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最近的数据表明,转向累积阶段,这是货运销售降低和交易平台上的负资金率下降的特征。
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading above the $81,000 zone, a level that has seen strong defense from buyers. As the market navigates this crucial juncture, signals of a changing dynamic are multiplying.
比特币(BTC)目前的交易高于$ 81,000,这一水平已经获得了买家的强大防御。当市场导航这个关键时刻时,动态变化的信号正在增加。
Bitcoin: signs of a technical rebound
比特币:技术反弹的迹象
Recent data suggests a shift towards an accumulation phase, marked by a decrease in spot sales and negative funding rates on trading platforms. This technical context, often a precursor to a bullish reversal, may hint at a forthcoming impulsive movement.
最近的数据表明,转向累积阶段,这是货运销售降低和交易平台上的负资金率下降的特征。这种技术背景通常是看涨逆转的先驱,可能会暗示即将发生的冲动运动。
While the behavior of whales suggests an immediate rebound of BTC, funding rates have moved into negative territory across several major exchanges, including Binance, Bybit, OKX, and Deribit. This indicates that short positions are outweighing long positions.
尽管鲸鱼的行为表明BTC的立即反弹,但资金率已经转移到包括Binance,Bybit,Okx和Deribit在内的几个主要交易所中的负面领土。这表明较短的位置超过了长位置。
Historically, this phenomenon reflects excessive market distrust, often followed by a rebound when short sellers are forced to cover. In short, traders betting against bitcoin may soon find themselves trapped if the price starts to rise.
从历史上看,这种现象反映出市场过度不信任,当时卖空者被迫覆盖时,通常是反弹。简而言之,如果价格开始上涨,交易者对比特币的投注很快可能会被困。
Another key signal: the drop in spot sales volume. Bitcoin investors are not yet rushing to cash in their gains, preferring to hold their positions. This attitude reflects a growing confidence in a long-term bullish trend.
另一个关键信号:现货销量下降。比特币投资者还没有急于兑现收益,而是宁愿担任自己的职位。这种态度反映了人们对长期看涨趋势的信心越来越大。
According to on-chain data, long-term holders are back in accumulation mode.
根据链上的数据,长期持有人恢复了积累模式。
A resistance to overcome to confirm momentum
阻力克服以确认动量
Despite these promising signals, bitcoin still faces a major technical resistance around $86,000. Breaking through this threshold would confirm a bullish recovery. For now, buyers are calmly defending the $81,000 zone, creating a favorable environment for a future explosion in volatility.
尽管有这些有希望的信号,但比特币仍然面临着重大的技术阻力,左右约为86,000美元。突破这个门槛将证实看涨的康复。目前,买家正在冷静地捍卫81,000美元的区域,为未来的波动性爆炸创造了一个有利的环境。
On the macroeconomic front, global trade uncertainties continue to impact assets. Especially right now as Donald Trump has just announced new tariffs, which have plummeted the stock markets into the red. However, bitcoin’s resilience in the face of these disruptions demonstrates its growing role as an alternative asset. Institutional investors, while cautious, seem ready to gradually reintegrate into the market.
在宏观经济方面,全球贸易不确定性继续影响资产。尤其是目前,唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)刚刚宣布了新的关税,这将股票市场暴跌为红色。但是,面对这些破坏,比特币的韧性表明了其作为替代资产的越来越多的作用。机构投资者虽然谨慎,但似乎准备逐渐重新融入市场。
Not all indicators are yet green, but the current context resembles a calm before the storm. If the selling pressure continues to wane and the resistance at $86,000 gives way, bitcoin could enter a new bullish phase. For savvy investors, now might be the time to accumulate, before the market takes off. But things could soon change, as there is a 70% chance that a crypto crash occurs before June.
并非所有的指标都绿色,但是当前的情况类似于暴风雨前的平静。如果销售压力继续下降,电阻为86,000美元,比特币可能会进入新的看涨阶段。对于精明的投资者而言,现在可能是在市场起飞之前积累的时候了。但是情况很快可能会发生变化,因为六月之前发生了70%的加密货币撞车事故。
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