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加密货币新闻

比特币、山寨币在市场牛熊拉锯战中面临关键之战

2024/04/27 03:00

比特币和以太坊很可能进入牛市,大量资金涌入 Coinbase 以及机构投资者兴趣的增长就证明了这一点。分析师预测,这笔资金的流入可能会将加密货币整体市值推高至 6 万亿美元。对十大加密货币的技术分析表明,还有可能进一步上涨,如果比特币能够突破 50 日移动平均线,预计将恢复上涨趋势。

比特币、山寨币在市场牛熊拉锯战中面临关键之战

Bitcoin and Altcoins Face Crucial Battle as Market Weighs Bullish and Bearish Forces

随着市场看涨和看跌力量的影响,比特币和山寨币面临着关键的战斗

In the realm of digital assets, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to navigate a precarious trading range, with analysts eagerly monitoring large inflows of funds into exchanges. Whales, known for their substantial holdings, have recently transferred a staggering $1.3 billion of USD Coin (USDC) to Coinbase, fueling speculation that these funds may be earmarked for Bitcoin and Ether (ETH) acquisitions.

在数字资产领域,比特币(BTC)继续在不稳定的交易区间中徘徊,分析师热切地关注大量资金流入交易所。以持有大量资产而闻名的鲸鱼最近将价值 13 亿美元的美元代币 (USDC) 转移到 Coinbase,引发了人们对这些资金可能专门用于收购比特币和以太币 (ETH) 的猜测。

This bullish sentiment is further corroborated by institutional investors' increasing interest in Solana (SOL). Recent research from CoinShares reveals that 15% of institutional investors surveyed have invested in SOL, a significant shift from January's survey, where none of the respondents held the cryptocurrency.

机构投资者对 Solana (SOL) 日益增长的兴趣进一步证实了这种看涨情绪。 CoinShares 最近的研究显示,接受调查的机构投资者中有 15% 投资了 SOL,这与 1 月份的调查相比发生了重大转变,当时没有受访者持有加密货币。

Mark Yusko, CEO of Morgan Creek Capital, projects an influx of approximately $300 billion from baby boomers into digital assets within the next 12 months. This substantial inflow could potentially boost the cryptocurrency market capitalization to an impressive $6 trillion.

Morgan Creek Capital 首席执行官 Mark Yusko 预计,未来 12 个月内,婴儿潮一代将向数字资产注入约 3000 亿美元。这一大量资金流入可能会将加密货币市值推高至令人印象深刻的 6 万亿美元。

Despite the bullish indicators, bears are determined to deepen the correction in Bitcoin and altcoins. Will the bulls muster the strength to thwart their attempts? A thorough analysis of the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies reveals crucial levels that could determine the market's trajectory.

尽管指标看涨,但空头决心加深比特币和山寨币的调整。多头会鼓起力量挫败他们的企图吗?对十大加密货币图表的彻底分析揭示了可以决定市场轨迹的关键水平。

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bears Struggle to Break Support

比特币价格分析:空头努力突破支撑

Bitcoin has been trading below its moving averages in recent days, yet the bears have encountered resistance at the pivotal support level of $60,775. This suggests that selling pressure diminishes at lower levels.

最近几天,比特币的交易价格一直低于移动平均线,但空头在 60,775 美元的关键支撑位遇到了阻力。这表明抛售压力在较低水平时减弱。

The price remains trapped between the 50-day simple moving average ($67,404) and the critical support at $60,775. The 20-day exponential moving average ($65,542) has begun to decline, while the relative strength index (RSI) hovers slightly below the midpoint, indicating a marginal advantage for the bears.

价格仍受困于 50 日简单移动平均线(67,404 美元)和关键支撑位 60,775 美元之间。 20 天指数移动平均线(65,542 美元)已开始下跌,而相对强弱指数 (RSI) 徘徊在中点下方,表明空头具有边际优势。

Should the price break and close below $59,600, it could trigger a slide to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.

如果价格突破并收盘低于 59,600 美元,可能会引发跌至 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元。

This bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price rises above the 50-day SMA. In such an event, the BTC/USDT pair could ascend to $73,777, which remains a key overhead resistance level for the bulls to overcome.

如果价格升至 50 日移动平均线之上,这种看跌情景将失效。在这种情况下,BTC/USDT 货币对可能会升至 73,777 美元,这仍然是多头需要克服的关键上方阻力位。

Ether Price Analysis: Range-Bound Trading Persists

以太坊价格分析:区间交易持续

Ether has fluctuated between the 20-day EMA ($3,209) and the $3,056 horizontal support for several days.

以太币连续几天在 20 日均线(3,209 美元)和 3,056 美元水平支撑位之间波动。

This narrow trading range is unlikely to endure indefinitely. If the price breaches the 20-day EMA, the ETH/USDT pair could surge to the 50-day SMA ($3,436). This level may initially provide resistance, but a breakout is likely. The pair could then advance to $3,679.

