隨著 Ripple 形成罕見的死亡交叉，XRP 價格預測

儘管比特幣在隔夜交易中重新測試其歷史高點，但瑞波幣價格週三仍處於緊張狀態。以市值計算第七大加密貨幣 Ripple 的交易價格為 0.5255 美元，比本週低點 0.4900 美元高出幾個點。

XRP price remained largely unchanged on Wednesday even as Bitcoin retested its all-time high. Ripple, the seventh-biggest cryptocurrency, was trading at $0.5255, a few points higher than this week’s low of $0.4900.

儘管比特幣重新測試其歷史高點，但瑞波幣價格週三基本保持不變。第七大加密貨幣 Ripple 的交易價格為 0.5255 美元，比本週低點 0.4900 美元高出幾個點。

XRP dropped in 2024

XRP 將於 2024 年下跌

XRP’s price action is interesting because it has continued to underperform other major coins like Ethereum and Bitcoin. It has dropped by 16% this year, while Bitcoin retested the all-time high of $73,800.

XRP 的價格走勢很有趣，因為它的表現繼續落後於以太幣和比特幣等其他主要貨幣。今年以來，比特幣價格已下跌 16%，而比特幣則重新測試了 73,800 美元的歷史高點。

Its underperformance continued this month after Chris Larsen, a co-founder, announced that he was donating to Kamala Harris.

本月聯合創始人克里斯·拉森(Chris Larsen)宣布向卡馬拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)捐款後，該公司的表現繼續不佳。

Harris is considered to be a more anti-crypto candidate than Donald Trump. For example, she is said to be considering appointing Gary Gensler as the next Treasury Secretary. Moreover, Harris will have the ears of popular crypto critics like Senator Elizabeth Warren who want more regulation.

哈里斯被認為是比唐納德·川普更反加密貨幣的候選人。例如，據說她正在考慮任命加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）為下一任財政部長。此外，哈里斯還將聽取參議員伊麗莎白沃倫（Elizabeth Warren）等流行加密貨幣批評者的意見，他們希望加強監管。

As a result, many crypto traders who prefer Trump sold their XRP tokens in protest, explaining why the token continued to underperform.

結果，許多喜歡川普的加密貨幣交易者出售了 XRP 代幣以示抗議，這解釋了該代幣表現持續不佳的原因。

🚨JUST IN: Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse declares, "Gary Gensler's reign of terror is ending very soon!" $XRP💥 GAME OVER, SEC 💥 pic.twitter.com/crFVdcPqAL

🚨剛剛報導：Ripple 首席執行官 Brad Garlinghouse 宣稱，“Gary Gensler 的恐怖統治很快就會結束！” $XRP💥 遊戲結束，SEC 💥 pic.twitter.com/crFVdcPqAL

Fundamentally, Ripple is facing several other issues. First, the company has had difficulty signing up more banks to use its RippleNet and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) features to transfer funds internationally.

從根本上來說，Ripple 還面臨著其他幾個問題。首先，該公司很難與更多銀行簽約使用其 RippleNet 和按需流動性（ODL）功能進行國際資金轉移。

Instead, some large banks, such as JPMorgan and ANZ, have embraced tokenization features, and analysts believe that stablecoins will play a significant role in the future. In fact, sanctioned countries like Russia and Iran have found it easier to move funds using stablecoins.

相反，摩根大通和澳新銀行等一些大型銀行已經採用了代幣化功能，分析師認為穩定幣將在未來發揮重要作用。事實上，俄羅斯和伊朗等受制裁國家發現使用穩定幣更容易轉移資金。

Second, Ripple’s XRP Ledger network has failed to attract any developers, with data indicating that it has a total value locked (TVL) of only $14 million. Instead, developers have opted for other chains like Base Blockchain, Arbitrum, Polygon, Avalanche, and Sui.

其次，Ripple的XRP Ledger網路未能吸引任何開發者，數據顯示其總鎖定價值（TVL）僅1400萬美元。相反，開發人員選擇了其他鏈，如 Base Blockchain、Arbitrum、Polygon、Avalanche 和 Sui。

Third, it is doubtful that Ripple's upcoming stablecoin will gain any market share in the industry. Tether has a market cap of over $120 billion, while USD Coin, Dai, Athena USDe, and First Digital have over $34 billion, $4.9 billion, $2.69 billion, and $2.25 billion, respectively. It will be difficult for RLUSD to gain market share.

第三，Ripple即將推出的穩定幣能否在產業中獲得任何市場份額值得懷疑。 Tether 的市值超過 1,200 億美元，而 USD Coin、Dai、Athena USDe 和 First Digital 的市值分別超過 340 億美元、49 億美元、26.9 億美元和 22.5 億美元。 RLUSD 很難獲得市場份額。

XRP price analysis

瑞波幣價格分析

Ripple chart by TradingView

TradingView 的波紋圖

The weekly chart shows that the XRP token has been trading in a tight range over the past few months. It has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is depicted by the yellow lines. This pattern is now approaching a confluence level, indicating substantial upcoming moves.

週線圖顯示，XRP 代幣在過去幾個月一直在窄幅區間內交易。它形成了一個對稱的三角形圖案，由黃線描繪。該模式現在正接近匯合水平，顯示即將出現重大走勢。

Both Ripple and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) have formed symmetrical triangle patterns, which are converging at the confluence level. The MACD indicator has moved slightly below the zero line.

波紋和相對強度指數（RSI）都形成了對稱的三角形模式，它們在匯合水平處匯聚。 MACD指標已小幅移動至零線下方。

As a result, Ripple price will continue to trade within a tight range over the next few weeks. A bullish breakout will be confirmed if the price manages to move above the key resistance point at $0.6640, which was its highest level in September. Such a move will signal further gains to $0.9250, which is approximately 75% higher than the current level.

因此，未來幾週瑞波幣價格將持續窄幅波動。如果價格成功突破關鍵阻力位 0.6640 美元（9 月的最高水準），則看漲突破將得到確認。這項舉措將預示著進一步上漲至 0.9250 美元，比目前水準高出約 75%。

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