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分析公司 Santiment 预计,经过一个月的加密货币调整后,山寨币将大幅上涨。超过 85% 的跟踪资产呈现出基于市场价值与实现价值 (MVRV) 的“历史机会区”。由于 MVRV 表明估值被低估,山寨币有望获得潜在收益。交易者正在将注意力从狗狗币等波动性资产转向比特币等更稳定的加密资产。
Altcoins Poised for Historic Rallies Amidst Realized Losses, Santiment Analysis Reveals
情绪分析显示,在已实现的损失中,山寨币有望迎来历史性反弹
In the wake of a month-long crypto market correction, analytics firm Santiment has released a comprehensive report indicating that the majority of altcoins are positioned for a significant rally. The firm's analysis suggests that the ongoing pullback has prompted altcoin traders to unload their holdings, resulting in substantial realized losses.
经过一个月的加密货币市场调整后,分析公司 Santiment 发布了一份综合报告,表明大多数山寨币都有望大幅上涨。该公司的分析表明,持续的回调已促使山寨币交易者抛售其持有的资产,导致巨额已实现损失。
According to Santiment's model, the average gains and losses incurred by traders indicate that most altcoins have experienced heavy losses. Over 85% of the assets tracked by the firm are currently within an exceptional opportunity zone, based on the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio of wallets' collective returns over one-month, three-month, and six-month cycles.
根据 Santiment 的模型,交易者产生的平均收益和损失表明大多数山寨币都遭受了惨重损失。根据一个月、三个月和六个月周期内钱包集体回报的市场价值与实现价值 (MVRV) 比率,该公司跟踪的资产中超过 85% 目前处于特殊机会区域。
The MVRV ratio is a widely used on-chain indicator that measures the extent to which a crypto asset is undervalued or overvalued. Historically, when the MVRV ratio is at low levels, it suggests that the asset is undervalued and presents a potential buying opportunity.
MVRV 比率是一种广泛使用的链上指标,用于衡量加密资产被低估或高估的程度。从历史上看,当 MVRV 比率处于较低水平时,表明该资产被低估并提供潜在的购买机会。
Based on the current MVRV readings across multiple time frames for the majority of altcoins, Santiment believes that these assets may be in a "historic position" to witness a significant rally. The firm advocates for the adoption of a "contrarian" approach, suggesting that investors should consider buying while the market exhibits signs of fear and uncertainty.
根据目前大多数山寨币在多个时间范围内的 MVRV 读数,Santiment 认为这些资产可能处于见证大幅反弹的“历史性位置”。该公司主张采取“逆向”策略,建议投资者在市场表现出恐惧和不确定性迹象时考虑买入。
Amidst the anticipation of a potential rally, Santiment observes a shift in investor sentiment away from highly volatile altcoins like Dogecoin (DOGE) and towards crypto assets that have demonstrated resilience in the face of market turbulence.
在对潜在反弹的预期中,Santiment 观察到投资者情绪从狗狗币 (DOGE) 等高度波动的山寨币转向在市场动荡时表现出弹性的加密资产。
The report highlights the steady growth in the number of non-empty Bitcoin wallets despite the volatile price action. In contrast, altcoin wallets for assets like Dogecoin have seen a decline in activity following significant increases earlier this year. Cardano is one of the few exceptions, experiencing a drop in active wallets.
该报告强调,尽管价格波动较大,但非空比特币钱包的数量仍在稳步增长。相比之下,狗狗币等资产的山寨币钱包活动在今年早些时候大幅增加后出现下降。卡尔达诺是少数例外之一,活跃钱包数量有所下降。
At the time of writing, DOGE is trading at $0.149, down over 34% from its 2024 high of $0.228. Bitcoin, on the other hand, is valued at $64,000, marking a 13% decrease from its 2024 high of $73,650.
截至撰写本文时,DOGE 的交易价格为 0.149 美元,较 2024 年高点 0.228 美元下跌超过 34%。另一方面,比特币的价值为 64,000 美元,较 2024 年高点 73,650 美元下跌了 13%。
Santiment's analysis provides valuable insights into the current state of the altcoin market and the potential opportunities that lie ahead. By carefully monitoring the MVRV ratio and understanding the dynamics of trader sentiment, investors can make informed decisions about their altcoin investments and position themselves for potential gains in the coming months.
Santiment 的分析为山寨币市场的现状和未来的潜在机会提供了宝贵的见解。通过仔细监控 MVRV 比率并了解交易者情绪的动态,投资者可以对其山寨币投资做出明智的决定,并为未来几个月的潜在收益做好准备。
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