比特币（BTC）可能很快遵循Gold的价格轨迹，将年底付出至45万美元：分析师

尽管黄金继续设定新的历史高峰，但交易价格为每盎司3,420美元，比特币（BTC）可能很快遵循贵金属的价格轨迹

Crypto analyst Master of Crypto believes that Bitcoin (BTC) may soon follow gold’s price trajectory as the precious metal continues to set new all-time highs, currently trading at $3,420 per ounce.

加密分析师Crypto的分析师认为，随着贵金属继续创造新的历史高点，比特币（BTC）可能很快遵循Gold的价格轨迹，目前以每盎司3,420美元的价格交易。

In an X post today, Master of Crypto highlighted how BTC has historically mirrored gold’s price momentum. However, this year presents a unique scenario – it’s the first time gold is hitting new ATHs during a Bitcoin bull cycle.

在今天的X帖子中，加密大师强调了BTC历史上如何反映了Gold的价格动力。但是，今年呈现出独特的情况 - 这是黄金在比特币牛周期中首次击中新的ATHS。

The analyst noted that if gold holds its current price levels and Bitcoin catches up, a $450,000 BTC by year-end is “still on the table.” To reach this target, BTC would need to rally by approximately 430%.

分析师指出，如果Gold持有目前的价格水平并赶上比特币，那么年终的450,000美元BTC“仍在餐桌上”。为了达到这一目标，BTC将需要大约430％的竞选。

If we zoom out further, we can see that Bitcoin has been tracking the 'power curve' of gold since 2011. But this year is the 1st time we're seeing gold hit new all-time highs during a Bitcoin bull cycle.

如果我们进一步缩小，我们可以看到比特币自2011年以来一直在跟踪黄金的“功率曲线”。但是今年是我们第一次看到黄金在比特币牛周期中达到了新的历史最高点。

If gold manages to hold from here and Bitcoin has more catching up to do, then a $450k Bitcoin by year-end is still on the table. For that to happen, we'd need to see Bitcoin rally by around 430% from here.

如果黄金设法从这里握住，而比特币有更多的追赶，那么按年底划分的45万美元的比特币仍在餐桌上。为此，我们需要从这里看到比特币集会大约430％。

Another crypto analyst, Daan Crypto Trades, shared in a separate X post that the BTC-to-gold ratio is currently at a level which has seen decent reactions in the past.

另一位加密分析师Daan Crypto交易在单独的X帖子中分享，即BTC-GOLD比率目前处于过去的反应水平。

This has been a level which has seen decent reactions in the past as it trades around between roughly 16-37 for most of the past 4 years. Gold is taking the spotlight here but we've historically seen that whenever gold goes, BTC is usually soon to follow.

这是一个过去的水平，过去四年中大部分时间在大约16-37之间进行了交易。黄金在这里引起了人们的关注，但是我们历史上已经看到，每当黄金出现时，BTC通常很快就会随之而来。

If gold prices remain stable and the BTC-to-gold ratio climbs toward the upper end of its historical range - around 37 - Bitcoin could see substantial price appreciation relative to gold.

如果黄金价格保持稳定，并且BTC -GOLD比率升至其历史范围的上端（约37个），则比特币相对于黄金而言可能会看到大量的价格升值。

Favorable macroeconomic trends may further accelerate BTC's rise. For example, the global M2 money supply recently reached a new ATH, while BTC remains about 22% below its own ATH of $108,786, recorded in January 2025. Historically, BTC tends to lag behind changes in M2 supply by 70 to 107 days, which suggests a potential new ATH by June or July 2025.

有利的宏观经济趋势可能会进一步加速BTC的上升。例如，全球M2货币供应最近达到了一个新的ATH，而BTC仍低于其108,786美元的ATH约22％，该ATH于2025年1月记录。从历史上看，BTC倾向于落后于70至107天的M2供应变化，这表明在2025年6月或7月7月或2025年7月的新ATH中，BTC倾向于落后于70至107天。

Meanwhile, momentum indicators are signaling renewed strength in BTC. In a recent X post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto confirmed that BTC has completed a weekly RSI breakout, a development typically viewed as bullish.

同时，动量指标是在BTC中发出了更新强度的信号。在最近的X帖子中，Crypto的加密分析师Titan确认BTC已完成每周的RSI突破，这一发展通常被视为看涨。

On the other hand, crypto analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that nearly 60% of traders with open positions on Binance are currently betting on further downside for Bitcoin, and the long/short ratio now sits at 0.67.

另一方面，加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）指出，近60％的具有binance头寸的交易者目前正在押注比特币的进一步下降，而长/短比现在为0.67。

Despite the bearish sentiment, Bitcoin's TD Sequential indicator recently flashed a buy signal on the weekly chart, suggesting a possible move toward $95,000 in the near term.

尽管有看跌的情绪，但比特币的TD顺序指标最近在每周图表上闪烁了一个买信号，这表明在短期内可能会朝95,000美元转移。

At the time of writing, BTC is currently trading at $88,173, showing a 4.3% increase over the past 24 hours.

在撰写本文时，BTC目前的交易价格为88,173美元，在过去24小时内增长了4.3％。