由於市場情緒看跌和技術阻力，XRP 暴跌 5.5%

XRP 的價格今天下跌了 5.5% 以上，受更廣泛的市場趨勢、強勁的美國製造業數據和鯨魚興趣下降的影響，繼續波動的交易模式。此次下跌與 3 月開始的回調一致，技術分析顯示可能進一步下跌至 0.52 美元或突破至 0.74 美元。

XRP's Bearish Trajectory: Market Factors and Technical Insights

XRP 的看跌軌跡：市場因素與技術見解

The cryptocurrency market has witnessed a downturn in recent days, with XRP exhibiting a notable decline. As of this writing, its price has plummeted by over 5.5% to $0.59, continuing its erratic trading pattern observed in the past few days.

近幾天來，加密貨幣市場低迷，XRP 出現明顯下跌。截至本文撰寫時，其價格已暴跌超過 5.5% 至 0.59 美元，延續了過去幾天觀察到的不穩定的交易模式。

This sharp descent marks a retracement since XRP reached a peak of $0.74 in March. Since then, its value has depreciated by approximately 18.5%, attributed to a combination of factors.

此次大幅下跌標誌著 XRP 自 3 月達到 0.74 美元高峰以來的回檔。此後，由於多種因素的影響，其價值已貶值約 18.5%。

Impact of U.S. Manufacturing Data

美國製造業數據的影響

The downward trend in XRP's price aligns with broader market movements. Investors are reassessing their expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy following the release of robust U.S. manufacturing data.

XRP 價格的下跌趨勢與更廣泛的市場趨勢一致。在公佈強勁的美國製造業數據後，投資者正在重新評估對聯準會貨幣政策的預期。

The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index rose by 2.5 points to 50.3 last month, signaling a halt to a 16-month decline in manufacturing activity. This data suggests that the Fed may consider two rate cuts this year instead of the previously anticipated three.

供應管理協會 (ISM) 上個月製造業指數上升 2.5 點至 50.3，顯示製造業活動已結束 16 個月的下滑。該數據表明，聯準會今年可能考慮兩次降息，而不是先前預期的三次。

Normally, lower interest rates favor cryptocurrencies like XRP, which do not offer interest yield. However, current market dynamics indicate a waning interest in XRP, particularly among large holders known as "whales." Conversely, the number of addresses holding smaller amounts of XRP has increased.

通常，較低的利率有利於 XRP 等加密貨幣，因為它們不提供利息收益。然而，當前的市場動態表明，人們對 XRP 的興趣正在減弱，尤其是被稱為「鯨魚」的大持有者。相反，持有少量 XRP 的位址數量增加。

Market Outflows and XRP's Dominance

市場流出和 XRP 的主導地位

XRP has underperformed its major competitors in 2024, with a year-to-date performance of approximately -4.5%. The XRP Dominance Index has declined by 36.55% during the same period, reflecting a shift of capital from XRP to other cryptocurrencies.

XRP 在 2024 年的表現落後於主要競爭對手，年初至今的表現約為 -4.5%。 XRP 優勢指數同期下降了 36.55%，反映出資金從 XRP 轉向其他加密貨幣。

This outflow is partly attributed to ongoing legal issues, including the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) lawsuit against Ripple Labs, the company associated with XRP. Last week, Ripple's chief legal officer disclosed that the SEC is seeking a penalty of $2 billion against the company.

這種資金外流部分歸因於持續存在的法律問題，包括美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 對與 XRP 相關的公司 Ripple Labs 提起的訴訟。上週，Ripple 首席法律長透露，SEC 正在尋求對該公司處以 20 億美元的罰款。

Technical Analysis and Future Outlook

技術分析及未來展望

From a technical perspective, XRP's current price decline fits within an ascending triangle pattern. The cryptocurrency's potential downside target is around the triangle's lower trendline, which intersects with its 200-week exponential moving average near $0.52 by mid-April.

從技術角度來看，XRP 目前的價格下跌符合上升三角形模式。該加密貨幣的潛在下行目標位於三角形的下趨勢線附近，該趨勢線到 4 月中旬與 200 週指數移動平均線在 0.52 美元附近相交。

Alternatively, a breakout above the triangle's upper trendline could propel XRP's price to $0.74, its recent high point reached on March 11.

或者，突破三角形的上部趨勢線可能會將 XRP 的價格推至 0.74 美元，這是 3 月 11 日達到的近期高點。

The volatility and unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market make accurate price predictions challenging. However, market analysts closely monitor macroeconomic factors, market sentiment, and technical patterns to provide informed guidance.

加密貨幣市場的波動性和不可預測性使得準確的價格預測具有挑戰性。然而，市場分析師密切關注宏觀經濟因素、市場情緒和技術模式，以提供明智的指導。

Investors should exercise caution when making investment decisions and consider the inherent risks associated with cryptocurrency trading. Thorough research and a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics are crucial for informed decision-making.

投資者在做出投資決策時應謹慎行事，並考慮與加密貨幣交易相關的固有風險。徹底的研究和對市場動態的全面了解對於做出明智的決策至關重要。