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過去幾天比特幣 (BTC) 經歷了動盪,自 9 月 29 日以來,這種領先的加密貨幣下跌了約 8%。
Bitcoin price dropped below $62,000 on Wednesday, September 29, as the cryptocurrency faced selling pressure following a rally that saw BTC price reach highs of $66,200 late last week.
9 月 29 日星期三,比特幣價格跌破 62,000 美元,因為在上週晚些時候 BTC 價格上漲至 66,200 美元高位後,該加密貨幣面臨拋售壓力。
However, on-chain data shows that this dip is being used by whales to accumulate more Bitcoin, with recent analysis indicating that large addresses have scooped up over 50,000 BTC in just ten days.
然而,鏈上數據顯示,鯨魚正在利用這種下跌來累積更多的比特幣,最近的分析表明,大型地址在短短十天內就已經囤積了超過 50,000 個比特幣。
According to data from Glassnode, this buying spree began around September 18, coinciding with a market downturn that followed Bitcoin’s peak at $66,200 on September 27.
根據 Glassnode 的數據,這次購買熱潮始於 9 月 18 日左右,恰逢比特幣 9 月 27 日觸及 66,200 美元高峰後的市場低迷。
Since then, BTC price has experienced a downturn of roughly 8%, while major investors have taken advantage of the lower prices to accumulate more of the leading cryptocurrency.
此後,BTC 價格下跌了約 8%,而主要投資者則利用價格較低的機會累積了更多領先的加密貨幣。
As of Wednesday, September 29, large addresses now hold a total of 13.1 million BTC, marking an increase of 0.38% in just ten days.
截至 9 月 29 日星期三,大地址目前總共持有 1,310 萬 BTC,短短十天內增加了 0.38%。
Meanwhile, smaller addresses, defined as those holding less than 1,000 BTC, have seen a collective decrease in their holdings over the same period.
同時,較小的地址(即持有少於 1,000 BTC 的地址)的持有量在同一時期集體減少。
This trend suggests that smaller investors are selling their BTC holdings to realize profits or to cover losses amid the recent price correction.
這一趨勢表明,在最近的價格調整中,較小的投資者正在出售其持有的比特幣以實現利潤或彌補損失。
Overall, on-chain data indicates that whales are capitalizing on the market downturn to increase their Bitcoin holdings, while smaller investors are largely selling amid the price correction.
總體而言,鏈上數據表明,鯨魚正在利用市場低迷來增加比特幣持有量,而較小的投資者在價格調整期間大多拋售比特幣。
As reported, crypto exchange Binance saw a net outflow of 20,000 BTC on Monday, September 27, which could be linked to investors moving their BTC holdings to other wallets or exchanges.
據報道,加密貨幣交易所幣安在 9 月 27 日星期一出現了 20,000 BTC 的淨流出,這可能與投資者將其持有的 BTC 轉移到其他錢包或交易所有關。
However, on Tuesday, September 28, crypto analytics firm 10x Research suggested that this recent pullback was a natural correction after Bitcoin was overbought.
然而,9 月 28 日星期二,加密貨幣分析公司 10x Research 表示,最近的回檔是比特幣超買後的自然回調。
“The crypto market is undergoing some significant shifts. While short-term concerns have been evident, larger trends may soon overshadow them,” the analysts wrote in a tweet.
「加密貨幣市場正在經歷一些重大轉變。雖然短期擔憂已經很明顯,但更大的趨勢可能很快就會掩蓋它們,」分析師在推文中寫道。
“We’ve held a bullish view for the past three weeks, capturing the rally from $54,000. Although BTC has yet to break through the downtrend, we believe it’s only a matter of time before it does.”
「過去三週我們一直持看漲觀點,捕捉到了 54,000 美元的反彈。儘管BTC尚未突破下跌趨勢,但我們相信突破只是時間問題。
Other analysts also maintain a bullish outlook for Bitcoin as it heads into the year’s final quarter. Some, like Swyftx analyst Pav Hundal, believe that a return to an all-time high (ATH) of around $100,000 is feasible but hinges on favorable market conditions.
