創投巨頭 Tim Draper 預測比特幣將達到 1,000 萬美元

以早期投資 Skype 和特斯拉而聞名的創投家 Tim Draper 大膽預測比特幣可能達到 1000 萬美元。這是基於這樣的想法：廣泛採用和美元疲軟將推動價格上漲。 Draper 先前曾準確預測該加密貨幣將突破 10,000 美元大關，但他的 2022 年目標價 25 萬美元卻沒有實現。然而，他對比特幣的未來仍然持樂觀態度，認為它有潛力成為一種普遍接受的支付方式。專家們對於如此高的價格目標的可能性仍然存在分歧，一些人指出最近的減半事件和 BTC ETF 的批准是積極的信號，而另一些人則將監管障礙和可擴展性問題視為挑戰。

Venture Capitalist Tim Draper Raises Eyebrows with Astounding Bitcoin Prediction

創投家 Tim Draper 令人震驚的比特幣預測令人驚訝

In a recent interview, seasoned venture capitalist Tim Draper, renowned for his early investments in Skype and Tesla, has ignited controversy with his audacious prediction for the future of Bitcoin, the world's most prominent cryptocurrency. Draper boldly asserts that Bitcoin's value could skyrocket to a mind-boggling $10 million, driven by widespread adoption and a declining US dollar.

因早期投資Skype 和特斯拉而聞名的經驗豐富的創投家 Tim Draper 在最近的一次採訪中，因其對世界上最著名的加密貨幣比特幣未來的大膽預測而引發了爭議。 Draper 大膽斷言，在廣泛採用和美元貶值的推動下，比特幣的價值可能飆升至令人難以置信的 1000 萬美元。

"Today, $250,000 or a million, or $2 million, or even $10 million are the numbers that are likely to occur," Draper declared.

「今天，25 萬美元、100 萬美元、200 萬美元、甚至 1000 萬美元都是可能發生的數字，」德雷珀宣稱。

This is not Draper's first foray into making bold predictions about Bitcoin. In 2017, he accurately forecasted that the cryptocurrency would surpass the $10,000 mark. However, his 2022 price target of $250,000 proved to be overly optimistic, with Draper himself acknowledging regulatory hurdles and sluggish mainstream adoption as contributing factors.

這並不是德雷珀第一次對比特幣做出大膽的預測。 2017年，他準確預測加密貨幣將突破1萬美元大關。然而，他的 2022 年 25 萬美元目標價被證明過於樂觀，Draper 本人也承認監管障礙和主流採用緩慢是促成因素。

"I believe my hubris got the better of me at that time," Draper admitted.

「我相信當時我的傲慢戰勝了我，」德雷珀承認。

Draper's current prediction hinges on a vision of the future where Bitcoin transcends its niche following and becomes a universally accepted form of payment. He envisions a world where groceries, clothing purchases, and even tax obligations are settled in Bitcoin, rendering traditional currencies obsolete. Such widespread adoption, Draper argues, would inevitably drive up the price due to increased demand.

德雷珀當前的預測取決於對未來的願景，即比特幣超越其利基追隨者，成為一種普遍接受的支付形式。他設想了一個雜貨、服裝購買甚至納稅義務都以比特幣結算的世界，從而使傳統貨幣變得過時。德雷珀認為，由於需求增加，如此廣泛的採用將不可避免地推高價格。

However, the realization of this utopian BTC-centric world is still a matter of debate among experts. While proponents point to the recent halving event as a potential catalyst, where the number of new Bitcoins entering circulation is halved, as a historical indicator of price surges, skeptics remain unconvinced.

然而，這個以比特幣為中心的烏托邦世界的實現仍然是專家們爭論的問題。儘管支持者指出最近的減半事件是潛在的催化劑，即進入流通的新比特幣數量減半，作為價格飆升的歷史指標，但懷疑論者仍然不相信。

The halving event is a significant milestone in the Bitcoin ecosystem, but its impact on the price is not universally agreed upon. Additionally, while the recent approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is seen as a positive sign for mainstream acceptance, skeptics argue that regulatory hurdles continue to pose challenges, with governments worldwide grappling with the integration of such a decentralized currency into their financial systems.

減半事件是比特幣生態系統的一個重要里程碑，但其對價格的影響尚未被普遍認可。此外，雖然最近比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）的批准被視為主流接受的積極信號，但懷疑論者認為，監管障礙繼續構成挑戰，世界各國政府都在努力將這種去中心化貨幣納入其金融體系。

Furthermore, the scalability and transaction speed of Bitcoin are ongoing concerns. Critics argue that Bitcoin, in its current form, cannot handle the massive transaction volume required for widespread everyday purchases.

此外，比特幣的可擴展性和交易速度一直令人擔憂。批評者認為，目前形式的比特幣無法處理廣泛的日常購買所需的大量交易量。

Draper's $10 million prediction is undoubtedly bold and has raised eyebrows within the financial community. While his track record in identifying tech trends lends him some credibility, his bullish outlook can be seen as overly optimistic by some.

Draper 的 1000 萬美元預測無疑是大膽的，並引起了金融界的關注。雖然他在識別科技趨勢方面的記錄使他具有一定的可信度，但他的樂觀前景可能被一些人視為過於樂觀。

The future of Bitcoin, like any investment, remains uncertain. Its value will be shaped by its ability to overcome technical limitations, gain wider regulatory acceptance, and, most importantly, persuade the average consumer to embrace a string of cryptographic codes over their traditional credit cards.

與任何投資一樣，比特幣的未來仍然不確定。它的價值將取決於其克服技術限制、獲得更廣泛的監管認可以及最重要的是說服普通消費者接受一串密碼而不是傳統信用卡的能力。

Only time will tell whether Bitcoin will achieve Draper's lofty prediction of $10 million or whether it will find its place on the fringes of the investment landscape.

只有時間才能證明比特幣是否會實現 Draper 1000 萬美元的崇高預測，或者是否會在投資領域的邊緣找到自己的位置。