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在 X 上的一篇新文章中,CryptoQuant 作者 Axel Adler Jr 谈到了比特币平均币龄的最新趋势。
An analyst has highlighted how the average age of a Bitcoin token has continued to increase during the recent bull run, a development that could be bullish for the asset’s price.
一位分析师强调,在最近的牛市中,比特币代币的平均年龄持续增长,这一发展可能有利于该资产的价格。
Bitcoin Average Coin Age Trended Up Recently
比特币平均币龄近期呈上升趋势
In a new post on X, CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr covered the recent activity in the Average Coin Age for Bitcoin. The “Average Coin Age” is an on-chain metric that follows how long, on average, a BTC token has remained dormant.
在 X 上的一篇新文章中,CryptoQuant 作者 Axel Adler Jr 介绍了比特币平均币龄的最新活动。 “平均币龄”是一个链上指标,用于衡量 BTC 代币平均保持休眠状态的时间。
A coin is considered to be dormant when it sits still within an address and doesn’t participate in any kind of transaction activity. The longer a coin stays in this state, the more it ‘ages’ up.
当硬币静止在地址内并且不参与任何类型的交易活动时,它被认为是休眠的。硬币在这种状态下停留的时间越长,它“老化”的时间就越长。
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Here’s a chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the 30-day and 365-day moving averages (MAs) of the Bitcoin Average Coin Age over the last few years:
下面是分析师分享的图表,显示了过去几年比特币平均币龄的 30 天和 365 天移动平均线 (MA) 的趋势:
As you can see in the above graph, the 30-day MA of the Bitcoin Average Coin Age saw some sharp spikes this year, but also some equally steep declines. This would suggest that the investors participated in some phases of HODLing, but they also didn’t shy away from taking some profits.
正如您在上图中所看到的,比特币平均币龄的 30 天移动平均线今年出现了一些急剧上升,但也出现了一些同样急剧的下降。这表明投资者参与了持有的某些阶段,但他们也不回避获利了结。
Overall, however, the holders showed a strong resolve, as the 365-day MA of the indicator trended up constantly ever since the 2022 bear market ended.
但总体而言,持有者表现出了强烈的决心,因为该指标的 365 天均线自 2022 年熊市结束以来一直呈上升趋势。
Statistically, the longer investors hold onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them at any point. Hence, the fact that investors showed a preference, on average, to keep their coins dormant could be a bullish sign for the cryptocurrency’s price.
据统计,投资者持有代币的时间越长,他们在任何时候出售代币的可能性就越小。因此,投资者平均倾向于保持其代币处于休眠状态,这一事实可能是加密货币价格的看涨信号。
Interestingly, this trend didn’t develop during the 2021 bull market, as while the 30-day MA of the Average Coin Age saw a period of uptrend, the 365-day MA instead trended down throughout the year. This could imply that the average investor has become smarter this cycle.
有趣的是,这种趋势在2021年牛市期间并没有发展,平均币龄的30日均线出现了一段时间的上升趋势,而365日均线全年却呈下降趋势。这可能意味着普通投资者在本周期变得更加聪明。
In the short-term, the 30-day MA of the indicator saw a rapid climb, suggesting that the Bitcoin market is currently in one of the phases of active accumulation.
短期来看,该指标的30日均线快速攀升,表明比特币市场目前正处于积极吸筹阶段之一。
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比特币情绪仍接近极度贪婪:底部需要更多冷却?
In other news, market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock has shared an update on how the 5+ years old BTC supply is looking right now.
在其他新闻中,市场情报平台 IntoTheBlock 分享了 5 年多前的 BTC 供应目前情况的最新情况。
The chart shows that this portion of the Bitcoin supply has been increasing lately. Following the latest jump, almost a third of the asset’s tokens in circulation haven’t been involved in a transaction for over five years.
该图表显示,这部分比特币供应最近一直在增加。在最近一次上涨之后,流通中的资产中近三分之一的代币已经五年多没有参与过交易。
BTC Price
比特币价格
Bitcoin price saw a 3% decrease over the last 24 hours, bringing the asset’s price down to $95,900.
比特币价格在过去 24 小时内下跌了 3%,使该资产的价格跌至 95,900 美元。
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