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特朗普關稅20戰爭就在這裡,投資者緊隨市場的反應。財務分析師將當前狀況與第一次關稅戰爭進行比較
The Trump tariff war 2.0 has begun, and investors are closely following the market reactions. Financial analysts are drawing parallels between current conditions and the first tariff war during Trump’s presidency, which spanned from 2017 to 2019.
特朗普關稅2.0已經開始,投資者正在緊密遵循市場反應。在特朗普總統任期期間,財務分析師在當前狀況與第一次關稅戰爭之間取得了相似之處,在特朗普的總統任期期間,該戰爭從2017年到2019年。
Investors who navigated the crypto market during that period will recall the significant market movements, especially in Bitcoin. As the market faces uncertainty, investors are keeping a close eye on key indicators.
在此期間,在加密貨幣市場上導航的投資者將回憶起重大的市場變動,尤其是在比特幣中。由於市場面臨不確定性,投資者正在密切關注關鍵指標。
Among these indicators, the US Dollar Index (DXY) and M2 Money Supply are critical signals for market direction. Recent market trends are closely mirroring those from Trump’s first administration.
在這些指標中,美元指數(DXY)和M2貨幣供應是市場方向的關鍵信號。最近的市場趨勢緊密反映了特朗普第一屆政府的趨勢。
A chart published by ZeroHedge showcases how the DXY in 2025 is closely following its patterns from 2016.
由Zerohedge發布的圖表展示了2025年的DXY如何緊密地遵循其2016年的模式。
Investors are also wondering if Bitcoin price movements could mirror the 2017 rally. In 2025, investors saw gold prices climb 10% year-to-date. In contrast, Bitcoin prices have fallen by nearly 10% during the same period.
投資者還想知道比特幣價格變動是否可以反映2017年的拉力賽。 2025年,投資者看到黃金價格逐年上漲10%。相比之下,同一時期的比特幣價格下跌了近10%。
This shift indicates investors’ preference for safer assets amid the Trump tariff war 2.0.
這一轉變表明,在特朗普關稅2.0中,投資者偏愛更安全的資產。
On March 4, Bitcoin experienced a rapid decline, dropping nearly $2,000 in just 25 minutes. Prices moved quickly away from the resistance level at $90,000.
3月4日,比特幣迅速下降,僅在25分鐘內下降了近2,000美元。價格迅速從阻力水平轉移了90,000美元。
Such volatility, even without major news events, highlights the crypto market’s sensitivity to liquidity changes and technical levels. According to The Kobeissi Letter, similar volatility occurred during the first Trump tariff war in 2019.
即使沒有重大新聞事件,這種波動性也突出了加密貨幣市場對流動性變化和技術水平的敏感性。根據Kobeissi的信,在2019年的第一次特朗普關稅戰爭期間發生了類似的波動。
Investors who navigated volatility during that period identified bargain opportunities. For instance, when the stock market experienced a downturn in early 2019, investors recognized a buying opportunity as the market had already priced in pessimism.
在此期間駕駛波動性的投資者確定了討價還價的機會。例如,當股市在2019年初經歷低迷時,投資者承認了購買機會,因為該市場已經定價為悲觀。
At the time, reports highlighted a potential increase in Trump’s tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. This move threatened to escalate the trade war and dampen economic prospects.
當時,報導強調了特朗普對價值2000億美元中國商品的關稅可能增加。此舉可能會升級貿易戰並抑制經濟前景。
As a result, the S&P 500 futures saw a decline of 1.1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 1%. However, in a surprising turn, Trump announced a delay in the tariff hikes.
結果,標準普爾500指得期貨下降了1.1%,道瓊斯工業平均值下降了1%。然而,令人驚訝的是,特朗普宣布延遲關稅加息。
This announcement led to a rebound in both S&P 500 futures, which rose by 0.3%, and Dow futures, which gained 0.2%.
這一公告導致標準普爾500指得期貨的反彈,該期貨增長了0.3%,道dow期貨上漲了0.2%。
The term “altcoin season” is resurfacing as analysts consider possible market reactions to the Trump tariff war 2.0.
由於分析師認為可能對特朗普關稅2.0的市場反應,“ Altcoin季節”一詞正在重新鋪面。
Analyst bitcoindata21 recently noted similarities between Bitcoin’s price patterns in 2025 and the 2017 bull market.
分析師BitcoIndata21最近指出了2025年比特幣價格模式與2017年牛市之間的相似之處。
History shows that a strengthening Bitcoin market often precedes a rally in altcoins. Typically, investors rotate capital from Bitcoin into altcoins following price peaks, as witnessed in 2017.
歷史表明,加強比特幣市場通常是在山寨幣中進行集會之前的。通常,在價格峰值之後,投資者將資本從比特幣旋轉到Altcoins,如2017年所見。
A recent analysis also compared Bitcoin price movements, the US Dollar Index, and the M2 Money Supply. The analysis emphasized past market cycles, noting how a weaker dollar historically benefits crypto markets.
最近的分析還比較了比特幣價格變動,美元指數和M2貨幣供應。分析強調了過去的市場週期,並指出了較弱的美元歷史上如何使加密貨幣市場受益。
DXY recently broke below an important support level at 101.3, which could signal positive momentum for Bitcoin and altcoins. A weaker dollar usually drives investors toward alternative investments, including cryptocurrencies.
DXY最近在101.3的重要支持水平下打破,這可能標誌著比特幣和山寨幣的正勢。較弱的美元通常會驅使投資者進行替代投資,包括加密貨幣。
Market analysts are also tracking the expanding M2 Money Supply, another indicator correlated with crypto market performance. Experts anticipate that increases in the M2 supply by late March may improve liquidity conditions, impacting crypto assets.
市場分析師還在跟踪不斷擴大的M2貨幣供應,這是另一個與加密貨幣市場績效相關的指標。專家預計,到3月下旬,M2供應的增加可能會改善流動性狀況,從而影響加密資產。
The combination of a weaker dollar, tariff policies, and liquidity changes keeps investors attentive. For now, volatility remains high, and traders are closely observing short-term market signals amid broader economic uncertainty.
美元薄弱,關稅政策和流動性變化的結合使投資者的注意力使得。目前,波動率仍然很高,並且由於更廣泛的經濟不確定性,交易者正在密切觀察短期市場信號。
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