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在比特币的价格挣扎中,在过去几周中,它的价格在80,000美元至100,000美元之间,市场情绪一直在下降。
Several key Bitcoin metrics are in the dumps, but there may be a silver lining.
垃圾场中有几个关键的比特币指标,但可能有一线希望。
Amid Bitcoin‘s price struggles, which have seen it swing wildly between mid-$80,000 and the $100,000 level over the past few weeks, market sentiment has been in decline.
在比特币的价格挣扎中,在过去几周中,它的价格在80,000美元至100,000美元之间,市场情绪一直在下降。
According to the Fear and Greed Index, this culminated in an extended Extreme Fear reading over the weekend as trade war fears and panic selling hit a fever pitch.
根据恐惧和贪婪的指数,这在周末的极端恐惧中达到了最终导致贸易战争的恐惧和恐慌销售的狂热。
The Fear and Greed Index gauges market sentiment using volatility, market volume, social media mentions, Bitcoin dominance, and Google Trends.
恐惧和贪婪的指数表,使用波动性,市场量,社交媒体提及,比特币优势和Google趋势。
Beyond market sentiment, open interest in the leading digital has also plummeted recently. Specifically, recent CryptoQuant data suggests that this metric, which can often be used to gauge speculative interest, has dropped 22% in the past ten days alone, from 327,000 BTC to 225,000 BTC.
除了市场情绪之外,对领先数字的开放兴趣最近也暴跌。具体而言,最近的加密数据表明,该指标通常可以用来评估投机性兴趣,仅在过去十天中,该指标从327,000 BTC下降到225,000 BTC。
However, despite the decline in these metrics, there may be a catch.
但是,尽管这些指标有所下降,但可能会有一个收获。
Rebound Incoming?
反弹进来?
For one, leading crypto research firm Kronos Research has noted that the last time Bitcoin recorded extended Extreme Fear readings on the Fear and Greed Index like this was in September 2024, when it traded for about $53,000. As the firm highlighted, the asset’s price doubled to over $106,000 in the months that followed.
首先,领先的加密研究公司Kronos Research指出,比特币上次记录的对恐惧和贪婪指数的极端恐惧读物是在2024年9月的恐惧和贪婪指数上,当时它的交易价格约为53,000美元。正如该公司所强调的那样,在随后的几个月中,资产的价格翻了一番,至106,000美元。
At the same time, prominent crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr has contended that the recent decline in Bitcoin OI may “indicate a clearing of overheated positions, potentially setting the stage for a new market impulse.”
同时,著名的加密分析师阿克塞尔·阿德勒(Axel Adler JR)认为,最近的比特币OI下降可能“表明清除过热的位置,有可能为新市场冲动奠定基础。”
The crypto market experienced a resurgence on Sunday as President Donald Trump reiterated crypto reserve plans. Bitcoin, in particular, surged over 9% to around the $94,000 price point.
加密货币市场周日经历了复兴,唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)重申了加密储备金计划。尤其是比特币,飙升了9%以上,至94,000美元的价格。
But most of these gains were given away as markets panicked over trade war concerns on Monday. All eyes are now on the White House’s first crypto summit slated for Friday, which is expected to provide a market catalyst.
但是,由于周一对贸易战的关注感到惊慌,这些收益大多数都被取消了。现在,所有人的目光都集中在白宫举行的第一次加密峰会上,预计将提供市场催化剂。
Meanwhile, Standard Chartered Head of Digital Assets Research Geoffrey Kendrick has warned that risk assets like Bitcoin may struggle to find a bottom till the market gains clarity on growing geopolitical concerns.
同时,标准特许的数字资产研究负责人研究杰弗里·肯德里克(Geoffrey Kendrick)警告说,像比特币这样的风险资产可能难以找到底层,直到市场对日益严重的关注变得清晰。
According to the analyst, a further drop in Bitcoin’s price to the $69,000 to $76,500 range is not out of the question.
根据分析师的说法,比特币的价格进一步下跌至69,000美元至76,500美元,这不是不可能的。
DisClamier: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not reflect The Crypto Basic opinion. Readers are encouraged to do thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.
Disclamier:此内容是信息的,不应被视为财务建议。本文中表达的观点可能包括作者的个人意见,并且不反映加密基本意见。鼓励读者在做出任何投资决策之前进行彻底的研究。加密基础对任何财务损失概不负责。
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