币安币 (BNB) 价格分析：尽管市场上涨，但 BNB 却走上了不同的道路

尽管加密货币市场在过去一周取得了巨大的收益，但币安币 [BNB] 却塑造了一条不同的道路。

Despite the broader crypto market experiencing substantial gains over the past week, Binance Coin (BNB) has taken a different path, registering a decline in its price charts.

尽管更广泛的加密货币市场在过去一周经历了大幅上涨，但币安币（BNB）却走了一条不同的道路，其价格图表出现了下跌。

While anticipation was high for the release of CZ from prison to positively impact the market, this optimism has yet to materialize. As a result, BNB has faced a drop in value.

尽管人们对 CZ 出狱会对市场产生积极影响抱有很高的期望，但这种乐观情绪尚未实现。结果，BNB 面临价值下跌。

At the time of writing, BNB was valued at $581, indicating a 2.53% decrease over the past 24 hours. Additionally, the altcoin experienced a 2.07% decline on the weekly chart.

截至撰写本文时，BNB 估值为 581 美元，过去 24 小时内下跌 2.53%。此外，山寨币在周线图上下跌了 2.07%。

Prior to this, BNB had enjoyed a trajectory of上昇, clocking an 8.32% hike.

在此之前，BNB 一直处于上涨趋势，涨幅为 8.32%。

Interestingly, despite the price decline, BNB’s trading volume surged, offering a contrasting perspective. Over the past 24 hours, the trading volume increased by 15.57%, reaching $1.8 billion.

有趣的是，尽管价格下跌，BNB 的交易量却激增，呈现出截然不同的景象。过去24小时，交易量增长15.57%，达到18亿美元。

This development—wherein trading activity increased despite the price decline—has sparked discussion among analysts regarding the altcoin’s future trajectory.

尽管价格下跌，但交易活动却有所增加，这一事态发展引发了分析师对山寨币未来轨迹的讨论。

In this regard, Johncy Crypto, a well-known crypto analyst, suggested the possibility of a uptrend, highlighting BNB’s sustained growth.

对此，知名加密货币分析师Johncy Crypto提出了上涨趋势的可能性，凸显了BNB的持续增长。

🔎 Breaking Down Johncy's Analysis 🔍

🔎 分解 Johncy 的分析 🔍

Johncy's analysis begins by using BNB's long-term ascending channel to predict further gains on price charts.

Johncy 的分析首先使用 BNB 的长期上升通道来预测价格图表上的进一步上涨。

According to his analysis, the altcoin has demonstrated consistent growth within a long-term ascending channel.

根据他的分析，山寨币在长期上升通道内表现出持续增长。

This growth is evident in the formation of higher highs and higher lows, which typically indicates a sustained bullish trend over the long term.

这种增长在更高高点和更高低点的形成中很明显，这通常表明长期持续的看涨趋势。

Within this context, if BNB were to reach the upper boundary of the ascending channel, it could signal strong bullish momentum and the potential for a breakout.

在此背景下，如果BNB触及上升通道的上限，则可能预示着强劲的看涨势头和突破的潜力。

Hence, with the possibility of a new bullish cycle, prices could be pushed toward the upper resistance of the channel.

因此，由于有可能出现新的看涨周期，价格可能会被推向通道的上方阻力位。

What BNB's Charts Are Really Saying

BNB 的图表真正说明了什么

While Johncy's analysis presents a promising outlook for BNB, the recent price movements seem to paint a different picture.

虽然 Johncy 的分析为 BNB 带来了光明的前景，但最近的价格走势似乎描绘了一幅不同的图景。

In fact, the broader market has largely impacted BNB's 30-day recovery.

事实上，大盘在很大程度上影响了BNB 30天的复苏。

For instance, there has been a spike in BNB's liquidations for long positions over the past three days.

例如，过去三天，BNB 的多头头寸清算量激增。

At press time, long position liquidations amounted to $1.5 million, while short position liquidations stood at $26k.

截至发稿时，多头头寸清算金额为 150 万美元，空头头寸清算金额为 2.6 万美元。

Such a market condition indicates that those betting for the market are being forced out of their positions.

这样的市场状况表明，那些押注市场的人正在被迫平仓。

Moreover, the lack of traders' willingness to pay a premium to hold their positions suggests a decreasing confidence in future price gains.

此外，交易者缺乏支付溢价来持有头寸的意愿，这表明对未来价格上涨的信心下降。

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) declined from 66 over the past three days to 54.9 at press time.

此外，相对强弱指数（RSI）从过去三天的 66 下降至截至发稿时的 54.9。

Over the same period, the RSI-based MA at 62 remained above the RSI, indicating that the uptrend had lost momentum. Hence, BNB may experience further correction or consolidation.

同期，基于 RSI 的 MA 仍位于 62 上方，表明上升趋势已失去动力。因此，BNB 可能会经历进一步的调整或盘整。

Also, a declining RSI suggests that sellers are taking over the market, leading to selling pressure. In this case, our earlier observation of increasing trading activity could be indicative of sell-offs.

此外，RSI 下降表明卖家正在占领市场，导致抛售压力。在这种情况下，我们之前观察到的交易活动增加可能预示着抛售。

Finally, BNB's Open Interest declined over the past three days, shifting from $334 million to $314 million after increasing at the start of the week.

最后，BNB 的未平仓合约在本周初增加后，在过去三天有所下降，从 3.34 亿美元降至 3.14 亿美元。

This highlighted a change in market sentiment, with investors closing their positions and no new entrants joining the market.

这突显了市场情绪的变化，投资者平仓，没有新进入者进入市场。

Read Binance Coin's [BNB] Price Prediction 2024–2025

阅读币安币 [BNB] 2024-2025 年价格预测

In summary, BNB has experienced a shift in market sentiment from positive to negative. As such, the current conditions do not support a short-term rally.

综上所述，BNB经历了市场情绪从积极到消极的转变。因此，目前的情况不支持短期反弹。

Therefore, based on prevailing market sentiment, BNB will likely retrace to the critical support level at $553 before commencing an uptrend again.

因此，根据当前的市场情绪，BNB 可能会回撤至 553 美元的关键支撑位，然后再次开始上涨趋势。