比特币 (BTC) 价格跌破 10 万美元，有可能失去关键支撑位

截至世界标准时间中午 12:38，比特币的价格目前徘徊在 97,150 美元左右，较 12 月 17 日的历史高点 108,300 美元下跌超过 10%

Bitcoin’s price has dropped more than 10% from an all-time high hit on Dec. 17, as the broader crypto market faced a correction.

随着更广泛的加密货币市场面临调整，比特币的价格较 12 月 17 日创下的历史高点下跌了 10% 以上。

According to BNC data, Bitcoin’s price was down over 10% from an all-time high of $108,300 on Dec. 17, currently hovering around $97,150 at 12:38 pm UTC. Bitcoin daily charts showed consecutive red candles for the first time since early November.

根据 BNC 数据，比特币价格较 12 月 17 日 108,300 美元的历史高点下跌超过 10%，目前在 UTC 时间中午 12:38 徘徊在 97,150 美元左右。比特币日线图自 11 月初以来首次出现连续红烛。

The downturn has also dragged Bitcoin’s social sentiment to its lowest levels of the year, with a ratio of four to five positive versus negative comments on Bitcoin-related topics across social platforms, according to BNC. This metric serves as a contrarian indicator, suggesting that the current wave of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) among retail investors may foreshadow a market reversal.

据 BNC 称，经济低迷也将比特币的社会情绪拖至今年的最低水平，社交平台上对比特币相关话题的正面评论与负面评论的比例为四比五。该指标是一个反向指标，表明当前散户投资者的恐惧、不确定性和怀疑（FUD）浪潮可能预示着市场逆转。

“Crypto’s further flush has sent Bitcoin’s crowd sentiment down to its most negative statistical point of the year,” market intelligence platform Santiment wrote in a Dec. 22 post on X. “Vocal traders are now showing severe FUD, and that’s good news for contrarians who know markets move the opposite direction of retail's expectations.”

市场情报平台 Santiment 在 12 月 22 日的 X 帖子中写道：“加密货币的进一步暴涨已将比特币的人群情绪降至今年最负面的统计点。”他们知道市场的走势与零售预期相反。”

Bitcoin is threatening to lose each of these supports. These supports need to hold if BTC is to avoid a transition into a correction. Weekly Close below would be bearish.

比特币有可能失去这些支持。如果比特币要避免陷入回调，就需要保持这些支撑位。每周收盘价低于此水平将是看跌的。

Source: X

来源：X

Trader and analyst Rekt Capital highlighted that Bitcoin is slowly transitioning into week 8 of a bull market structure, with the past two bull markets experiencing corrective weeks during this time frame.

交易员兼分析师 Rekt Capital 强调，比特币正在慢慢过渡到牛市结构的第 8 周，过去两次牛市在这段时间内都经历了调整周。

“In 2017, Week 7 as well as Weeks 8 and 9 were also corrective,” Rekt Capital wrote in one post. “In 2021, Week 6 and Week 8 were corrective. Bitcoin is currently in Week 7 and slowly transitioning into Week 8.”

Rekt Capital 在一篇文章中写道：“2017 年，第 7 周以及第 8 周和第 9 周也出现了调整。” “2021 年，第 6 周和第 8 周出现了修正。比特币目前处于第 7 周，正在慢慢过渡到第 8 周。”

Despite facing a few weeks of downturn, Bitcoin is still positioned for a potential breakout, according to the analysis. The convergence of bearish social sentiment, historical correction patterns, and emerging fractal signals suggests that the current downtrend may soon give way to a recovery. For investors willing to endure the market volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, potentially leading to prices crossing $100,000 and beyond in the coming months.

分析称，尽管比特币面临几周的低迷，但仍有望实现突破。看跌的社会情绪、历史修正模式和新兴的分形信号的融合表明，当前的下跌趋势可能很快就会让位于复苏。对于愿意忍受市场波动的投资者来说，比特币的长期前景仍然看涨，可能导致价格在未来几个月突破 10 万美元甚至更高。