比特币（BTC）飙升至历史新高后值得买入吗？

许多投资者预计 2024 年加密货币市场收益将飙升，但领先的加密货币公司却走了不同的道路。硬币和代币价格

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) had a stellar 2023. The world's largest cryptocurrency by market cap began the year trading around $47,000. It hit a record high near $75,000 in March, then spent the rest of the year trending down to close out 2023 around $42,000.

比特币（加密货币：BTC）在 2023 年表现出色。全球市值最大的加密货币今年年初的交易价格约为 47,000 美元。该股在 3 月份创下近 75,000 美元的历史新高，然后在今年剩余时间里呈下降趋势，到 2023 年收盘价约为 42,000 美元。

That full-year chart doesn't tell the whole story, though. Bitcoin started the year in a bullish mood, rallying 60% in the first two months of 2023. It hit a local bottom in June, then rallied again for the rest of the year, gaining 30% in the second half.

不过，全年图表并不能说明全部情况。比特币以看涨情绪开始了今年，在 2023 年前两个月上涨了 60%。它在 6 月份触底，然后在今年剩余时间里再次反弹，下半年上涨了 30%。

Bitcoin Price Chart by TradingView

TradingView 的比特币价格图表

What happened

发生了什么

There were several key events that helped Bitcoin rally in 2023. First and foremost, the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates to combat soaring inflation. This caused a sell-off in many risk assets, including Bitcoin. However, Bitcoin began to rally in the second half of the year as investors grew more optimistic that the Fed would soon pivot to cutting rates again.

有几个关键事件帮助比特币在 2023 年上涨。首先也是最重要的是，美联储开始加息以应对飙升的通胀。这导致包括比特币在内的许多风险资产遭到抛售。然而，随着投资者对美联储很快将再次降息变得更加乐观，比特币在下半年开始上涨。

Another key event that helped Bitcoin was the launch of several Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These ETFs make it easier for investors to add Bitcoin to their portfolios, and they helped to fuel a wave of new money into the cryptocurrency.

另一个对比特币有帮助的关键事件是多个比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的推出。这些 ETF 让投资者更容易将比特币添加到他们的投资组合中，并帮助推动了一波新资金进入加密货币。

Finally, Bitcoin's halving event also occurred in 2023. This event, which occurs roughly every four years, reduces the amount of Bitcoin that is rewarded to miners by 50%. This helps to slow down the rate of new Bitcoin creation, and it is typically seen as a bullish event for the cryptocurrency.

最后，比特币的减半事件也发生在2023年。这一事件大约每四年发生一次，使得奖励给矿工的比特币数量减少了50%。这有助于减缓新比特币的创造速度，并且通常被视为加密货币的看涨事件。

So what now?

那么现在怎么办？

Bitcoin's 2023 performance was solid, especially considering the broader market sell-off. However, it's important to remember that cryptocurrency is still a volatile asset class, and there is no guarantee that Bitcoin will continue to perform well in 2024.

比特币 2023 年的表现稳健，尤其是考虑到更广泛的市场抛售。然而，重要的是要记住，加密货币仍然是一种不稳定的资产类别，并不能保证比特币在 2024 年会继续表现良好。

That said, there are several factors that could help Bitcoin continue to rally this year. First, the global economy is expected to improve in 2024, which should help to boost risk assets like Bitcoin. Second, the Fed is widely expected to begin cutting interest rates again later this year, which should also help to fuel a rally in Bitcoin.

也就是说，有几个因素可能有助于比特币今年继续上涨。首先，全球经济预计将在 2024 年改善，这应有助于提振比特币等风险资产。其次，人们普遍预计美联储将在今年晚些时候再次降息，这也将有助于推动比特币的上涨。

Finally, Bitcoin is still trading at a significant discount to its all-time high, which could leave room for further gains. However, investors should be prepared for volatility along the way.

最后，比特币的交易价格仍较其历史高点大幅折扣，这可能为进一步上涨留下空间。然而，投资者应该为一路上的波动做好准备。