比特币（BTC）面临着重大测试，因为它难以回收$ 89,000

比特币面临着重要的测试，因为它很难收回89000美元，一位分析师说，可以确定其下一个重大举措。

Bitcoin is facing a critical test as it struggles to reclaim $89,000, a level that could determine its next major move.

比特币正面临着重要的测试，因为它努力收回89,000美元，这一水平可以决定其下一个重大举措。

According to crypto analyst Matthew Hyland, failure to close above this mark could push BTC toward $69,000, a price last seen in November.

据加密分析师马修·海兰德（Matthew Hyland）称，未能超过此商标可能会将BTC推向69,000美元，这是11月最后一次出现的价格。

Crucial Resistance at $89K

关键抵抗力为$ 89K

Highlighting a key resistance zone at $89,000 in a March 13 video post on X, Hyland explained that Bitcoin’s inability to reclaim this zone leaves it vulnerable to further downside.

Hyland在3月13日的视频帖子中强调了一个关键阻力区，价格为89,000美元，Hyland解释说，比特币无法收回该区域，因此很容易受到进一步的不利影响。

“The only way for Bitcoin to confirm that the bottom is actually in would be to close a weekly back above $89K,” Hyland said.

Hyland说：“比特币确认底部实际上所在的唯一途径是将每周返回89,000美元以上的返回。”

Bitcoin last touched $89,000 on March 7 before dropping to $78,523 on March 11. It has since stabilized around $83,000. A decisive move above $89,000 would liquidate approximately $1.6 billion in short positions, according to data from CoinGlass.

比特币最后一次在3月7日触及了89,000美元，然后在3月11日下跌至78,523美元。此后稳定了约83,000美元。根据Coinglass的数据，一项决定性的举动超过89,000美元，将在短期内清算约16亿美元。

Without a strong breakout, Hyland warned BTC could fall to $74,000 or even $69,000.

没有强大的突破，海兰德警告BTC可能会降至74,000美元甚至69,000美元。

“It probably is likely at this point that going into the coming weeks or the coming months, Bitcoin will likely test this lower range at some point of support,” he added.

他补充说：“在这一点上可能是在接下来的几周或接下来的几个月中，比特币可能会在某个支持点测试此较低的范围。”

Macroeconomic Pressure on BTC Demand

BTC需求的宏观经济压力

Bitcoin’s price weakness has coincided with declining U.S. demand. Data from CryptoQuant shows that demand for Bitcoin in the U.S. fell by 103,000 BTC last week, the fastest contraction since July 2024.

比特币的价格弱点与美国需求的下降相吻合。来自CryptoQuant的数据表明，上周美国对比特币的需求下降了103,000 BTC，这是2024年7月以来最快的收缩。

Market uncertainty surrounding inflation and U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs have contributed to Bitcoin’s declining appeal among investors. On March 7, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that he was in no rush to cut interest rates, further dampening sentiment.

通货膨胀和美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的贸易关税的市场不确定性导致比特币在投资者中的吸引力下降。 3月7日，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）重申，他不急于降低利率，进一步抑制情绪。

Meanwhile, Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum imports have triggered retaliatory measures from the European Union. The EU plans to impose tariffs on $28 billion worth of U.S. goods starting April 1. Analysts warn that escalating trade tensions could weaken global risk appetite, adding pressure on Bitcoin.

同时，特朗普对钢铁和铝进口的关税引发了欧盟的报复措施。欧盟计划从4月1日开始对价值280亿美元的美国商品征收关税。分析师警告说，贸易紧张局势的升级可能会削弱全球风险食欲，从而增加比特币的压力。

Marcin Kazmierczak, chief operating officer at RedStone, suggested the situation could escalate further.

Redstone首席运营官Marcin Kazmierczak建议这种情况可能会进一步升级。

“Counter tariffs aren’t a positive signal as they suggest a potential bounce back from the other side again,” Kazmierczak said.

Kazmierczak说：“反关税并不是一个积极的信号，因为他们暗示可能再次从另一边反弹。”

Market Volatility Could Stall Breakout

市场波动可能会停止突破

Despite expectations for a Bitcoin recovery, rising volatility in the U.S. Treasury market could stall any upside move.

尽管期望比特币恢复，但美国财政部市场的波动率上升可能会使任何上行转移陷入困境。

U.S. inflation data for February came in softer than expected, boosting hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Some analysts projected BTC would climb to $90,000. However, the Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate Index (MOVE), which tracks Treasury market volatility, has surged 38% in three weeks, reaching its highest level since November.

2月份的美国通货膨胀数据比预期的要柔和，这提高了对美联储降低利率的希望。一些分析师预计BTC将攀升至90,000美元。但是，跟踪财政部市场波动性的Merrill Lynch选项波动率估计指数（Move）在三周内飙升了38％，达到了11月以来的最高水平。

According to On-chain data from IntoTheBlock, Bitcoin remains trapped between key liquidity zones with strong support at $79,270 and $69,450. Heavy resistance is anticipated between $84,296 and $86,753.

根据来自Intotheblock的链链数据，比特币仍被困在主要支持区的关键流动性区之间，为79,270美元和69,450美元。预计重度为84,296美元至86,753美元。

Bitcoin’s next move will be crucial as it pivots at a critical juncture. A weekly candle atellargleather

比特币的下一步行动将是至关重要的，因为它在关键时刻枢纽。每周的蜡烛Atellargleather