比特币（BTC）最近发现自己处于熟悉的市场结构中

比特币（$ BTC）最近发现自己处于熟悉的市场结构中，类似于2020年6月观察到的价格动作。

Bitcoin (BTC) has been hovering in a familiar market structure that could be crucial for its next move. After a significant correction earlier in 2023, Bitcoin has been consolidating between the 21-week and 50-week exponential moving averages (EMAs).

比特币（BTC）一直在熟悉的市场结构中徘徊，这对于下一步行动至关重要。经过2023年早些时候进行了重大校正后，比特币在21周至50周的指数移动平均值（EMA）之间已巩固。

Bitcoin Is Getting Closer to 21-Week EMA

比特币越来越接近21周EMA

The 21-week EMA, represented by the green line, has been a key reference point for Bitcoin’s price movements. As Bitcoin gets closer to this moving average, which currently aligns around $88,500, traders are closely following for any potential breakout signals.

由绿线代表的21周EMA一直是比特币价格变动的关键参考点。随着比特币越来越接近这个移动平均线，目前约为88,500美元，交易者正在紧随其后的任何潜在突破信号。

"The lower 21-week EMA (green) is getting closer.

“较低的21周EMA（绿色）越来越近。

Past instances of this proximity have usually (but not always) preceeded major breakout movements... especially when Bitcoin is consolidating between the 21-week and 50-week EMAs.

过去的实例通常（但并非总是如此）先于重大突破运动……尤其是当比特币在21周和50周EMA之间巩固时。

The breakout signal, as seen in 2021, was a weekly close above the 21-week EMA followed by a successful post-breakout retest. This pattern signaled the confirmation of upward momentum, leading to substantial price gains.

突破信号在2021年所见，每周都超过21周的EMA，随后是成功后的重新测试。这种模式标志着确认向上动量，导致了大幅上涨。

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Bitcoin’s 2021 Breakout and Market Outlook

比特币的2021年突破和市场前景

The current market structure for Bitcoin is strikingly similar to what was observed in mid-2021. After a significant correction, Bitcoin is once again consolidating between the 21-week and 50-week EMAs. The price has been contained within this range for some time now, creating a sense of compression that is often a precursor to increased volatility.

比特币的当前市场结构与2021年中期观察到的非常相似。经过明显的校正后，比特币再次在21周和50周的EMA之间巩固。价格已经在此范围内已有一段时间了，从而产生了一种压缩感，通常是增加波动性的先驱。

For traders, the key levels to monitor are the 21-week EMA at $88,500 and the 50-week EMA, which continues to provide support. If Bitcoin closes above the 21-week EMA and holds the level with a successful retest, a new bullish trend could begin. The potential for such a move is significant, as Bitcoin has shown in the past that it can surge rapidly once it breaks free from periods of consolidation.

对于交易者而言，要监控的关键水平是21周的EMA为88,500美元和50周EMA，它继续提供支持。如果比特币关闭了21周的EMA，并成功进行了重新测试，那么新的看涨趋势将开始。这种举动的潜力很大，因为比特币过去表明，一旦它摆脱了整合时期，它就会迅速涌现。

For traders, the current market structure presents both a risk and an opportunity. If Bitcoin successfully breaks above the 21-week EMA, it could lead to substantial gains, reminiscent of the rally in late 2021. However, if the price fails to break out or experiences a rejection at this critical level, there is a risk of continued consolidation or even a downward correction.

对于交易者而言，当前的市场结构既有风险又有机会。如果比特币成功地超过21周的EMA，它可能会带来可观的增长，让人联想到2021年底的集会。但是，如果价格未能突破或在此关键水平上遭受拒绝，则有持续合并甚至下降校正的风险。

Investors who have been holding Bitcoin through this period of consolidation may see this as a crucial time to evaluate their positions. A breakout could lead to substantial profits, while a failure to break out could signal a longer-term sideways trend. As with any market, proper risk management strategies should be employed, especially given Bitcoin’s inherent volatility.

在这段合并期间一直持有比特币的投资者可能认为这是评估其职位的关键时期。突破可能导致可观的利润，而未能突破可能会表明长期的侧面趋势。与任何市场一样，应采用适当的风险管理策略，特别是考虑到比特币固有的波动性。