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加密货币新闻

币安币(BNB)的看跌前景:期货市场和技术指标预示着潜在的价格下跌

2024/04/04 22:00

币安币(BNB)在期货市场数据和技术指标上都面临看跌信号。负资金利率和下降的未平仓合约表明交易者的悲观情绪日益浓厚,而 MACD 指标则暗示抛售压力可能卷土重来。 DMI 显示看跌势头,表明短期价格可能下跌。然而,值得注意的是,市场情绪可能会迅速变化,而技术指标并不是万无一失的预测指标。

币安币(BNB)的看跌前景:期货市场和技术指标预示着潜在的价格下跌

Binance Coin (BNB) Futures Market and Technical Indicators Signal Bearish Outlook

币安币(BNB)期货市场和技术指标预示着看跌前景

The future of Binance Coin (BNB) has taken a gloomy turn, with both futures market data and technical indicators painting a pessimistic picture. An analysis of Coinglass data reveals negative funding rates and declining open interest in BNB futures contracts, indicating growing pessimism among traders.

币安币(BNB)的前景黯淡,无论是期货市场数据还是技术指标都呈现出悲观的景象。对 Coinglass 数据的分析显示,BNB 期货合约的融资利率为负,未平仓合约不断下降,表明交易者的悲观情绪日益浓厚。

Negative funding rates suggest that more traders are holding short positions, anticipating a decline in the price of BNB. This sentiment was confirmed on April 1st, when BNB's funding rate dipped into negative territory at -0.012%.

负资金利率表明更多交易者持有空头头寸,预计 BNB 价格会下跌。这种情绪在 4 月 1 日得到证实,当时 BNB 的融资利率跌至负值 -0.012%。

Binance Coin Funding Rate and Open Interest Decline

币安币融资利率和未平仓合约下降

Adding to the bearish sentiment, BNB's futures open interest has also witnessed a slight decline of 0.15%. Open interest reflects the total amount of outstanding futures contracts that haven't been settled yet. A decrease in open interest suggests traders are exiting their positions without opening new ones, potentially signaling waning confidence in the market.

BNB 期货持仓量也小幅下降 0.15%,加剧了看跌情绪。未平仓合约反映了尚未结算的未平仓期货合约的总量。未平仓合约的减少表明交易者正在平仓而不开新仓,这可能表明市场信心减弱。

Funding rates are a crucial mechanism in perpetual futures contracts that keep the contract price aligned with the spot price. When the contract price trades higher than the spot price, long position holders pay a fee to shorts, resulting in positive funding rates. Conversely, negative funding rates materialize when the contract price dips below the spot price, indicating that short sellers are currently paying fees to longs.

资金费率是永续期货合约中的一个重要机制,可以使合约价格与现货价格保持一致。当合约价格高于现货价格时,多头头寸持有者向空头支付费用,从而产生正的资金费率。相反,当合约价格低于现货价格时,就会出现负融资利率,这表明卖空者目前正在向多头支付费用。

Traders Close Positions Amid Negative Sentiment

交易员在负面情绪中平仓

As negative sentiments intensify, open interest is expected to plummet further. This would imply that more traders are closing their positions and not opening new ones, suggesting a potential price drop for BNB.

随着负面情绪加剧,未平仓合约预计将进一步大幅下降。这意味着更多的交易者将平仓而不是开立新的头寸,这表明 BNB 的价格可能会下跌。

The bearish sentiment is not confined to the futures market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), another technical indicator, is suggesting a possible resurgence in selling pressure. The MACD line is showing indications of crossing below the signal line, typically interpreted as a bearish sign signaling the return of sellers to the market. It's noteworthy that since March 18th, the MACD lines for BNB have been positioned for a downtrend.

看跌情绪不仅限于期货市场。另一个技术指标移动平均线趋同分歧(MACD)表明抛售压力可能会再次出现。 MACD 线显示出有迹象表明其正在穿越信号线,通常被解读为看跌信号,表明卖家重返市场。值得注意的是,自3月18日以来,BNB的MACD线一直处于下行趋势。

BNB Price Retreat May Be Imminent

BNB 价格回落可能迫在眉睫

Considering both the futures market and technical analysis, there's a potential for a short-term decline in BNB's price. However, it's important to acknowledge that market sentiment can shift rapidly, and technical indicators aren't infallible predictors of future price movements.

无论是从期货市场还是技术面分析来看,BNB价格存在短期下跌的可能性。然而,重要的是要承认市场情绪可能会迅速变化,而技术指标并不是未来价格走势的可靠预测指标。

At the time of writing, BNB was trading at $587, up 6% in the last 24 hours, data from CoinMarketCap shows.

CoinMarketCap 的数据显示,截至撰写本文时,BNB 交易价格为 587 美元,在过去 24 小时内上涨了 6%。

Further Bearish Signals from Technical Indicators

技术指标进一步看跌信号

A closer examination of BNB's technical indicators on the 24-hour chart reveals another trend. The Directional Movement Index (DMI), used to gauge trend strength, displayed a bearish crossover where the negative directional index sits above the positive directional index. This positioning suggests that bearish momentum is currently dominating the market.

仔细观察BNB 24小时图上的技术指标,会发现另一个趋势。用于衡量趋势强度的方向运动指数 (DMI) 显示出看跌交叉,其中负方向指数位于正方向指数上方。这一定位表明看跌势头目前主导市场。

Analysts commonly interpret this particular crossover as an imperative signal prompting traders to consider exiting long positions and initiating short positions. This strategic move aligns with the prevailing trend indicated by the DMI, reinforcing the notion of a prevailing bearish sentiment within the market ecosystem.

分析师通常将这种特殊的交叉解读为一个势在必行的信号,促使交易者考虑退出多头头寸并启动空头头寸。这一战略举措与 DMI 所表明的普遍趋势相一致,强化了市场生态系统中普遍存在的看跌情绪的概念。

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