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在过去的24小时内,比特币(BTC)和更广泛的加密货币市场在过去的24小时内看到了明显的看涨转变
President Donald Trump's announcement of the five tokens that will be included in the long-promised strategic crypto reserve has seen bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market kicking off the new week with notable bullish gains.
唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)总统宣布将包括长期宣传的战略加密保护区(BTC)和更广泛的加密货币市场(BTC)以显着的看涨收益开始了新的一周。
That has also seen investors return to placing bullish bets, or call options, at the $100,000 level on bitcoin, according to data from Amberdata.
根据Amberdata的数据,这也使投资者恢复了对比特币的10万美元的看涨赌注或呼叫选项。
BTC, the world’s leading cryptocurrency, rose by nearly 10% over 24 hours, reaching a high of over $95,000 at one point, CoinDesk data showed. Other tokens that Trump named - ETH, XRP, SOL and ADA - chalked out more significant gains.
Coindesk的数据显示,BTC是世界领先的加密货币,在24小时内增长了近10%,一点点达到95,000美元以上。特朗普命名的其他代币-ETH,XRP,SOL和ADA-取得了更大的收益。
On Sunday, Trump announced on Truth Social that he has directed the Presidential Working Group to move forward on a crypto strategic reserve that includes XRP, SOL and ADA, with bitcoin and ether at the heart of the reserve. The market reacted with enthusiasm to this news.
周日,特朗普宣布真相社会,他指示总统工作组推进了包括XRP,SOL和ADA在内的加密战略储备,而比特币和Ether则是预备役的核心。市场对这一消息充满热情。
This is despite the lack of swift action on the promised reserve since Trump took office on Jan. 20, saw industry players grow disappointed.
尽管自从特朗普于1月20日上任以来,这是对承诺预备役的迅速行动,但行业参与者变得失望。
But now, this whole episode is being seen as an installment of the "Trump put" on crypto, suggesting that the Trump administration will intervene to support the market in turbulent times. This is similar to how the Federal Reserve is known to do for stock markets.
但是现在,整个情节被视为“特朗普投入”加密货币的一部分,这表明特朗普政府将在动荡的时期进行干预以支持市场。这类似于美联储为股票市场所做的如何。
"Today Trump signaled there is a Trump put on crypto. This is good enough for a trend change, particularly given how BTC blasted through resitance with sentiment among many at all time lows," trader and analyst Alex Kruger said on X.
Trader兼分析师Alex Kruger在X上说:“今天,特朗普表示特朗普有一个加密货币。这足以改变趋势,尤其是考虑到BTC如何通过一直以来的人们在许多人的情绪中爆炸。”
Kruger said that BTC has now re-established $89,000 and $92,000 as key support level and traders can "long support confidently with clear invalidation levels below."
克鲁格说,BTC现在已经重新建立了89,000美元和92,000美元作为关键支持水平,而交易者可以“长期以来一直在自信地支持下面的无效水平”。
Josh Gilbert, market analyst at eToro, shared a similar view in an email to CoinDesk, saying, "Given the President's vested interests, it feels like this is something investors may need to get used to; sell-offs of this nature could continue to be supported moving forward."
埃托罗(Etoro)市场分析师乔什·吉尔伯特(Josh Gilbert)在一封电子邮件中与科德斯克(Coindesk)分享了类似的观点,他说:“鉴于总统的既得利益,感觉这似乎是投资者可能需要习惯的东西;这种性质的抛售可能会继续得到支持。”
Against this backdrop, there has been renewed activity in the $100K strike call, signaling that traders are betting on further price gains despite the ongoing volatility. A call option gives the purchaser the right to buy the underlying asset at a predetermined price on or before a specific date, thus offering the buyer an asymmetric upside exposure.
