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鏈上數據顯示,這些山寨幣的巨頭最近已將其供應從交易所轉移到冷錢包,這一跡象可能對其價格有利。
Whales Of These Altcoins Have Been Moving Into Self-Custody Recently
這些山寨幣的巨頭最近已經進入自我託管狀態
In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Santiment has discussed the trend in the Top Exchange/Non-Exchange Wallet Holdings for three altcoins: Polygon (MATIC), Injective (INJ), and Render (RENDER).
在X 上的一篇新文章中,鏈上分析公司Santiment 討論了三種山寨幣的頂級交易所/非交易所錢包持有量的趨勢:Polygon (MATIC)、Injective (INJ) 和Render (RENDER) 。
The “Top Exchange/Non-Exchange Wallet Holdings” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the balance of the ten largest wallets associated with centralized exchanges and that of the ten largest self-custodial addresses.
這裡的「頂級交易所/非交易所錢包持有量」是指追蹤中心化交易所關聯的十大錢包餘額與十大自架地址餘額之間的比率的指標。
The ten largest wallets of either type would naturally belong to the whales, the largest of the entities in the sector. In fact, these addresses wouldn’t be just any ordinary whales, but rather investors that are humongous even by whale standards.
無論哪種類型,前十個最大的錢包自然都會屬於該行業最大的實體鯨魚。事實上,這些地址不僅僅是普通的鯨魚,而是即使以鯨魚標準來看也是巨大的投資者。
As such, the Top Exchange/Non-Exchange Wallet Holdings tells us about how the supply held by the exchange-related mega whales compares against the ones keeping their coins in cold wallets.
因此,頂級交易所/非交易所錢包控股公司告訴我們,與交易所相關的巨型鯨魚所持有的供應量與將硬幣存放在冷錢包中的鯨魚相比如何。
Below is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in this indicator for the altcoins over the last couple of years:
下面是 Santiment 分享的圖表,顯示了過去幾年山寨幣該指標的趨勢:
As is visible in the above graph, the Top Exchange/Non-Exchange Wallet Holdings has registered sharp plunges for all three of these altcoins in the last two years, with Polygon seeing the latest one.
從上圖可以看出,在過去兩年裡,這三種山寨幣的頂級交易所/非交易所錢包控股公司都出現了大幅下跌,其中最新的是 Polygon。
The plunge in question had come for MATIC on the 9th of this month, with the mega whales moving a pretty significant amount to self-custody. In the days since then, the indicator has continued to decline for the altcoin, although the scale of the drawdown has been nowhere near what was witnessed during the aforementioned plummet.
MATIC 的暴跌發生在本月 9 日,巨型鯨魚將相當多的資金轉向自我託管。從那以後的幾天裡,山寨幣的指標繼續下降,儘管下降的規模遠不及上述暴跌期間所見證的情況。
Render’s mega whales made a massive transfer towards cold wallets back on the 21st of July, and the ratio has since maintained at low levels. INJ’s plunge was much earlier, back on August 21st of last year, but the large hands have continued to gradually offload more supply from exchanges since then.
Render 的巨鯨早在 7 月 21 日就向冷錢包進行了大規模轉移,此後這一比例一直保持在較低水平。 INJ 的暴跌要早得多,早在去年 8 月 21 日,但自那以後,大手們繼續逐漸從交易所拋售更多供應。
Generally, investors keep their coins in the custody of exchanges whenever they plan to participate in trading activities in the near term. Thus, the exchange supply of any asset may be considered as a reflection of its potential sell supply.
一般來說,投資者在近期計劃參與交易活動時,都會將幣存放在交易所託管。因此,任何資產的交易供應量都可以被視為其潛在賣出供應量的反映。
In this view, the shift that the mega whales of these altcoins have shown towards self-custody can be a bullish sign. The indicator may be to monitor in the near future, however, as any reversals would imply that the mega whales want to sell again and, hence, that a bearish outcome may be waiting for the coins instead.
從這種觀點來看,這些山寨幣的巨鯨轉向自我託管可能是一個看漲訊號。然而,該指標可能會在不久的將來受到監控,因為任何逆轉都意味著巨鯨想要再次拋售,因此,看跌的結果可能會等待代幣。
Render Price
渲染價格
At the time of writing, Render is floating around $4.8, down 8% over the past week.
截至撰寫本文時,Render 價格約為 4.8 美元,較過去一周下跌 8%。
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