Algorand (ALGO) 价格预测：随着网络活动和社交主导地位下降，山寨币可能会走低

在过去 30 天里，随着山寨币整体上涨，Algorand (ALGO) 的价格上涨了 360%。因此，Algorand 网络上的每日活跃地址飙升至 11 月 7 日以来的最高点。

Algorand (ALGO) price has seen a 360% increase in the last 30 days, thanks to a broader altcoin rally. This has led to a surge in daily active addresses on the Algorand network, reaching their highest since November 7.

由于山寨币更广泛的上涨，Algorand (ALGO) 的价格在过去 30 天内上涨了 360%。这导致 Algorand 网络上的每日活跃地址激增，达到 11 月 7 日以来的最高水平。

Usually, a rise in active addresses is seen as bullish for the price. However, this on-chain analysis might explain why that might not be the case.

通常，活跃地址的增加被视为对价格有利。然而，这种链上分析可能会解释为什么情况可能并非如此。

Algorand Network Activity Surges

Algorand 网络活动激增

Data from IntoTheBlock shows that Algorand's active addresses have surged to 427,230 at the time of writing. For the uninitiated, active addresses are the number of unique wallets that successfully transacted on a blockchain.

来自 IntoTheBlock 的数据显示，截至撰写本文时，Algorand 的活跃地址已飙升至 427,230 个。对于外行来说，活跃地址是指在区块链上成功交易的唯一钱包的数量。

This metric counts both the sender and the receiver. When the metric increases, it indicates rising user participation, which is largely bullish based on the price action. On the other hand, a decrease in active addresses shows that user engagement has fallen, which is bearish.

该指标同时计算发送者和接收者。当该指标增加时，表明用户参与度上升，这在很大程度上是基于价格走势看涨的。另一方面，活跃地址的减少表明用户参与度下降，这是利空的。

For active addresses to be bullish, it has to increase together with the price. But in this case, ALGO’s price has fallen 10% in the last 24 hours. Hence, the surge in network activity might not be boding well for a further uptrend, but that’s not all.

为了使活跃地址看涨，它必须与价格一起上涨。但在这种情况下，ALGO 的价格在过去 24 小时内下跌了 10%。因此，网络活动的激增可能不是进一步上升趋势的好兆头，但这还不是全部。

Another metric that might be suggesting that ALGO’s price could struggle to recover is social dominance. Social dominance is the portion of discussions related to a cryptocurrency compared to other assets in the top 100.

另一个可能表明 ALGO 价格可能难以恢复的指标是社会主导地位。社会主导地位是与前 100 名中的其他资产相比，与加密货币相关的讨论部分。

When the metric's units increase, there will be more chatter regarding the altcoin. In most cases, this drives higher demand, which translates to an increasing price.

当指标的单位增加时，关于山寨币的讨论就会更多。在大多数情况下，这会推动更高的需求，从而导致价格上涨。

However, according to Santiment, Algorand's social dominance has dropped from 1.56% on November 30 to 0.71% today. Given the current state, ALGO’s price might see a further decline.

然而，根据 Santiment 的数据，Algorand 的社交统治力已从 11 月 30 日的 1.56% 下降到今天的 0.71%。鉴于目前的状况，ALGO 的价格可能会进一步下跌。

ALGO Price Prediction: Altcoin Could Go Lower

ALGO 价格预测：山寨币可能会走低

ALGO’s price is currently $0.51. On the 4-hour chart, the altcoin seems to be on the brink of dropping below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

ALGO 目前的价格为 0.51 美元。在 4 小时图表上，山寨币似乎正处于跌破 20 周期指数移动平均线 (EMA) 的边缘。

The EMA is a technical indicator that tracks the price changes of an asset within a specified duration. When the price is above the EMA, the trend is bullish. But in Algorand's case, the decreasing price suggests that the token risks a major correction.

EMA 是一种跟踪指定时间内资产价格变化的技术指标。当价格高于均线时，趋势看涨。但就 Algorand 而言，价格下跌表明该代币面临大幅回调的风险。

If this is confirmed, Algorand's price could drop to $0.38. However, this prediction might be invalidated if buying pressure increases and the altcoin manages to stay above the EMA. In that case, the altcoin could rise to $0.61.

如果这一消息得到证实，Algorand 的价格可能会降至 0.38 美元。然而，如果购买压力增加并且山寨币设法保持在均线上方，则该预测可能会失效。在这种情况下，山寨币可能会上涨至 0.61 美元。