.

他强调，USDT 占稳定币总市值的 69%，历史上与比特币的价格走势密切相关。

FASB Rule Changes: Axel explained the importance of the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) rule, which will allow publicly listed companies to report Bitcoin based on its market value at the end of the reporting period.

FASB 规则变更：Axel 解释了财务会计准则委员会 (FASB) 规则的重要性，该规则将允许上市公司根据报告期末的市场价值报告比特币。

This change, which will be effective December 2 valde 2024, could encourage more companies to hold Bitcoin as part of their balance sheets, especially considering the current economic climate and concerns over inflation.

这一变化将于 2024 年 12 月 2 日生效，可能会鼓励更多公司持有比特币作为其资产负债表的一部分，特别是考虑到当前的经济环境和对通胀的担忧。

M2 Money Supply: He discussed the M2 money supply, which is currently at $94 trillion. Axel pointed out that for every 10% increase in M2, Bitcoin has historically pumped by 90%. With the money supply increasing and global rate cuts being anticipated, he speculated that more capital could flow into crypto as traditional investments become less appealing.

M2 货币供应量：他讨论了 M2 货币供应量，目前为 94 万亿美元。 Axel指出，M2每增加10%，比特币历史上就会上涨90%。随着货币供应量的增加和全球降息的预期，他推测随着传统投资的吸引力下降，更多的资本可能会流入加密货币。

Money Market Funds: Finally, Axel highlighted the behavior of money market funds, which have reached a new high of $6.5 trillion. As interest rates decline, he predicted a large outflow from these funds, redirecting capital towards riskier assets like Bitcoin.

货币市场基金：最后，阿克塞尔强调了货币市场基金的表现，该基金已达到 6.5 万亿美元的新高。随着利率下降，他预计这些基金将大量流出，从而将资本转向比特币等风险较高的资产。

Axel Bitblaze suggested that it is indeed plausible for Bitcoin to see at least $200 billion in inflows in the coming months which could see Bitcoin spike to $100,000.

Axel Bitblaze 表示，比特币在未来几个月确实有可能看到至少 2000 亿美元的资金流入，这可能会导致比特币飙升至 10 万美元。

He calculated that a mere 0.19% of the total capital in M2 money supply, money market funds, cash holdings, and stablecoins would be enough to drive significant investment into the crypto market.

他计算出，M2货币供应量、货币市场基金、现金持有量和稳定币仅占总资本的0.19%就足以推动加密货币市场的大量投资。

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