这种狭窄的交易区间不太可能无限期地持续下去。如果价格突破 20 日均线,ETH/USDT 货币对可能会飙升至 50 日均线(3,436 美元)。该水平最初可能会提供阻力,但很可能会出现突破。随后该货币对可能上涨至 3,679 美元。

Conversely, a price downturn below $3,056 would suggest that the bears are in command. The pair may then retest the critical support at $2,852. A breach of this level could lead to a decline to $2,700.

相反,如果价格跌至 3,056 美元以下,则表明空头占据主导地位。随后,该货币对可能会重新测试 2,852 美元的关键支撑位。突破该水平可能会导致跌至 2,700 美元。

BNB Price Analysis: Bulls Aim for $635 Resistance

BNB 价格分析:多头瞄准 635 美元阻力位

BNB (BNB) has struggled to reach the overhead resistance of $635, indicating strong resistance from the bears.

BNB (BNB) 一直难以达到 635 美元的上方阻力位,这表明空头的强劲阻力。

However, a positive sign emerges from the bulls' refusal to retreat. The price may pull back to the moving averages, where it is likely to encounter support. A strong rebound from the moving averages would increase the likelihood of a breakout above $635. In such an event, the BNB/USDT pair could surge to $692 and eventually reach the pattern target of $775.

然而,多头拒绝撤退,出现了一个积极的信号。价格可能会回调至移动平均线,并可能会遇到支撑。从移动平均线强劲反弹将增加突破 635 美元上方的可能性。在这种情况下,BNB/USDT 货币对可能会飙升至 692 美元,并最终达到 775 美元的形态目标。

On the downside, a price decline below the moving averages would prolong the range-bound action for several more days.

不利的一面是,价格跌破移动平均线将把区间波动延长几天。

Solana Price Analysis: Bears Defend $162 Resistance

Solana 价格分析:空头捍卫 162 美元阻力位

Solana (SOL) reversed from the overhead resistance of $162 on April 24, suggesting bearish activity at higher levels.

Solana (SOL) 从 4 月 24 日的上方阻力位 162 美元逆转,表明较高水平的看跌活动。

The 20-day EMA ($153) slopes downward, and the RSI resides in the negative zone, indicating that the bears hold the upper hand. The SOL/USDT pair could descend to the robust support at $126. A strong rebound from this level would imply that the pair may remain confined between $126 and $162 for an extended period.

20 日均线(153 美元)向下倾斜,RSI 位于负区,表明空头占据上风。 SOL/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 126 美元的强劲支撑位。从该水平强劲反弹意味着该货币对可能会在较长时间内保持在 126 美元至 162 美元之间。

A bullish signal would emanate from a break and close above the 50-day SMA ($168), opening the door for a potential rally to $205. In contrast, a breakdown below $126 could trigger a drop to $100.

突破并收于 50 日移动平均线(168 美元)上方将发出看涨信号,为潜在反弹至 205 美元打开大门。相比之下,跌破 126 美元可能会引发跌至 100 美元。

XRP Price Analysis: Bulls Seek Support at Uptrend Line

XRP 价格分析:多头在上升趋势线寻求支撑

XRP (XRP) trades below the 20-day EMA (0.54), but the bulls seek solace at the uptrend line.

XRP (XRP) 交易价格低于 20 日均线 (0.54),但多头在上升趋势线寻求安慰。

Should the price rebound from the uptrend line and break above the 20-day EMA, it would suggest that the bears are relinquishing their grip. The XRP/USDT pair could then attempt a rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.59) and subsequently to $0.69.

如果价格从上升趋势线反弹并突破 20 日均线,则表明空头正在放弃控制。随后,XRP/USDT 货币对可能会尝试反弹至 50 日移动平均线(0.59 美元),随后升至 0.69 美元。

Contrarily, if the price continues its downward trajectory and breaches the uptrend line, it would indicate bearish dominance. The pair may plunge to $0.46, where the bulls are expected to provide substantial support.

相反,如果价格继续下行并突破上升趋势线,则表明看跌占主导地位。该货币对可能会跌至 0.46 美元,预计多头将提供实质性支撑。

Dogecoin Price Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Forms

狗狗币价格分析:对称三角形

Dogecoin (DOGE) has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, reflecting indecision between buyers and sellers.

狗狗币(DOGE)形成了对称的三角形图案,反映了买家和卖家之间的犹豫不决。

The declining 20-day EMA ($0.16) and the RSI in the negative territory suggest that the path of least resistance is to the downside. If the price slips and remains beneath the triangle, the DOGE/USDT pair could tumble to $0.12.

不断下降的 20 日均线(0.16 美元)和 RSI 处于负值区域表明阻力最小的路径是下行。如果价格下滑并保持在三角形下方,DOGE/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 0.12 美元。

Alternatively, a price reversal from the current level and a breakout above the triangle would signal aggressive dips buying. This would enhance the prospects of a breakout above the downtrend line, potentially leading the pair to $0.21.

或者,价格从当前水平反转并突破三角形上方将预示着激进的逢低买盘。这将增强突破下降趋势线的可能性,可能导致该货币对上涨至 0.21 美元。

Toncoin Price Analysis: Bears Target $4.50

Toncoin 价格分析:空头目标 4.50 美元

Toncoin (TON) breached the ascending channel pattern on April 22 and reached the 50-day SMA ($5.12) on April 25.

