在比特币减半事件之前，山寨币飙升

尽管以太坊数量下降，但 XRP 和 BNB 显示出复苏的迹象。在所有人都关注比特币减半的情况下，山寨币可能会在计划自己的价格上涨时悄悄抢尽风头。

Altcoins Surge as Bitcoin Halving Draws Near

随着比特币减半临近，山寨币飙升

Amidst the anticipation surrounding Bitcoin's [BTC] upcoming halving, altcoins are poised to steal the spotlight as they prepare for a potential rally.

在围绕比特币即将减半的预期中，山寨币准备抢尽风头，为潜在的反弹做好准备。

Altcoin Market Cap Reaches Historically Bullish Levels

山寨币市值达到历史看涨水平

As per recent data, the altcoin market capitalization has reached a level that has historically been followed by a price surge. Therefore, AMBCrypto examined the top altcoins Ethereum [ETH], BNB, and XRP to ascertain whether history will repeat itself.

根据最近的数据，山寨币市值已达到历史上价格飙升的水平。因此，AMBCrypto 检查了顶级山寨币以太坊 [ETH]、BNB 和 XRP，以确定历史是否会重演。

Altcoins Primed for a Rally

山寨币准备反弹

Bitcoin is anticipated to undergo its fourth halving event soon. Upon its implementation, the reward miners receive for validating blocks will be cut in half, from the current 6.25 bitcoins to 3.125 bitcoins.

预计比特币很快将经历第四次减半事件。实施后，矿工验证区块获得的奖励将减少一半，从目前的 6.25 比特币减少到 3.125 比特币。

During the previous halving event in 2020, when BTC's block reward fell from 12.5 to 6.25, several altcoins exhibited notable price action.

在 2020 年的上一次减半事件中，当 BTC 的区块奖励从 12.5 降至 6.25 时，几种山寨币表现出了显着的价格走势。

Titan of Crypto, a renowned cryptocurrency analyst, recently tweeted about the significant level reached by the altcoin market cap. According to the tweet, the market cap is at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level on the monthly chart.

著名加密货币分析师 Titan of Crypto 最近在推特上发布了有关山寨币市值达到的显着水平的推文。根据该推文，市值位于月度图表上的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位。

Historically, whenever the metric has touched this level, altcoins have initiated price rallies in the ensuing days. Specifically, such instances occurred in 2021 and 2016.

从历史上看，每当该指标触及该水平时，山寨币就会在接下来的几天内引发价格上涨。具体来说，此类事件发生在2021年和2016年。

ETH, BNB, and XRP Leading the Charge?

ETH、BNB 和 XRP 领先？

At the time of writing, altcoins were experiencing a downturn. To assess whether the trend could reverse, allowing them to commence a rally, AMBCrypto first analyzed the state of ETH.

在撰写本文时，山寨币正在经历低迷。为了评估趋势是否会逆转，从而开始反弹，AMBCrypto 首先分析了 ETH 的状态。

Our analysis of CryptoQuant data revealed that ETH's net deposits on exchanges were elevated compared to its seven-day average, indicating subdued buying pressure.

我们对 CryptoQuant 数据的分析显示，与 7 天平均水平相比，ETH 在交易所的净存款有所增加，表明购买压力减弱。

In fact, the selling sentiment was quite high among exchange-based funds and large investors, evident from the red Funding Premium. Derivative traders were also selling ETH, as the net realized profit/loss ratio flipped negative.

事实上，交易所基金和大型投资者的抛售情绪相当高，这从红色的资金溢价中可以看出。由于净实现盈亏比转为负值，衍生品交易者也在抛售 ETH。

Next, we examined how XRP has been performing. According to CoinMarketCap, XRP has declined by over 20% in the past seven days. The price drop has sparked accumulation since buying pressure has risen.

接下来，我们检查了 XRP 的表现。根据 CoinMarketCap 的数据，XRP 在过去 7 天内下跌了 20% 以上。由于购买压力上升，价格下跌引发了囤积。

AMBCrypto's analysis of data from Santiment showed a spike in XRP's exchange outflow volume. The high buying pressure is also corroborated by a decline in exchange supply last week.

AMBCrypto 对 Santiment 数据的分析显示，XRP 的交易流出量激增。上周交易所供应量的下降也证实了较高的购买压力。

Investors are also bullish on XRP, as its weighted sentiment indicator remained elevated.

投资者也看好 XRP，因为其加权情绪指标仍然很高。

BNB's outlook also appears promising. While most cryptocurrencies have faced losses, BNB has held its ground, with a 1.3% gain in the past 24 hours.

BNB 的前景似乎也充满希望。尽管大多数加密货币都面临损失，但 BNB 却坚守阵地，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 1.3%。

Read Binance Coin [BNB] Price Prediction 2024-25

阅读币安币 [BNB] 2024-25 价格预测

While the coin's price has been moving upwards, so has its Open Interest. The rise in this metric implies that the price momentum is likely to continue.

虽然代币的价格一直在上涨，但其未平仓合约也在上涨。该指标的上升意味着价格势头可能会持续。

Looking at the broader picture, if XRP and BNB's metrics translate into price rallies, they could lead the next altcoin season in the wake of Bitcoin's halving.

从更广泛的角度来看，如果 XRP 和 BNB 的指标转化为价格上涨，它们可能会在比特币减半后引领下一个山寨币季节。