隨著比特幣進入今年最後一個季度,其他分析師也維持對比特幣的看漲前景。 Swyftx 分析師 Pav Hundal 等一些人認為,回到 10 萬美元左右的歷史高點 (ATH) 是可行的,但取決於有利的市場條件。
Hundal noted that a more realistic target could be within the $75,000-$80,000 range by Christmas, especially if BTC breaks above the $70,000 mark.
Hundal 指出,更現實的目標可能是在聖誕節之前在 75,000 美元至 80,000 美元範圍內,特別是如果 BTC 突破 70,000 美元大關的話。
“If we do get a strong breakout above $70,000, I think we’ll quickly move into the mid-$70,000s, and then who knows from there. Maybe we’ll finally reach the much-anticipated seven-figure ATH before the year is out,” he said.
「如果我們確實強勁突破 70,000 美元,我認為我們很快就會進入 70,000 美元左右,然後誰知道會怎樣。也許我們最終會在年底前達到備受期待的七位數 ATH,」他說。
“Personally, I think a more realistic target for BTC before Christmas would be around the $75,000 to $80,000 range, which would still be an incredible return for anyone who bought the recent dip.”
「就我個人而言,我認為聖誕節前BTC 更現實的目標將是在75,000 美元至80,000 美元範圍內,對於任何最近逢低買入的人來說,這仍然是一個令人難以置信的回報。
Historical data further supports this optimism, indicating that October is typically a strong month for Bitcoin, with an average historical increase of around 23%.
歷史數據進一步支持了這種樂觀情緒,顯示 10 月通常是比特幣的強勁月份,歷史平均漲幅約為 23%。
“Historically, BTC kicks off a parabolic bull run every October following the halving,” veteran crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted in a tweet on Tuesday.
資深加密貨幣分析師阿里馬丁內斯 (Ali Martinez) 週二在推文中指出:“從歷史上看,比特幣每年 10 月減半後都會引發拋物線牛市。”
“After the March 2020 COVID bottom, BTC rose 2,450% to a new ATH. Post-March 2024 halving, October could set the stage for the final leg up.”
「在 2020 年 3 月的新冠疫情觸底之後,BTC 上漲了 2,450%,達到新的 ATH。 2024 年 3 月減半後,10 月可能為最後的上漲奠定基礎。
However, veteran analyst Peter Brandt cautioned that the recent rally has not disrupted Bitcoin’s ongoing pattern of lower highs and lower lows.
然而,資深分析師彼得布蘭特警告說,最近的反彈並沒有擾亂比特幣持續的高點走低和低點走低的模式。
“The recent rally in Bitcoin did NOT disturb the 7-month sequence of lower highs and lower lows. BTC Only a close above 71,000 confirmed by a new ATH will indicate that the trend from the Nov 2022 low remains in force,” he tweeted.
「比特幣最近的上漲並沒有擾亂 7 個月來不斷降低的高點和更低的低點的序列。 BTC 只有收盤價高於 71,000 點並被新的 ATH 確認才表明 2022 年 11 月低點的趨勢仍然有效,」他在推特上寫道。
Moreover, pseudonymous analyst Marty Party shared insights on the Bitcoin market, referencing an updated Wyckoff accumulation pattern.
此外,匿名分析師 Marty Party 分享了對比特幣市場的見解,並引用了更新的威科夫累積模式。
“This is the updated Bitcoin Wyckoff accumulation schematic. If BTC breaks through the $71,480 to $66,554 supply zone, I think we’ll see a collective sigh of relief and a quick move into the $77,700 to $85,000 phases,” he wrote in a recent tweet.
「這是更新後的比特幣威科夫累積示意圖。如果 BTC 突破 71,480 美元至 66,554 美元的供應區域,我認為我們會看到大家集體鬆一口氣,並迅速進入 77,700 美元至 85,000 美元的階段,」他在最近的一條推文中寫道。
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