Toncoin (TON) 于 4 月 22 日突破上升通道模式,并于 4 月 25 日触及 50 日移动平均线(5.12 美元)。

The descending 20-day EMA ($5.82) and the RSI чуть ниже средней точки suggest that the bears hold a slight edge. Should the price rebound from the 50-day SMA, it may encounter resistance at the 20-day EMA. If the TON/USDT pair turns lower from the 20-day EMA, it would increase the likelihood of a decline below the 50-day SMA, potentially leading to a drop to $4.50.

下降的 20 日均线(5.82 美元)和 RSI 表明空头稍占优势。如果价格从 50 日均线反弹,则可能会在 20 日均线遇到阻力。如果 TON/USDT 货币对从 20 日均线转向走低,则跌破 50 日均线的可能性将增加,可能导致跌至 4.50 美元。

This bearish outlook could be nullified if the bulls drive the price back into the channel, indicating that the recent breakdown may have been a bear trap.

如果多头将价格推回通道,这种看跌前景可能会被抵消,这表明最近的崩溃可能是一个空头陷阱。

Cardano Price Analysis: Rebound from $0.46 Crucial

卡尔达诺价格分析:从 0.46 美元反弹至关重要

Cardano (ADA) reversed from the 20-day EMA ($0.50) on April 23 and reached critical support at $0.46.

卡尔达诺(ADA)于 4 月 23 日从 20 日均线(0.50 美元)逆转,并达到 0.46 美元的关键支撑位。

If the price rebounds from the $0.46 level and ascends above the 20-day EMA, it would suggest that the correction may have ended. The ADA/USDT pair could then rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.59) and later to $0.68.

如果价格从 0.46 美元水平反弹并升至 20 日均线上方,则表明调整可能已经结束。然后,ADA/USDT 货币对可能会反弹至 50 日移动平均线(0.59 美元),然后升至 0.68 美元。

Conversely, if the price continues lower and breaks below $0.46, it would indicate that the bears maintain control. The pair could then slide to the crucial support at $0.40, with a breach below this level potentially resuming the downtrend.

相反,如果价格继续走低并跌破 0.46 美元,则表明空头继续控制。随后,该货币对可能会滑向 0.40 美元的关键支撑位,若跌破该水平,则可能会恢复下跌趋势。

Avalanche Price Analysis: Uptrend Line Battle

雪崩价格分析:上升趋势线之战

Avalanche (AVAX) declined from the 20-day EMA ($39) on April 24, but the bears face resistance in pulling the price below the uptrend line.

Avalanche (AVAX) 从 4 月 24 日的 20 日均线(39 美元)下跌,但空头在将价格拉至上升趋势线下方时面临阻力。

The bulls must overcome and sustain the price above the downtrend line to signal a potential short-term trend reversal. The AVAX/USDT pair could then attempt a rally toward the 50-day SMA ($47).

多头必须克服并将价格维持在下降趋势线上方,以发出潜在的短期趋势逆转信号。然后,AVAX/USDT 货币对可能会尝试反弹至 50 日移动平均线(47 美元)。

This optimistic scenario would be negated if the price continues lower and breaches the uptrend line. This could lead to a decline to the $32 to $27 support zone, where buyers are likely to intervene.

如果价格继续走低并突破上升趋势线,这种乐观的情况将被否定。这可能导致价格跌至 32 至 27 美元的支撑区域,买家可能会介入。

Shiba Inu Price Analysis: Indecision Persists

柴犬价格分析:犹豫不决持续存在

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been trapped between its moving averages in recent days, reflecting indecision between bulls and bears.

最近几天,柴犬(SHIB)一直被困在移动平均线之间,反映出多头和空头之间犹豫不决。

The flat 20-day EMA ($0.000025) and the RSI near the midpoint provide no clear advantage to either side. Should the price breach and remain below the 20-day EMA, it would indicate that the bears have taken charge. The SHIB/USDT pair may then slump to $0.000020.

持平的 20 日均线(0.000025 美元)和中点附近的 RSI 没有给双方带来明显的优势。如果价格突破并保持在 20 日均线下方,则表明空头已经占据主导地位。 SHIB/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 0.000020 美元。

Alternatively, if the price rises and breaks above the 50-day SMA ($0.000027), it would signal that the bulls have overpowered the bears. The pair may then attempt a rally to $0.000033.

或者,如果价格上涨并突破 50 日移动平均线(0.000027 美元),则表明多头已经压倒空头。随后该货币对可能会尝试反弹至 0.000033 美元。

Conclusion

结论

The cryptocurrency market remains in a dynamic state, with both bullish and bearish forces vying for dominance. The influx of funds into exchanges and growing institutional interest in altcoins provide a glimmer of hope for bulls.

加密货币市场仍然处于动态状态,看涨和看跌力量争夺主导地位。资金涌入交易所以及机构对山寨币日益增长的兴趣为多头带来了一线希望。

However, the bears remain determined to deepen the correction. Key support levels for Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies will determine the trajectory of

然而,空头仍然决心深化调整。比特币和其他主要加密货币的关键支撑水平将决定比特币的走势

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