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比特币最近面临着一些明显的挑战,因为其网络活动显示出弱化的迹象。尽管在过去24小时中有1.68%的收益略有1.68%
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown signs of weakening network activity, despite a slight gain in the past 24 hours. After reaching its peak of $107K a few weeks ago, BTC has been struggling to maintain an upward trend and is now trading below the $100K mark.
尽管在过去的24小时中,比特币(BTC)显示出弱化网络活动的迹象。在几周前达到了10.7万美元的峰值之后,BTC一直在努力保持上升趋势,现在交易低于$ 10万美元。
According to the latest data, the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network has significantly dropped, with the figure now standing at 1.1 million. This decline in active addresses is a critical indicator of weakening network activity, as fewer investors appear to be actively participating in Bitcoin transactions.
根据最新数据,比特币网络上的活动地址数量已大大下降,该数字现在为110万。积极地址下降是削弱网络活动的关键指标,因为更少的投资者似乎正在积极参与比特币交易。
This trend is concerning for analysts and traders, as active addresses often correlate with broader investor interest. When fewer people are engaging with the network, it typically signals lower demand, which can lead to price stagnation or even a downturn.
这种趋势与分析师和交易者有关,因为主动地址通常与更广泛的投资者兴趣相关。当更少的人参与网络时,它通常表示需求较低,这可能导致价格停滞甚至不景气。
Axel Adler, a popular crypto analyst, recently pointed out that Bitcoin’s active addresses have been on a steady decline since hitting a new high a few weeks ago. The drop below the annual average number of active addresses is seen as a sign of reduced participation in the network. When this happens, it raises alarms for potential price volatility in the near future, especially if it’s paired with other warning signs.
受欢迎的加密分析师阿克塞尔·阿德勒(Axel Adler)最近指出,自从几周前击中新高高以来,比特币的主动地址一直在下降。低于年平均活动地址的平均数量的下降被视为参与网络的迹象。发生这种情况时,它会在不久的将来引起警报,以期与其他警告信号配对。
One such sign is the spike in Bitcoin’s Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio, which has jumped from 89 to a historically high level of 978. The NVT ratio is an important metric used to assess the relationship between the network value and transaction volume. A high NVT ratio indicates that the network’s value is being driven more by speculation than by actual transactions. Historically, when the NVT ratio reaches extreme levels, Bitcoin tends to experience price corrections shortly after. The surge in the NVT ratio implies that Bitcoin’’s current price might be unsustainable and could face a decline.
一个这样的迹象是比特币网络价值与交易(NVT)比率的峰值,该比率从89跃升至历史较高的978水平。NVT比率是用于评估网络价值与交易量之间关系的重要指标。高NVT比例表明,与实际交易相比,猜测要驱动网络的价值。从历史上看,当NVT比率达到极端水平时,比特币往往会在不久之后经历价格更正。 NVT比率的增长意味着比特币的当前价格可能是不可持续的,并且可能面临下降。
Furthermore, there has been a noticeable drop in Bitcoin’s daily transaction volume, which has decreased from 402,000 to 350,000 over the past three weeks. This further confirms the observation that fewer users are actively interacting with the Bitcoin network. The decline in both active addresses and transaction volume points to lower demand among investors, which could lead to further price instability.
此外,比特币的每日交易量显着下降,过去三周从402,000下降到350,000。这进一步证实了这样的观察结果,即用户与比特币网络积极交互。主动地址和交易量的下降指向投资者的需求降低,这可能导致价格不稳定。
Historically, rising active addresses are often associated with bull markets, while a decrease in activity usually precedes market corrections. When combined with a high NVT ratio and declining transaction volume, this is seen as a red flag for Bitcoin’s short-term price movement. The reduction in network participation suggests that demand for Bitcoin might not be strong enough to support its current price levels.
从历史上看,主动地址的上升通常与牛市有关,而活动的减少通常是在市场校正之前。当结合高NVT比率和交易量下降时,这被视为比特币短期价格变动的危险信号。网络参与的减少表明,对比特币的需求可能不足以支持其当前价格水平。
The effects of this trend are already visible in Bitcoin’s price action, as the cryptocurrency has struggled to maintain an upward trend in recent days. Lower network activity means less demand, which in turn affects Bitcoin’s ability to continue rising. If demand remains weak for an extended period, institutions and larger investors might begin selling their positions to cover operational costs or take profits, putting more downward pressure on the market.
比特币的价格行动中,这种趋势的影响已经可以看到,因为加密货币在最近几天一直在努力保持向上的趋势。较低的网络活动意味着更少的需求,这反过来会影响比特币继续上升的能力。如果需求在长期内仍然很弱,则机构和大型投资者可能会开始出售其职位以支付运营成本或承担利润,从而给市场带来更大的下降压力。
If this trend of low demand persists, Bitcoin could potentially dip further to levels around $94,992. On the other hand, if there’s a recovery in demand, Bitcoin could attempt to reclaim higher levels, with $98,830 being a potential target. Ultimately, traders and investors will need to keep an eye on the number of active addresses and the NVT ratio, as these factors are likely to play a significant role in determining Bitcoin’s price direction in the coming weeks.
如果这种需求低的趋势仍然存在,则比特币可能会进一步下降到94,992美元左右的水平。另一方面,如果需要恢复,比特币可以试图恢复更高的水平,而98,830美元是潜在的目标。最终,交易者和投资者将需要关注主动地址和NVT比率的数量,因为这些因素可能在确定未来几周比特币的价格方向方面发挥重要作用。
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