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對這一舉動可持續性的擔憂之後,事實是,儘管突破了當地升級趨勢線,但交易量並未證實這一突破。
At this time, Bitcoin is trading at a level where things might turn out ugly. Concerns regarding the sustainability of the move are followed by the fact that despite breaking above a local ascending trendline, trading volume is not confirming this breakout.
目前,比特幣的交易處於可能醜陋的水平。對這一舉動可持續性的擔憂之後,事實是,儘管突破了當地升級趨勢線,但交易量並未證實這一突破。
The bullish breakout is undercut by the declining volume trend, which also raises the possibility of a fakeout. The upper boundary of the ascending triangle was formed by a diagonal resistance line, which Bitcoin has been able to break above in recent days.
看漲的突破是由於數量下降的趨勢而減少了,這也提高了假冒產品的可能性。上升三角形的上邊界是由對角線電阻線形成的,比特幣在最近幾天能夠超越。
Still, the breakout has been accompanied by steadily declining trading activity rather than new buying interest. When volume is weak, these moves are prone to reversals and are frequently short-lived. The inability of Bitcoin to sustain momentum in spite of breaking the technical setup is the bulls' biggest worry right now. The asset may soon lose its hold on the recently claimed levels if it is unable to gain strength above the $85,000 to $86,000 range.
儘管如此,突破仍伴隨著貿易活動穩步下降,而不是新的購買利息。當體積較弱時,這些動作容易逆轉,並且經常是短暫的。儘管破壞了技術設置,但比特幣無法維持動力,這是公牛現在最大的擔憂。如果資產無法獲得85,000至86,000美元的範圍,資產可能很快就會失去最近聲稱的水平。
In these circumstances, there is a good chance that the psychological threshold of $80,000 will return. The fact that Bitcoin continues to trade below the 100 and 200 EMAs on the daily chart escalates the technical issues. The 200 EMA is currently just below at $90,000, while the 100 EMA is currently at about $90,200.
在這種情況下,有80,000美元的心理門檻很有可能會返回。比特幣繼續在每日圖表上繼續交易100和200 EMA,這一事實升級了技術問題。 200 EMA目前低於90,000美元,而100 EMA目前約為90,200美元。
There does not seem to be much more upside potential until Bitcoin overcomes these resistance levels with support from higher volume. Bitcoin traders should keep a careful eye on price action in the short term around the 100 EMA and look for indications of conviction in volume behavior. If volume does not drastically improve, the current breakout could be completely invalidated, which could force Bitcoin to retest lower support levels.
在比特幣通過較高體積的支持克服這些阻力水平之前,似乎沒有更多的上升潛力。比特幣交易者應在短期內仔細地關注100 EMA的價格行動,並尋找量表行為的信念。如果體積沒有大幅度改善,那麼當前的突破可能會完全無效,這可能會迫使比特幣重新測試較低的支撐水平。
XRP gets squeezed
XRP被擠壓
The classic squeeze situation that XRP is currently going through between its 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages indicates that the asset is about to make a significant move. With the 50 EMA below and the 100 EMA above, the asset is consolidating within a narrowing range, as can be seen on the chart. Before a breakout or breakdown, traders usually watch this technical squeeze for confirmation. Price consolidation is possible just above $2.30 as the 26 EMA seems to be serving as a short-term base of support halting additional declines.
XRP目前在50天到100天的指數移動平均值之間經歷的經典擠壓情況表明,資產將採取重大行動。在下面的50個EMA和上面的100個EMA的情況下,資產在狹窄範圍內鞏固,如圖所示。在突破或分解之前,交易者通常會觀看此技術擠壓以確認。價格合併可能超過2.30美元,因為26 EMA似乎是支持停止額外下降的短期基礎。
This level might act as the starting point for a bounce back toward the crucial resistance level around $2.70, which has traditionally acted as a roadblock to upward movement. If this barrier is successfully crossed, the way to a longer rally may become clear. But there is still a crucial disclaimer: volume.
這個水平可能是向關鍵阻力水平反彈的起點,左右是2.70美元,傳統上一直是向上移動的障礙。如果這個障礙成功地越過,那麼進入更長的集會的方式可能會變得清晰。但是仍然有一個至關重要的免責聲明:音量。
The volume profile of XRP keeps declining, which indicates that traders are becoming less active and unsure of what to do. A major move is frequently preceded by declining volume, but it can also indicate that there is not enough momentum to support any breakout attempt. The current climate implies that traders are holding off on reentering the market with conviction until they receive a clear signal.
XRP的音量概況一直在下降,這表明交易者變得越來越活躍,不確定該怎麼做。在數量下降之前,主要的舉動經常在下降之前,但也可以表明沒有足夠的動力來支持任何突破嘗試。當前的氣候意味著,交易者一直堅定地重新進入市場,直到他們收到明顯的信號為止。
XRP might return to the upper limit of the descending trendline structure if it can use the 26 EMA’s support and gain enough strength to break above the 100 EMA. A reversal and retest of the 50 EMA support could result from failing to do so. The $2.70 mark is still a significant technical and psychological obstacle. Bullish strength would be confirmed if there were a breakout above it with increasing volume. As of right now, XRP is still stuck in a squeeze zone that may determine its course in the coming weeks.
如果XRP可以使用26 EMA的支持並獲得足夠的強度以超過100 EMA,則可能會返回到下降趨勢線結構的上限。未能做到的逆轉和重新測試可能會導致50個EMA支持。 2.70美元的大關仍然是一個重要的技術和心理障礙。如果在體積增加的情況下,將證實看漲的力量在其上方突破。截至目前,XRP仍然陷入擠壓區,該區域可能在接下來的幾週內決定其路線。
Ethereum coming back
以太坊回來
Following several weeks of intense bearish pressure, Ethereum has finally recovered above the psychological threshold of $2,000, suggesting a possible turnaround. Currently trading at about $2,017, the asset is gradually bouncing back from a sharp correction that characterized a large portion of its price action in recent times. While there haven’t been any major changes in Ethereum’s fundamentals, the market dynamics towards the asset have shifted. It is possible to attribute the recent price rebound to a rebalancing of positions.
經過幾週的巨大看跌壓力,以太坊終於恢復了2,000美元的心理門檻,這表明可能發生了轉變。目前,該資產的交易價格約為2,017美元,逐漸從急劇的更正中反彈,該更正是其近來價格行動的很大一部分。儘管以太坊的基本面沒有任何重大變化,但對資產的市場動態已經發生了變化。可以將最近的價格反彈歸因於職位的重新平衡。
The market had been largely driven by short sellers, and investors had a pessimistic outlook, leading to an oversold situation for ETH as buying interest grew and short sellers scrambled to cover their positions. This contributed to setting the stage for a corrective bounce. Despite the modest recovery, the Ethereum technical setup remains rather cautious.
市場主要是由賣空者驅動的,投資者俱有悲觀的前景,隨著購買利息的增長,ETH的銷售局勢過高,而賣空者則爭先恐後地掩蓋其頭寸。這有助於為糾正彈跳奠定基礎。儘管恢復適中,但以太坊技術設置仍然相當謹慎。
The asset continues to trade below all major exponential moving averages, with the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs forming a gradual downward slope. The overall trend will continue to be bearish until ETH manages to reclaim at least the 50 EMA, which is located around the $2,400 mark. However, the recent increase in volume indicates that
該資產繼續以低於所有主要的指數移動平均值進行交易,其中50、100和200 EMA形成了逐漸向下的坡度。直到ETH設法收回至少50個EMA,總體趨勢將繼續是看跌,該EMA的位置約為2,400美元。但是,最近的數量增加表明
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