比特币 (BTC) 价格接近 10 万美元：这就是为什么山寨币季节可能是下一个

最近，随着比特币 (BTC) 价格逼近 10 万美元大关，加密货币市场一片光明。然而，分析师 Axel Bitblaze 强调了许多山寨币持有者面临的现实情况。

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues its relentless march toward the $100k mark, leaving many altcoin holders wondering when their portfolios will finally see some green. While BTC thrives, portfolios heavy with utility coins or meme coins remain stagnant.

比特币 (BTC) 价格继续无情地向 10 万美元大关迈进，让许多山寨币持有者想知道他们的投资组合什么时候才能最终看到一些绿色。尽管 BTC 蓬勃发展，但以实用币或迷因币为主的投资组合仍停滞不前。

However, several factors suggest an impending altcoin resurgence, promising to shift the spotlight away from Bitcoin and onto the broader crypto market.

然而，有几个因素表明山寨币即将复苏，有望将人们的注意力从比特币转移到更广泛的加密市场。

One key indicator is Bitcoin’s dominance, which has been increasing steadily, reaching new heights every week. This pattern, according to Bitblaze, has led to poor performance in the altcoin market as a whole.

一个关键指标是比特币的主导地位，它一直在稳步增长，每周都达到新的高度。据 Bitblaze 称，这种模式导致整个山寨币市场表现不佳。

Drawing from Bitcoin’s historical four-year cycle, Bitblaze explains how pre-halving and halving years tend to favor Bitcoin, while post-halving years ignite altcoin rallies.

Bitblaze 借鉴比特币历史上的四年周期，解释了减半前和减半年如何倾向于有利于比特币，而减半后几年则引发山寨币反弹。

With the next halving set for 2024, Bitblaze predicts that altcoins could see a significant rebound within 4-6 weeks. He bases this prediction on the emergence of a golden cross in the altcoin market capitalization.

随着下一次减半时间为 2024 年，Bitblaze 预测山寨币可能会在 4-6 周内出现大幅反弹。他的这一预测基于山寨币市值中黄金十字的出现。

The last occurrence of this technical pattern led to a 300% surge in altcoin market cap over a year.

这种技术模式的最后一次出现导致山寨币市值在一年内飙升 300%。

Another factor highlighting the shift in market dynamics is the performance of memecoins. Often dismissed as speculative assets, memecoins are bringing retail liquidity back to the market.

凸显市场动态转变的另一个因素是模因币的表现。模因币经常被视为投机资产，但它正在将零售流动性带回市场。

Major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase have ramped up their listings of memecoins, generating volumes that surpass those of established altcoins. This influx of retail interest lays the groundwork for an altcoin season.

Binance 和 Coinbase 等主要交易所已经增加了 memecoin 的上市量，其交易量超过了现有的山寨币。散户兴趣的涌入为山寨币季节奠定了基础。

Moreover, external factors are also setting the stage for altcoins to shine. The Trump administration’s proposed crypto-friendly policies and the acquisition of Bakkt, a multi-asset trading platform, are additional indicators of a favorable environment for altcoins.

此外，外部因素也为山寨币的大放异彩奠定了基础。特朗普政府提出的加密货币友好政策以及对多资产交易平台 Bakkt 的收购，是山寨币有利环境的额外指标。

To put things in perspective, here's a concise summary of the analysis.

为了正确地看待问题，这里是分析的简要总结。

* BTC price is nearing $100K, but many altcoin portfolios are still flat or even down. This is likely because investors are piling into BTC for safety as the bull market matures.

* BTC 价格接近 10 万美元，但许多山寨币投资组合仍然持平甚至下跌。这可能是因为随着牛市的成熟，投资者为了安全而纷纷涌入比特币。

* However, several factors suggest that an altcoin season could be on the horizon. One key indicator is Bitcoin’s dominance, which has been increasing steadily.

* 然而，有几个因素表明山寨币季节可能即将到来。一个关键指标是比特币的主导地位，这一主导地位一直在稳步上升。

* When Bitcoin’s price rallies, its market cap tends to expand relative to other leading cryptocurrencies. This dynamic is typically accompanied by lower performance in the altcoin market.

* 当比特币价格上涨时，其市值相对于其他主要加密货币往往会扩大。这种动态通常伴随着山寨币市场的较低表现。

* Another factor to consider is Bitcoin’s halving cycle. Pre-halving and halving years usually favor Bitcoin, while post-halving years tend to be kinder to altcoins.

* 另一个需要考虑的因素是比特币的减半周期。减半前和减半年通常有利于比特币，而减半后往往有利于山寨币。

* With the next halving set for 2024, Bitblaze predicts that altcoins could see a significant rebound within 4-6 weeks.

* 随着下一次减半时间为 2024 年，Bitblaze 预测山寨币可能会在 4-6 周内出现大幅反弹。

* Finally, memecoins are also playing a pivotal role in shifting market attention away from Bitcoin. These tokens, initially created as a jest on internet culture, are attracting retail liquidity into the market.

* 最后，模因币在将市场注意力从比特币上转移开方面也发挥着关键作用。这些代币最初是作为互联网文化的玩笑而创建的，正在吸引零售流动性进入市场。

* Major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase are listing memecoins at an unprecedented pace, generating volumes that surpass those of established altcoins. This influx of retail interest is setting the stage for an altcoin season.

* Binance 和 Coinbase 等主要交易所正在以前所未有的速度列出 memecoin，其交易量超过了现有的山寨币。散户兴趣的涌入正在为山寨币季节奠定基础。