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交易公司 QCP Capital 表示,此举与 2016 年和 2020 年美国大选前 BTC 的价格走势类似。
Bitcoin price rose to above $65,000 during U.S. morning trading hours on Monday, as the S&P 500 index opened at a new high. Some traders believe that historical price patterns observed ahead of previous U.S. presidential elections could provide a reason to be optimistic heading into November's upcoming vote.
周一美国早盘交易时段,随着标准普尔 500 指数开盘新高,比特币价格升至 65,000 美元以上。一些交易员认为,在历届美国总统选举之前观察到的历史价格模式可能为即将到来的 11 月投票提供乐观的理由。
According to data, BTC increased by 4% over the last 24 hours, while the broad-based CoinDesk 20 (CD20), a liquid fund that tracks the largest tokens, saw a 3.1% gain.
数据显示,BTC 在过去 24 小时内上涨了 4%,而追踪最大代币的流动性基金 CoinDesk 20 (CD20) 则上涨了 3.1%。
At the opening, the S&P 500 rose by 14.8 points, or 0.25%, to 5,829.81, ahead of a week filled with corporate earnings and economic data, as reported by Reuters.
据路透社报道,标准普尔 500 指数开盘上涨 14.8 点,涨幅为 0.25%,至 5,829.81 点,一周前充斥着企业盈利和经济数据。
Since the early Asian hours on Monday, BTC has rallied from $62,000 to $65,000, liquidating over $80 million of BTC and ether (ETH) leveraged shorts, which are bets against the tokens. This early move was driven by renewed hopes of a future stimulus for Chinese markets, which tends to drive up riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies.
自周一亚洲早盘以来,BTC 已从 62,000 美元上涨至 65,000 美元,清算了超过 8000 万美元的 BTC 和以太坊 (ETH) 杠杆空头,这些空头是做空这些代币的。这一早期举措是由对中国市场未来刺激措施的新希望推动的,这往往会推高包括加密货币在内的风险资产。
Trading firm QCP Capital noted that this move is reminiscent of BTC's price action in 2016 and 2020, ahead of the U.S. elections.
交易公司 QCP Capital 指出,这一举动让人想起 2016 年和 2020 年美国大选前的 BTC 价格走势。
“If we look back to 2016, BTC traded in a very tight range for over 3 months,” QCP traders stated in a broadcast message. "It wasn't until three weeks before U.S. Election day that BTC began its rally from $600 and finally doubling its price by the first week of January.”
QCP 交易员在广播消息中表示:“如果我们回顾 2016 年,BTC 在超过 3 个月的时间里一直在非常窄的区间内交易。” “直到美国大选日前三周,比特币才从 600 美元开始反弹,并最终在 1 月第一周价格翻倍。”
“Similarly, in 2020, BTC was stuck in a boring range for half a year and only started rallying from $11K just three weeks before U.S. Election day, reaching a high of $42K by January,” they added.
他们补充道:“同样,在 2020 年,BTC 陷入了无聊的区间长达半年之久,直到美国大选日前三周才从 1.1 万美元开始反弹,到 1 月份达到了 4.2 万美元的高点。”
“Today's rally has definitely given the market a glimmer of hope just as Uptober optimism was fading,” the traders said, referring to October’s historically bullish seasonality.
交易员们在谈到 10 月份历来看涨的季节性时表示,“在 Uptober 的乐观情绪正在消退之际,今天的上涨无疑给市场带来了一线希望。”
Since 2013, October has only ended in the red twice, notching gains as high as 60% and averaging 22% to become the best month for investor returns. However, over the last two weeks, prices have remained largely stable, dampening investor hopes.
自2013年以来,10月份仅两次出现亏损,涨幅高达60%,平均涨幅为22%,成为投资者回报最好的月份。然而,过去两周,价格基本保持稳定,削弱了投资者的希望。
The bitcoin price stood at around $63,330 on Sept. 30, indicating that the largest cryptocurrency is up only slightly on a month-to-date basis.
9 月 30 日,比特币价格约为 63,330 美元,这表明这一最大的加密货币本月迄今仅小幅上涨。
According to a CoinDesk analysis, most gains in October tend to occur in the second half of the month, with price jumps of up to 16% typically appearing after Oct. 15.
根据 CoinDesk 的分析,10 月份的大部分上涨往往发生在下半月,最高 16% 的价格上涨通常出现在 10 月 15 日之后。
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