比特币（BTC）和以太坊（ETH）期权到期数据暗示未来市场波动

就在加密货币市场即将到期之际，比特币价格 BTC $97,904 24 小时波动率：0.4% 市值：$1.94 T Vol. 24小时：99.47美元B已反弹至99美元的历史新高

Bitcoin price today: BTC hits new all-time high at $99,502 as crypto market braces for a weekly options expiry.A total of $2.86 billion in Bitcoin options will expire today hinting at crypto market volatility ahead.

今日比特币价格：随着加密货币市场即将迎来每周期权到期，BTC 创下历史新高，达到 99,502 美元。总计 28.6 亿美元的比特币期权将于今天到期，暗示加密市场未来将出现波动。

The substantial expiration event could trigger short-term price volatility, especially as markets eagerly anticipate Bitcoin reaching the $100,000 milestone.

重大到期事件可能会引发短期价格波动，尤其是在市场热切预期比特币将达到 10 万美元里程碑的情况下。

A Look into the Bitcoin Options Expiry DataData from Deribit shows that 28,905 Bitcoin options contracts are set to expire on Friday, featuring a put-to-call ratio of 1.09 and a maximum pain point of $86,000.

比特币期权到期数据分析 来自 Deribit 的数据显示，28,905 份比特币期权合约将于周五到期，看跌期权与看涨期权比率为 1.09，最大痛点为 86,000 美元。

The put-to-call ratio, which measures market sentiment, currently stands above 1, signaling bearish sentiment despite recent growth fueled by Bitcoin whales and long-term holders.

衡量市场情绪的看跌期权与看涨期权比率目前高于 1，表明尽管近期比特币鲸鱼和长期持有者推动了比特币的增长，但看跌情绪依然存在。

Courtesy: Deribit

礼貌：德里比特

While everyone is expecting a Bitcoin price breakout above $100K, there could be a brief correction ahead before it finally happens. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, the TD Sequential indicator has flashed a sell signal on Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart, suggesting a potential correction toward $97,085.

虽然每个人都预计比特币价格会突破 10 万美元，但在最终发生之前可能会出现短暂的调整。加密货币分析师 Ali Martinez 表示，TD Sequential 指标已在比特币 4 小时图表上闪现出卖出信号，表明比特币可能会回调至 97,085 美元。

Courtesy: Ali Charts

礼貌：阿里图表

However, if Bitcoin manages a candlestick close above $100,470, it could invalidate the bearish pattern. In such a scenario, BTC may climb to targets of $102,656 or $104,343, noted Martinez.

然而，如果比特币的烛台收盘价高于 100,470 美元，则看跌模式可能无效。马丁内斯指出，在这种情况下，比特币可能会攀升至 102,656 美元或 104,343 美元的目标。

Ethereum Options Expiry and Analyst PredictionsA total of 164,687 Ethereum options contracts are set to expire today, with a put-to-call ratio of 0.66 and a maximum pain point of $3,050. The lower put-to-call ratio reflects a generally bullish sentiment in the ETH market.

以太坊期权到期和分析师预测今天共有 164,687 个以太坊期权合约到期，看跌期权与看涨期权比率为 0.66，最大痛点为 3,050 美元。较低的看跌期权比率反映了 ETH 市场的普遍看涨情绪。

As of press time, Ethereum is trading at $3,389. Analysts at Greeks.live suggest Ethereum ETH $3 291 24h volatility: 1.7% Market cap: $397.14 B Vol. 24h: $48.59 B could see continued upward momentum in line with the bullish put-to-call ratio, while Bitcoin appears poised for a potential correction. They added:

截至发稿，以太坊交易价格为 3,389 美元。 Greeks.live 的分析师建议以太坊 ETH $3 291 24 小时波动率：1.7% 市值：$397.14 B Vol. 24 小时：48.59 美元 B 可能会看到与看涨的看涨期权比率一致的持续上涨势头，而比特币似乎准备进行潜在的调整。他们补充道：

“With about 8% of positions expiring this week, the big rally in Ethereum has led to a significant increase in ETH major term options IV [implied volatility], while BTC major term options IV has remained relatively stable. The market sentiment remains extremely optimistic at this point”.

“本周约有 8% 的头寸到期，以太坊的大幅上涨导致 ETH 主要期限期权 IV（隐含波动率）大幅增加，而 BTC 主要期限期权 IV 则保持相对稳定。目前市场情绪仍然极其乐观”。

Analysts highlight that despite Bitcoin’s risk of a correction, the broader market rally may prevent a significant pullback. This could be due to the substantial capital inflows into ETFs, particularly BlackRock’s newly launched IBIT options. Yesterday, BlackRock’s IBIT clocked $5 billion in trading volumes.

分析师强调，尽管比特币存在回调风险，但更广泛的市场反弹可能会阻止大幅回调。这可能是由于大量资金流入 ETF，特别是贝莱德新推出的 IBIT 期权。昨天，贝莱德的 IBIT 交易量达到 50 亿美元。

Also, the total inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs yesterday crossed over $1 billion with IBIT alone contributing more than $600 million.

此外，昨天流入现货比特币 ETF 的总资金超过 10 亿美元，其中仅 IBIT 就贡献了超过 6 亿美元。

Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast and holds a good flair in understanding financial markets. His interest in economics and finance draw his attention towards the new emerging Blockchain Technology and Cryptocurrency markets. He is continuously in a learning process and keeps himself motivated by sharing his acquired knowledge. In free time he reads thriller fictions novels and sometimes explore his culinary skills.

Bhushan 是一位金融科技爱好者，对金融市场有着很好的了解。他对经济和金融的兴趣引起了他对新兴区块链技术和加密货币市场的关注。他不断地处于学习过程中，并通过分享所学到的知识来保持自己的动力。在空闲时间，他会阅读惊悚小说，有时还会探索自己的烹饪技巧。

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