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根据Matrixport的最新报告,比特币的更正可能会延长至3月或4月。
Bitcoin's price correction could continue until March or April due to several macroeconomic headwinds, including central bank monetary policies and the strength of the US dollar, according to a recent analysis by crypto research firm Matrixport.
根据加密研究公司Matrixport最近的一项分析,比特币的价格更正可能持续到3月或4月,包括中央银行的货币政策和美元实力。
What Happened: Macro concerns have been impacting the crypto market, especially in the past week as Bitcoin fell below the $80,000 mark amid a broader market downturn due to global trade tensions and a rise in market volatility.
发生的事情是:宏观担忧一直在影响加密市场,尤其是在过去一周,由于全球贸易紧张局势和市场波动的增长,比特币低于80,000美元的公路。
Three main US stock market indexes also recorded significant losses. The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) dropped 7.05% over the past five days, the S&P 500 Index (SP500) fell by 1.33%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) saw a decrease of 1.04%.
美国三个主要的股票市场指数也记录了巨大的损失。在过去五天中,纳斯达克100(NDX)下降了7.05%,标准普尔500指数(SP500)下降了1.33%,道琼斯工业平均水平(DJIA)下降了1.04%。
Top trends also included the US Dollar Index (DXY) approaching the level of 107.40 for the third consecutive day of gains. The dollar is viewed as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, which could be affecting crypto prices.
最高趋势还包括美元指数(DXY)连续第三天接近107.40的水平。在经济不确定性时期,美元被视为避风港资产,这可能会影响加密价格。
Lower liquidity in the markets is also a factor driving the dollar's strength, and it is expected to exert downward pressure on Bitcoin prices, as noted by Matrixport.
正如Matrixport所指出的那样,市场上的流动性降低也是推动美元实力的因素,预计它将对比特币价格施加向下压力。
The dollar's strength is also linked to US economic policies, such as the recent confirmation from President Donald Trump regarding the increase in tariffs, which is further supporting the dollar's trend.
美元的实力也与美国的经济政策有关,例如唐纳德·特朗普总统最近确认关税的增加,这进一步支持了美元的趋势。
According to Matrixport's analysis, global liquidity reached a peak in December 2024, but it is now decreasing, which could indicate that Bitcoin's correction could continue until global markets adjust to this new economic reality.
根据Matrixport的分析,全球流动性在2024年12月达到了高峰,但现在正在减少,这可能表明比特币的校正可能会持续到全球市场适应这种新的经济现实为止。
Related Link: Donald Trump Confirms Increase In Tariffs On Goods From China
相关链接:唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)确认中国商品关税的增加
What Is In It For Investors: Despite the correction in Bitcoin prices, investors are displaying strong bullish sentiment.
投资者中有什么:尽管比特币价格进行了更正,但投资者仍表现出强烈的看涨情绪。
According to data from Santiment, mentions of "buying the dip" on social media have reached their highest level since July 2024. This behavior suggests that traders are viewing this correction as an opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoin at lower prices.
根据Santiment的数据,提到社交媒体上的“购买浸入”以来已经达到了2024年7月以来的最高水平。这种行为表明,交易者正在将这种更正视为以较低价格积累更多比特币的机会。
Experts like Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investment, are also noticing signs of a potential short-term bottom in the market. Edwards points out the high level of fear on the Fear & Greed Index, current liquidations, and traders' behavior as indicators.
Capriole Investment的创始人查尔斯·爱德华兹(Charles Edwards)等专家也注意到了市场上潜在的短期底层的迹象。爱德华兹指出,对恐惧和贪婪指数,当前清算和商人行为的高度恐惧作为指标。
Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, adds that, contrary to popular opinion, Bitcoin's bull cycle is not over yet. However, Ju cautions that if the price of Bitcoin drops below $75,000, it could signal a change in the current bull cycle.
CryptoQuant首席执行官Ki Young Ju补充说,与大众见解相反,比特币的公牛循环尚未结束。但是,JU警告说,如果比特币的价格下跌低于$ 75,000,则可能表明当前的牛周期发生了变化。
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