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加密货币新闻

比特币[BTC]可能正在准备一个新的集会,这是两个关键的链链指标闪烁历史逆转信号

2025/03/30 23:00

比特币的Ssell侧风险比率已跌至0.086%,几个月来最低水平。低于0.1%的度量标准标出了强劲的反弹区域,反映了相对于市值而被抑制的利润。

比特币[BTC]可能正在准备一个新的集会,这是两个关键的链链指标闪烁历史逆转信号

Bitcoin price has struggled to break free from a key technical level, but two on-chain indicators are flashing historical reversal signals.

比特币的价格一直在努力摆脱关键的技术水平,但是两个链上指标正在闪烁历史逆转信号。

What Happened: Bitcoin's Sells-Side Risk Ratio has dropped to 0.086%, reaching its lowest point in months, according to Glassnode. This metric, which measures the potential for sellers to impact price, dipped below 0.1% during significant rebound zones.

发生的事情:根据GlassNode的数据,比特币的卖方风险比率已下降到0.086%,达到了几个月的最低点。该指标衡量了卖方影响价格的潜力,在重大篮板区域中下降了0.1%。

The indicator highlights periods of suppressed realized profits relative to market cap, which can occur when investors are hesitant to sell, reducing overhead pressure on price.

该指标重点介绍了被压制的时期相对于市值而实现的利润,这可能会在投资者犹豫出售时会发生,从而减少了价格上价的压力。

The last time the ratio fell below 0.1% was during Bitcoin's correction in September, just before it staged a recovery to new highs in Q4.

该比率上次下降到0.1%以下是在9月比特币的更正期间,就在第4季度的新高点上演了新高。

Currently, the ratio is again signaling a limited risk of profit-taking, setting the stage for a possible reversal if buying momentum returns.

目前,该比率再次表明利润赚钱的风险有限,如果购买势头回报,则为可能的逆转奠定了基础。

At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $81,099, remaining below the 50-day moving average of $84,934. The 200-day moving average stands at $93,916.

发稿时,比特币的交易价格为81,099美元,低于50天移动平均水平84,934美元。 200天移动平均线为93,916美元。

See More: Best Cryptocurrency Scanners

查看更多:最佳加密货币扫描仪

The 70-day MVRV momentum is also on the verge of breaking above its moving average, a crossover that has historically confirmed bottom formations.

70天的MVRV动量也处于超过其移动平均水平以上的边缘,这是一种历史上确认的底层形成。

The MVRV ratio, which compares market value to realized value, is used to identify undervaluation zones.

将市场价值与已实现价值进行比较的MVRV比率用于识别低估区。

Bitcoin's MVRV ratio has remained below the 70-day average for weeks, similar to the pre-bullish setups observed in late October and January. A confirmed breakout could act as the final confirmation of a bottom, especially as the broader macro environment shows signs of stabilization.

比特币的MVRV比率一直低于几周的70天平均水平,类似于10月下旬和1月观察到的前式设置。确认的突破可以作为底部的最终确认,尤其是当更广泛的宏观环境显示出稳定的迹象时。

Why It's Important: Bitcoin's technical setup is pivotal as it determines the short-term trends and potential reversals in the cryptocurrency.

为什么重要的是:比特币的技术设置至关重要,因为它决定了加密货币的短期趋势和潜在的逆转。

The inability to reclaim the 50-day MA poses a short-term challenge, but technical indicators suggest sellers are exhausted, and accumulation is returning.

无法收回50天的MA提出了短期挑战,但技术指标表明卖方已经耗尽了,积累正在返回。

If BTC can rise above $85K, it could unlock substantial buying pressure, setting the stage for a move toward the $90K psychological level.

如果BTC可以上涨8.5万美元,它可能会释放巨大的购买压力,从而为迈向$ 90K的心理水平的舞台奠定基础。

Until then, the market may continue to range, presenting opportunities for accumulation strategies as Bitcoin shows resilience despite macroeconomic headwinds.

在此之前,市场可能会继续范围,为累积策略带来了机会,因为尽管宏观经济逆风,比特币表现出弹性。

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