Uniswap (UNI) 價格預測：UNI 突破看跌三角旗，目標支撐位為 4.68 美元

Uniswap [UNI] 在過去一週面臨巨大的拋售壓力，AMBCrypto 指出價格可能下跌 30%。儘管如此，Uniswap 的 Celo 部署的交易量有所增加，凸顯了市場情緒和採用趨勢之間的對比。

Uniswap [UNI] faced significant selling pressure over the past week, with AMBCrypto noting a potential 30% price decline. Despite this, trading volumes on Uniswap’s Celo deployment have increased, highlighting a contrast between market sentiment and adoption trends.

Uniswap [UNI] 在過去一週面臨巨大的拋售壓力，AMBCrypto 指出價格可能下跌 30%。儘管如此，Uniswap 的 Celo 部署的交易量有所增加，凸顯了市場情緒和採用趨勢之間的對比。

Uniswap’s price has been consistently falling, reaching $6.6 on the 4th of November, its lowest level since October. This marked a 60% drop from its yearly peak. The upcoming U.S. elections have added to the cryptocurrency’s volatility, with traders now looking for lower support levels for stability.

Uniswap 的價格持續下跌，並於 11 月 4 日跌至 6.6 美元，為 10 月以來的最低水平。這比年度高峰下降了 60%。即將到來的美國大選加劇了加密貨幣的波動性，交易者現在正在尋求較低的支撐位以保持穩定。

Uniswap breaks bearish pennant

Uniswap 打破看跌三角旗

The technical analysis pointed to further downside for Uniswap, as it has broken below a bearish pennant formation on the daily chart. Key support at $4.68 aligned with the projected price target from the pennant pattern, marking a floor for this sell-off.

技術分析顯示 Uniswap 還會進一步下跌，因為它已跌破日線圖上的看跌三角旗形態。關鍵支撐位 4.68 美元與三角旗形態的預計價格目標一致，標誌著本次拋售的底部。

With the Stochastic RSI in the oversold territory below 20, bearish momentum appears entrenched, indicating that downward pressure may continue before a possible reversal.

由於隨機 RSI 處於 20 以下的超賣區域，看跌勢頭似乎根深蒂固，表明在可能逆轉之前下行壓力可能會持續。

The token’s movement below the 200-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) introduces the likelihood of a death cross pattern. This pattern, a signal of extended bearish trends, last appeared on the 25th of July, leading to a subsequent 40% drop. The recent break below critical moving averages reaffirms the bearish outlook.

代幣低於 200 天和 50 天指數移動平均線 (EMA) 的走勢引入了死亡交叉模式的可能性。這種形態是長期看跌趨勢的信號，最後一次出現是在 7 月 25 日，導致隨後下跌 40%。最近跌破關鍵移動平均線再次證實了看跌前景。

However, deployment on Uniswap’s Celo has seen substantial growth, with trading volumes increasing approximately 20-fold since January 2024. Weekly trading on Celo grew from $10 million to nearly $350 million, underscoring Uniswap’s traction in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space.

然而，Uniswap 的Celo 上的部署量出現了大幅增長，自2024 年1 月以來，交易量增加了約20 倍。在去中心化金融(DeFi) 領域的吸引力。

On-chain metrics show steady growth

鏈上指標顯示穩定成長

Address analysis revealed a steady increase in long-term holders, with over 360,000 addresses holding Uniswap for more than a year. This rise in holders suggested a core base of long-term investors, providing a degree of stability despite the current sell-off pressure.

位址分析顯示，長期持有者數量穩定增加，超過 36 萬個位址持有 Uniswap 超過一年。持有者數量的增加表明了長期投資者的核心基礎，儘管目前面臨拋售壓力，但仍提供了一定程度的穩定性。

Meanwhile, cruisers, or those holding between one and twelve months, have stabilized around 120,000 addresses after peaking in early 2021. Short-term traders, who typically hold for less than a month, remain a minor group, indicating that speculative interest has diminished as the market matures.

同時，巡洋艦或持有1 至12 個月的人在2021 年初達到高峰後，已穩定在120,000 個地址左右。已經減弱，因為市場成熟。

Divergence in UNI funding rates signals…

UNI 融資利率的差異顯示…

Positive funding rates, shown in green, indicate times when long positions were dominant, highlighting bullish sentiment. However, intermittent red dips below the neutral line reveal periods of negative funding, highlighting bearish pressure.

正的融資利率（以綠色顯示）顯示多頭部位占主導地位的時期，凸顯了看漲情緒。然而，中性線以下的間歇性紅跌揭示了資金負數時期，凸顯了看跌壓力。

Since late October, the funding rate has been predominantly positive, but the UNI price trend shows a consistent decline. This signaled that despite the willingness of traders to go long, the underlying market sentiment remained weak.

自10月下旬以來，資金費率一直以正為主，但UNI價格趨勢呈現持續下降。這表明儘管交易者願意做多，但潛在的市場情緒仍然疲軟。

Such a divergence between funding rates and price suggests caution among investors as the price continues its downtrend, with long positions potentially facing mounting pressure as the market corrects.

融資利率和價格之間的這種差異表明，隨著價格繼續下跌，投資者保持謹慎態度，隨著市場調整，多頭部位可能面臨越來越大的壓力。