仲裁（ARB）价格预测：ARB会看到历史降至0.56美元吗？

在过去的三周中，仲裁[ARB]经历了持续下降的速度，从0.95美元到0.58美元，最终在发稿时达到0.63美元。

Arbitrum (ARB) has seen a sustained decline over the last three weeks, dropping from a high of $0.95 to $0.63 at press time. This marks a 3.47% decrease on the daily charts.

在过去的三周中，仲裁（ARB）的持续下降，在发稿时从高点降至0.63美元。这标志着每日图表下降了3.47％。

The recent market conditions have left the crypto market community concerned about a potential crash as profitability for holders declines.

最近的市场状况使加密货币市场社区担心持有人的盈利能力的潜在崩溃。

According to IntoTheBlock, Arbitrum has experienced the largest drop in profitability for investors, with most holders operating at a loss. At this price level, only 7% of ARB holders are in profit. This implies that 89% of holders are at a loss, while only 4% are at the money.

根据Intotheblock的说法，Dioltum经历了投资者的盈利能力下降，大多数持有人都亏损了。在这个价格水平上，只有7％的ARB持有人是利润的。这意味着89％的持有人亏本，而只有4％的人赚钱。

During this period, long-term holders have continued to exit the market. As such, currently, only 40% of ARB holders appear to have held the altcoin for more than a year.

在此期间，长期持有人继续退出市场。因此，目前，只有40％的ARB持有人似乎持有Altcoin一年以上。

When such a huge number of holders are at a loss, there are two possible scenarios. The first is a ‘final flush,’ where another drop could occur before a reversal emerges.

当如此大量的持有人陷入困境时，有两种可能的情况。第一个是“最终冲洗”，在逆转出现之前可能会发生另一滴水。

The other scenario is a potential bottom signal. Here, large holders stop selling since weak hands have excited the market, resulting in a trend reversal.

另一种情况是潜在的底部信号。在这里，大型持有人停止销售，因为弱的手使市场激发了市场，从而导致趋势逆转。

What’s ahead for ARB?

ARB面临什么？

According to AMBCrypto’s analysis, Arbitrum was experiencing strong downward pressure at press time, as bears dominated the market.

根据Ambcrypto的分析，随着Bears主导市场，索引在发稿时遇到了强大的向下压力。

This downward pressure is evidenced by ARB’s Advance Decline Ratio (ADR), which has dropped below 1.

ARB的提前下降比（ADR）证明了这种向下压力，该降低率降至1以下。

Source: Santiment

资料来源：santiment

Looking further, Arbitrum’s active users and adoption rate have experienced a sharp decline. The NVT Ratio (with transaction volume) surged to 201 from a low of 29.46.

进一步看，仲裁的活跃用户和采用率急剧下降。 NVT比率（交易量）从29.46的低点升至201。

This implies that transaction volume and active users have declined relative to market cap.

这意味着交易量和活跃用户相对于市值而下降。

As such, even at the current price rate, it might drop further to meet the actual demand.

因此，即使以目前的价格率，也可能会进一步下降以满足实际需求。

Additionally, Arbitrum’s MVRV Ratio has experienced a sharp decline to -5.01. When MVRV declines to negative territory, it suggests capitulation, with holders selling at a loss.

此外，仲裁的MVRV比率急剧下降至-5.01。当MVRV偏向负面的领土时，它表明投降，持有人亏本出售。

Read Arbitrum’s [ARB] Price Prediction 2025–2026

阅读仲裁的[ARB]价格预测2025-2026

This shows that the market is experiencing strong fear and forced liquidations.

这表明市场正在经历强烈的恐惧和强迫清算。

With bearish sentiments taking hold, ARB could drop to $0.56. However, the MVRV drop to negative territory offers hope for a potential reversal. If a reverse occurs, the altcoin could reclaim $0.74.

随着看跌的情绪，ARB可能会降至0.56美元。但是，MVRV下降到负面的领域为潜在的逆转提供了希望。如果发生反向，则Altcoin可能会收回$ 0.74。