AVAX 价格预测：MVRV 评分信号被低估，多头能否夺回市场？

市场情绪和 Avalanche (AVAX) 的价格走势历来对其业绩至关重要。最近，加密货币市场的整体情绪相当消极。

The price of cryptocurrency Avalanche (CRYPTO: AVAX) has historically been influenced by market sentiment and technical indicators. Recently, the broader crypto market has experienced negative sentiment, impacting AVAX’s performance. However, as the token approaches a crucial support level, it might be poised for a rally.

加密货币 Avalanche（CRYPTO：AVAX）的价格历来受到市场情绪和技术指标的影响。最近，更广泛的加密货币市场经历了负面情绪，影响了 AVAX 的业绩。然而，当代币接近关键支撑位时，它可能会上涨。

Investors in the altcoin sector are paying close attention to the broader crypto market's interesting price movements. Currently, AVAX crypto is hovering near its support zone at $23.32, fluctuating around this price point.

山寨币领域的投资者正在密切关注更广泛的加密货币市场有趣的价格走势。目前，AVAX 加密货币徘徊在 23.32 美元的支撑区域附近，围绕该价格点波动。

According to analysts, a breakout above $28 could generate significant buying momentum. Despite the asset’s inherent volatility, experts suggest that if the price surpasses the $28 mark, it could potentially soar to $40 in the short term. It might also reach $65 over the long term.

分析师表示，突破 28 美元可能会产生巨大的买盘动力。尽管该资产具有固有的波动性，但专家表示，如果价格突破 28 美元大关，短期内可能会飙升至 40 美元。从长远来看，它也可能达到 65 美元。

Continue reading for more valuable insights on the Avalanche price.

继续阅读有关 Avalanche 价格的更多有价值的见解。

According to data from Santiment, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) score for AVAX has been on the rise since August 2024, reaching 0.77 points. At this level, it indicates that the altcoin is still relatively cheap. Historically, higher MVRV scores have coincided with greater AVAX price gains.

Santiment的数据显示，自2024年8月以来，AVAX的MVRV（市场价值与实现价值）评分一直呈上升趋势，达到0.77分。在这个水平上，表明山寨币仍然相对便宜。从历史上看，MVRV 分数越高，AVAX 价格涨幅越大。

For instance, during the 2021 bull market, AVAX surged from a low of $5 to an all-time high of $146. During that time, the MVRV score also saw a significant increase, moving from 0.64 to 1.27. This signaled that the AVAX price had more room to rise and reach its true value.

例如，在 2021 年牛市期间，AVAX 从 5 美元的低点飙升至 146 美元的历史高点。在此期间，MVRV 分数也出现了显着上升，从 0.64 升至 1.27。这表明 AVAX 价格还有更大的上涨空间并达到其真实价值。

Technical Analysis Of AVAX Price Highlights Bearish Trend, Can It Flip

AVAX价格技术分析凸显看跌趋势，能否反转

The AVAX crypto price is currently in a bearish trend, with its price action falling below the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day EMA bands. The trend is further confirmed by the MACD showing negative values below the zero line.

AVAX 加密货币价格目前处于看跌趋势，其价格走势跌破 20 天、50 天和 200 天 EMA 区域。 MACD 在零线下方显示负值，进一步证实了这一趋势。

At present, the AVAX price is trading near a support zone and the lower support line of its upward channel.

目前，AVAX 价格交易在支撑区及其上行通道的下支撑线附近。

The price is nearing the oversold territory, with the RSI currently at 34.65, indicating bearish pressure. If the RSI climbs above the 50 level, it could signal a potential positive trend reversal.

价格接近超卖区域，RSI 目前为 34.65，显示看跌压力。如果 RSI 升至 50 水平以上，则可能预示着潜在的积极趋势逆转。

For AVAX crypto price to recover, it will need to break above the 200-day EMA while also surpassing the 20-day and 50-day EMAs. Such a move could serve as a bullish signal.

为了使 AVAX 加密货币价格恢复，它需要突破 200 日均线，同时也超过 20 日和 50 日均线。这样的举动可以作为一个看涨信号。

However, a breach of the 200-day EMA would still require confirmation to build confidence, necessitating that the price remains above this level to support further upward movement.

