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随着美国和中国之间的贸易战争升级,比特币,替代币和股市在周五继续下降趋势。
Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies continued their downward trend on Friday as the trade war between the U.S. and China escalated, putting markets on edge and pushing traders to increase their odds of a recession.
随着美国和中国之间的贸易战升级,比特币(BTC)和其他加密货币在周五继续下降趋势,使市场处于边缘状态,并促使贸易商增加了经济衰退的几率。
Bitcoin price slid to $82,000 by 07:00 (GMT+2) on Friday, erasing some of the gains made during the Asian and European markets. Ethereum (ETH) dropped below $1,800, while the market cap of all coins fell to $2.64 trillion.
星期五,比特币价格在07:00(GMT+2)下滑至82,000美元,从而消除了亚洲和欧洲市场上的一些收益。以太坊(ETH)跌至1,800美元以下,而所有硬币的市值降至2.64万亿美元。
The stock market’s performance was even worse as futures tied to the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices plunged by over 3%. This means that these blue-chip indices have all moved into a correction.
随着期货与道琼斯琼斯(Dow Jones),标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克100指数相关,股市的表现甚至更糟。这意味着这些蓝芯片指数都已转化为校正。
Trade war escalates
贸易战升级
Bitcoin, altcoins, and equities declined after China announced its retaliatory measures against the U.S. In a statement, Beijing said it would impose a 34% tariff on all goods imported from the U.S.
北京在一份声明中宣布对美国的报复措施宣布对美国的报复措施后,比特币,替代币和股票下降了,北京将对从美国进口的所有商品征收34%的关税
In addition, China will restrict exports of certain rare earth minerals, halt sorghum imports from U.S. companies, and add 11 American firms to its unreliable entity list.
此外,中国将限制某些稀土矿物质的出口,从美国公司进口高粱,并将11个美国公司添加到其不可靠的实体清单中。
These measures mark the most significant response to Donald Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs. Other countries, especially those in Europe, have called for negotiations to prevent the trade war from expanding.
这些措施标志着对唐纳德·特朗普的解放日关税的最重要回应。其他国家,尤其是欧洲的国家,呼吁进行谈判,以防止贸易战扩大。
Trump and senior officials have warned that the U.S. will deliver reciprocal tariffs on any country that retaliates. They’ve urged trading partners to lower their tariffs and non-tariff barriers instead.
特朗普和高级官员警告说,美国将向任何报复国家提供互惠关税。他们敦促贸易合作伙伴降低关税和非关税障碍。
Therefore, Bitcoin, altcoins, and the stock market are falling as these actions lead to higher odds of a recession. Polymarket data shows that traders have boosted their recession odds to 56%. Companies like Goldman Sachs and PIMCO have also boosted their recession odds.
因此,随着这些行动导致经济衰退的几率更高,比特币,替代币和股票市场正在下降。 Polymarket数据表明,交易者将其衰退赔率提高到56%。像高盛(Goldman Sachs)和皮姆科(Pimco)这样的公司也增加了衰退赔率。
These fears have pushed market sentiment into extreme territory. The CNN Money Fear and Greed Index dropped to 6, the lowest reading since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.
这些担忧将市场情绪推向了极端领土。 CNN的恐惧和贪婪指数降至6,这是自19号大流行以来最低的阅读。
Investor pessimism intensified after billionaire and former Bond King Bill Gross warned against buying the dip. He said:
在亿万富翁和前邦德国王比尔·格罗斯(Bill Gross)警告不要购买蘸酱之后,投资者的悲观主义加剧了。他说:
“Investors should not try to ‘catch a falling knife. This is an epic economic and market event similar to 1971 and the end of the gold standard except with immediate negative consequences.”
“投资者不应该试图'抓一把刀。这是一场与1971年的史诗般的经济和市场事件,除了立即产生的负面后果外,也是黄金标准的终结。”
Bitcoin, altcoins, and the stock market fall after NFP data
NFP数据之后的比特币,山寨币和股票市场下跌
Markets also weakened after the U.S. released the latest nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report. The data showed that unemployment rose to 4.2% in March, up from 4.1% in February.
在美国发布了最新的非农业工资(NFP)报告后,市场也削弱了。数据显示,3月份的失业率从2月的4.1%上升到4.2%。
The economy added 228,000 jobs, beating analysts’ median forecast of 137,000. However, the manufacturing sector, which Trump aims to protect with his tariff policy, created just 1,000 jobs.
经济增加了228,000个工作岗位,击败了分析师的中位数预测为137,000。但是,特朗普旨在通过关税政策保护的制造业只创造了1000个工作岗位。
These figures will likely have minimal impact on the Federal Reserve, which remains focused on inflation and GDP growth.
这些数字可能对美联储的影响很小,美联储仍集中在通货膨胀和GDP增长上。
Meanwhile, the bond market is signaling expectations of lower interest rates. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 3.89%, while the 30-year and 2-year yields declined to 4.38% and 3.5%, respectively. If the Fed cuts rates, it would likely be bullish for Bitcoin, altcoins, and the broader stock market.
同时,债券市场是对较低利率的信号预期。 10年的财政收益率降至3.89%,而30年和2年的收益率分别下降到4.38%和3.5%。如果美联储降低利率,则可能对比特币,山寨币和更广泛的股票市场看涨。
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