在此背景下,在$ 10万美元的罢工电话中已经重新进行了活动,表明尽管持续波动,交易者仍在押注进一步的价格上涨。呼叫选项使购买者有权在特定日期或之前以预定的价格购买基础资产,从而为买方提供了不对称的上行敞口。
Now, according to Amberdata, the world's leading blockchain data intelligence platform, the number of active positions, also known as open interest, in the $100K call has increased by 1,163 contracts (worth over $100 million). This is the largest addition among all options listed on Deribit.
现在,根据世界领先的区块链数据情报平台Amberdata的说法,主动头寸的数量(也称为开放兴趣)在$ 10万美元的电话中增加了1,163份合同(价值超过1亿美元)。这是deribit上列出的所有选项中最大的添加。
"$100k will be the level everyone is looking at intra-week," Greg Magadini, director of derivatives at Amberdata, said in an email. This upcoming [week] will have interesting ‘Buy the rumor / Sell the news’ dynamics around the March 7th crypto summit.
Amberdata的衍生产品总监Greg Magadini在一封电子邮件中说:“每周都会关注每周一周的水平。”即将到来的[周]将在3月7日的加密峰会上有趣的“购买谣言 /出售新闻”动态。
The renewed bias for calls, in general, is also evident from the recovery in the short-term skews, which measure the implied volatility premium (demand) for calls relative to puts.
通常,从短期偏斜的恢复中也可以明显看出,呼叫的新偏见也可以明显看出,这衡量了相对于投票的呼叫的隐含波动溢价(需求)。
The seven-, 30- and 60-day skews have bounced to zero and higher, up significantly from the deep negative readings since Friday when traders chased protective put options.
七,30天和60天的偏斜已经弹跳到零及以上,这比周五交易者追逐保护性投票选项以来的深层读数显着远。
"People like to buy calls and sell puts when the market bounces," Deribit's Asia Business Development Head, Lin Chen, told CoinDesk.
Deribit的亚洲业务发展负责人Lin Chen告诉Coindesk:“人们喜欢在市场弹跳时购买电话和销售。”
However, some observers are worried that the progress on crypto reserve could be slower-than-expected.
但是,一些观察者担心加密储备的进度可能比预期较慢。
"Nothing new here. Just words. Lmk when they get congressional approval to borrow money and or revalue the gold price higher. Without that, they have no money to buy bitcoin and shitcoins," Arthur Hayes, chief investment officer and co-founder of Maelstrom Fund, said on X, reacting to Trump's announcement.
“这里没什么新的。只要说话。当他们获得国会批准以借钱和或重估黄金价格时,他们就没有钱来购买比特币和狗屎币,” Maelstrom Fund的首席投资官兼联合创始人Arthur Hayes在X上对Trump的宣布做出了反应。
Several others, including Bybit's CEO Ben Zhou, share a similar view.
包括拜比特(Bybit)首席执行官本·周(Ben Zhou)在内的其他一些人也有类似的看法。
"The sentiment we're seeing in the wake of the U.S. federal crypto reserve announcement is largely bullish, with expectations of institutional inflows and global competition for crypto reserves. Scepticism remains, however, with specific concerns over execution, Congressional approval, and potential long-term risks like government intervention," Mark Hiriart, Head of Sales at digital asset trading firm Zerocap, said in an email to CoinDesk.
“在美国联邦加密储备储备公告之后,我们看到的情绪在很大程度上是看涨的,对机构流入和全球对加密储备的竞争的期望。但是,怀疑主义仍然对执行,国会批准以及潜在的长期风险以及诸如政府介入的潜在长期风险的具体担忧。
"While institutions may rush in, unclear regulations and macroeconomic conditions could determine whether this rally sticks," Hiriart added, saying the focus now will be on the White House Crypto Summit on March 7, which could provide more details about the crypto reserve.
Hiriart补充说:“尽管机构可能会涌入,但不清楚的法规和宏观经济条件是否可以决定这一集会的持续存在。”他说,现在的重点将在3月7日的白宫加密省会上进行,这可以提供有关加密货币储备的更多详细信息。
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