然而，突破 200 日均线仍需要确认才能建立信心，因此价格必须保持在该水平之上才能支持进一步上涨。

Analyst Highlights Best Possible Breakout Conditions

分析师强调最佳可能的突破条件

An analyst known as Ak47 on X (formerly Twitter) believes that AVAX’s consolidation around $24 may be setting the stage for an upcoming upward move.

X（前身为 Twitter）上一位名为 Ak47 的分析师认为，AVAX 在 24 美元左右的盘整可能为即将到来的上涨奠定了基础。

He identifies $28 as a critical resistance level. If the price surpasses this point, it could open the door for a potential rise toward $40 in the short term. Notably, $40 has been reached before, making it a logical take-profit target.

他将 28 美元确定为关键阻力位。如果价格超过这一点，则可能为短期内上涨至 40 美元打开大门。值得注意的是，之前已达到 40 美元，使其成为合理的止盈目标。

$AVAX is consolidating around $24 showing signs of a potential breakoutA move above $28 could target $40 in the short term aligning with previous resistance levels ✍️ pic.twitter.com/c1GeLTHIBS

$AVAX 正在 24 美元左右盘整，显示出潜在突破的迹象，突破 28 美元可能会在短期内瞄准 40 美元，与之前的阻力位保持一致✍️ pic.twitter.com/c1GeLTHIBS

On the chart, Ak47 highlights the formation of a descending triangle pattern. A breakout to the upside would indicate a trend reversal.

在图表上，Ak47 突出显示了下降三角形形态的形成。向上突破将表明趋势逆转。

If the AVAX price manages to hold above $24 and exhibits bullish behavior, breaking this pattern could drive prices toward Ak47’s target.

如果 AVAX 价格设法保持在 24 美元以上并表现出看涨行为，打破这种模式可能会推动价格接近 Ak47 的目标。

Conversely, if the price fails to breach the $28 resistance, it may lead to further consolidation or even a drop below the $24 level.

相反，如果价格未能突破28美元阻力位，可能会导致进一步盘整，甚至跌破24美元水平。

Traders and analysts should closely monitor volume spikes and shifts in the RSI, as these could indicate the direction of AVAX’s next significant move.

交易员和分析师应密切关注 RSI 的交易量峰值和变化，因为这些可能表明 AVAX 下一步重大走势的方向。

What Could Act as a Catalyst for a Significant Surge in AVAX Price?

什么可以成为 AVAX 价格大幅上涨的催化剂？

Last month, AVAX became a hot topic online following the introduction of the Avalanche Card, a partnership with Visa aimed at simplifying cryptocurrency spending for holders. This development can enhance Avalanche’s reputation and market value over time.

上个月，随着 Avalanche 卡的推出，AVAX 成为网上热门话题，Avalanche 卡是与 Visa 的合作伙伴关系，旨在简化持有人的加密货币支出。随着时间的推移，这一发展可以提高 Avalanche 的声誉和市场价值。

As November 5th approaches, a significant day for both the United States and the cryptocurrency sector, the nation eagerly awaits the presidential election results. Analysts are speculating on how candidate sentiment might impact the market, potentially leading to substantial price movements depending on the outcome.

11 月 5 日即将到来，这对于美国和加密货币行业来说都是一个重要的日子，全国人民都在热切等待总统选举结果。分析师正在猜测候选人情绪可能如何影响市场，可能会根据结果导致价格大幅波动。

Moreover, the Avalanche Foundation is winning the support of crypto enthusiasts and investors through various community initiatives, including competitions. One upcoming event, the Grants Pitch Day, in collaboration with @iEx_ec, is set for Tuesday, November 12th, in Bangkok, Thailand.

此外，Avalanche 基金会通过包括竞赛在内的各种社区举措赢得了加密货币爱好者和投资者的支持。与 @iEx_ec 合作的一项即将举行的活动，Grants Pitch Day，定于 11 月 12 日星期二在泰国曼谷举行。

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