人工智能军备竞赛升级：亚太地区和中美竞争升温

在全球人工智能霸主之战中，亚太市场正在大力投资生成式人工智能，预计到 2027 年将达到 260 亿美元。与此同时，一场全球人工智能军备竞赛正在酝酿之中，美国和中国竞相将该技术武器化。拜登政府已与阿联酋人工智能公司 G42 达成协议，从中国撤资，而中国和俄罗斯则在军事人工智能应用方面进行合作。五角大楼继续研究人工智能在战争中的潜力，担心中国或其他国家可能会获得优势。以色列和美国已经在使用武器化人工智能，引发了人们对其伦理影响和自动杀人机器潜力的担忧。这场竞赛的焦点是哪个国家将充分利用人工智能的军事能力，并可能带来可怕的后果。

AI Arms Race Intensifies: Asia-Pacific's Generative AI Surge and the US-China Rivalry

人工智能军备竞赛加剧：亚太地区的生成式人工智能热潮与中美竞争

The global landscape of generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) is rapidly transforming, with Asia-Pacific markets emerging as a formidable force. Market intelligence firm IDC Global forecasts a staggering $26 billion investment in GenAI software, hardware, and services by 2027 in the region, fueled by a compound annual growth rate of 95.4%.

生成人工智能（GenAI）的全球格局正在迅速转变，亚太市场正成为一支强大的力量。市场情报公司 IDC Global 预测，到 2027 年，该地区对 GenAI 软件、硬件和服务的投资将达到惊人的 260 亿美元，复合年增长率高达 95.4%。

This surge in GenAI spending is particularly evident in the financial services, software and information services, and government sectors. China, as the current global leader in AI technology patents, will remain the dominant market in Asia-Pacific. However, Japan and India are expected to witness rapid growth, driven by a desire to catch up with their regional powerhouse.

GenAI 支出的激增在金融服务、软件和信息服务以及政府部门尤其明显。中国作为目前全球人工智能技术专利的领先者，仍将是亚太地区的主导市场。然而，在追赶地区强国的愿望的推动下，日本和印度预计将实现快速增长。

US Government Pressures AI Giants

美国政府向人工智能巨头施压

Amidst this competitive landscape, a new geopolitical dynamic is unfolding. The US government has taken an assertive stance, particularly in its dealings with China. In a strategic move, Microsoft recently made a $1.5 billion investment in G42, a United Arab Emirates-based AI technology holding company. This investment was brokered by US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, who played a key role in convincing G42 to divest itself from Chinese technology and embrace US counterparts.

在这种竞争格局中，一种新的地缘政治动态正在显现。美国政府采取了强硬立场，特别是在与中国打交道时。作为一项战略举措，微软最近向总部位于阿拉伯联合酋长国的人工智能技术控股公司 G42 投资了 15 亿美元。这项投资是由美国商务部长吉娜·雷蒙多促成的，她在说服 G42 放弃中国技术并拥抱美国同行方面发挥了关键作用。

The Biden administration's actions underscore the critical importance it places on AI technology, viewing it as a strategic asset in the emerging geopolitical landscape. This view is echoed by Commerce Secretary Raimondo, who has asserted that nations cannot simultaneously align with both China and the US in the realm of emerging technology.

拜登政府的行动凸显了其对人工智能技术的至关重要，将其视为新兴地缘政治格局中的战略资产。这一观点得到了商务部长雷蒙多的赞同，他声称各国无法在新兴技术领域同时与中国和美国结盟。

China's Authoritarian Advantage

中国的威权优势

While the US government's efforts may aim to curb China's AI ambitions, China possesses a significant advantage: its authoritarian structure. Unlike democratic nations, where bureaucracy and political gridlock often hinder progress, China's leadership can swiftly implement policies and drive technological advancements, albeit at the potential expense of citizen freedoms and environmental concerns.

尽管美国政府的努力可能旨在遏制中国的人工智能野心，但中国拥有一个显着优势：其威权结构。与官僚主义和政治僵局常常阻碍进步的民主国家不同，中国领导层可以迅速实施政策并推动技术进步，尽管这可能会牺牲公民自由和环境问题。

US AI 'Doomer' Raises Concerns

美国人工智能“末日”引发担忧

In the US, the establishment of the US AI Safety Institute (USAISI) reflects a growing concern about the potential risks associated with AI development. The institute's recent appointment of Paul Christiano, a former OpenAI researcher, as its head of AI safety has raised eyebrows. Christiano has expressed pessimistic views about the potential for AI to result in catastrophic outcomes, leading to concerns within the AI community that he may hinder the development of AI technology in the US.

在美国，美国人工智能安全研究所（USAISI）的成立反映了人们对人工智能发展潜在风险的日益担忧。该研究所最近任命前 OpenAI 研究员 Paul Christiano 担任人工智能安全负责人，这引起了人们的关注。克里斯蒂安诺对人工智能可能导致灾难性后果表达了悲观观点，导致人工智能界担心他可能会阻碍美国人工智能技术的发展。

China-Russia Collaboration Fuels Military AI Fears

中俄合作加剧军事人工智能恐惧

Outside the US, China's growing collaboration with Russia has raised alarm bells. In February, the two nations initiated discussions on the military applications of AI, including ethical considerations surrounding the use of AI-powered autonomous weaponry. Neither China nor Russia has publicly taken a firm stance against the development of such systems, unlike the US, which has led a declaration on the responsible military use of AI and autonomy.

在美国之外，中国与俄罗斯日益密切的合作敲响了警钟。今年二月，两国启动了关于人工智能军事应用的讨论，包括围绕使用人工智能驱动的自主武器的伦理考虑。与美国不同的是，中国和俄罗斯都没有公开对此类系统的开发采取坚定立场，美国已率先发表了关于负责任地军事使用人工智能和自主性的声明。

Weaponized AI: A Reality

武器化人工智能：现实

The use of weaponized AI is already a reality. The Israeli Defense Forces have reportedly employed AI to identify bombing targets in Gaza, while the US has used AI-powered systems to strike targets in Iraq and Syria. In the recent Iranian swarm attack on Israel, AI played a crucial role in intercepting missiles and thwarting the assault.

武器化人工智能的使用已经成为现实。据报道，以色列国防军使用人工智能来识别加沙的轰炸目标，而美国则使用人工智能系统来打击伊拉克和叙利亚的目标。在最近伊朗对以色列的集体袭击中，人工智能在拦截导弹和挫败袭击方面发挥了至关重要的作用。

Dystopian Visions and the Future of AI

反乌托邦愿景和人工智能的未来

As AI technology rapidly advances, concerns mount about the potential for autonomous machines to replace human beings in warfare. Author Tom Clancy's dystopian vision of a future where killing machines lack empathy for human life becomes increasingly relevant.

随着人工智能技术的迅速发展，人们越来越担心自主机器在战争中取代人类的潜力。作者汤姆·克兰西对未来的反乌托邦愿景变得越来越重要，其中杀人机器对人类生活缺乏同情心。

The race to weaponize AI is intensifying, and the consequences could be profound. It remains to be seen which nation will emerge as the leader in this dangerous pursuit, but the stakes are high, and the implications for humanity could be dire.

人工智能武器化的竞赛正在加剧，其后果可能是深远的。哪个国家将成为这一危险追求的领导者还有待观察，但风险很高，对人类的影响可能是可怕的。