Arthur Hayes准确地预测其浸入$ 80,000之后，将比特币（BTC）看涨

这位前Bitmex首席执行官认为，比特币的触底量约为77,000美元，并有望在进行另一项更正之前达到新的纪录。

After accurately forecasting a Bitcoin (BTC) dip below $80,000, former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes is now turning bullish and predicts that the flagship cryptocurrency will hit $110,000.

在准确地预测比特币（BTC）下降到80,000美元以下之后，Bitmex首席执行官Arthur Hayes现在正在看涨，并预测旗舰加密货币将达到110,000美元。

In a March 24 post on X , Hayes projected that Bitcoin would undergo a final descent to around $76,500, the recent multi-month low, before embarking on a rally to $110,000.

在3月24日在X上发表的帖子中，海耶斯预计比特币将在最近的多个月低点（最近的多个月低点）进行最后的下降，然后进行召开率达到110,000美元。

His optimism stems from upcoming macroeconomic shifts, which he believes would propel Bitcoin higher after a period of consolidation.

他的乐观源于即将发生的宏观经济转变，他认为这会在一段时间的整合后推动比特币。

"I don't care about tariffs, they are minimal in the near term. My thinking is that the Fed will transition out of QT for both Treasuries and Agency MBS in April or May. This will drive liquidity toward financial markets," said Hayes.

海斯说：“我不在乎关税，在短期内它们是最小的。我的想法是，美联储将于4月或5月从QT过渡出QT和代理商MBS。这将推动流动性向金融市场带来。”

He further explained that the Federal Reserve is currently selling more assets than it buys through Quantitative Tightening (QT), a measure that reduces the liquidity in the financial system.

他进一步解释说，美联储目前正在出售比通过定量收紧（QT）购买的资产更多的资产，该措施降低了金融系统的流动性。

However, Hayes said that the Fed is expected to transition out of QT and begin Quantitative Easing (QE), which occurs when a central bank creates new money to purchase assets in the open market.

但是，海斯说，预计美联储将从QT过渡并开始定量宽松（QE），这发生在央行创造新资金以在公开市场上购买资产时发生的情况。

This move would inject fresh liquidity into the financial system, potentially driving up asset prices as institutions and individuals seek out investment opportunities.

此举将向金融体系注入新的流动性，随着机构和个人寻求投资机会，可能会提高资产价格。

"The interesting thing is that usually, when the Fed transitions out of QT, we see a move lower in rates. But this time, perhaps due to the banking crisis or sticky inflation, we might not see that classic pattern," said Hayes.

海耶斯说：“有趣的是，通常，当美联储过渡到QT过渡时，我们看到的速度降低了。但是这次，也许是由于银行业危机或粘性通货膨胀所致，我们可能看不到这种经典模式。”

"Maybe they cut rates at the May FOMC meeting. We'll see how the economic data plays out."

“也许他们在5月FOMC会议上降低了费率。我们将看到经济数据的发挥。”

Some analysts believe that an interest rate cut could also be on the table at the Fed's next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in May, further strengthening the case for increased liquidity.

一些分析人士认为，在5月的美联储下届联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议上，也可能会降低利率，进一步加强了增加流动性的案件。

Historically, QE has resulted in higher spending power among consumers, leading to increased demand for goods and services.

从历史上看，量化宽松在消费者的消费能力上增加了较高的支出能力，从而增加了对商品和服务的需求。

During the COVID-19 pandemic, aggressive Fed stimulus measures fueled an unprecedented surge in crypto prices as excess liquidity found its way into risk assets. A similar trend could play out if QE returns.

在199日大流行期间，积极进取的刺激措施助长了加密价格的前所未有的飙升，因为多余的流动性进入了风险资产。如果QE返回，则可能会出现类似的趋势。

Bitcoin responded strongly to Powell's recent comments, rallying 4.5% in the past 24 hours. The broader crypto market followed suit, with altcoins seeing gains after weeks of stagnation.

比特币对鲍威尔最近的评论做出了强有力的回应，在过去的24小时内，比特币对4.5％的收获。更广泛的加密货币市场也随之而来，Altcoins在停滞数周后看到了收益。

With the Fed's policy in focus, all eyes are now on Bitcoin's next move as it approaches key resistance levels.

随着美联储的重点政策，随着比特币接近关键阻力水平，所有人现在都在比特币的下一步行动。