超級碗59開球和反位預測

超級碗59和酋長隊與老鷹隊幾乎迎來了我們，與往常一樣，有絕對的雪崩市場和期權可供選擇。

Super Bowl 59 is almost upon us, and as always, there is an avalanche of betting markets and options available to choose from. With things like the coin toss, Gatorade shower, national anthem and halftime show to choose from, there’s a way to enhance your excitement of the Super Bowl in nearly every facet of the game.

超級碗59幾乎落在了我們身上，與往常一樣，有很多投注市場和可供選擇的選擇。有了諸如硬幣拋棄，佳得樂淋浴，國歌和半場表演之類的事情，有一種方法可以增強您在遊戲的幾乎每個方面都對超級碗的興奮。

That even extends to the opening kickoff. Much like the coin toss and the length of the national anthem, betting on whether or not the opening kickoff will be a touchback gives bettors the opportunity to secure an early win on their Super Bowl wagers if picking correctly.

這甚至延伸到了開幕式。就像硬幣折騰和全國國歌的長度一樣，押注開場的開球是否會帶來回溯，這使貝特斯有機會在正確的選擇時獲得早期勝利的勝利。

So, yes or no — will the Super Bowl opening kickoff result in a touchback? And will there be a touchback in the game? Let’s break it all down.

那麼，是還是否 - 超級碗開場的開球會導致反位嗎？遊戲中會有反擊嗎？讓我們將其全部分解。

Find out all of our NFL picks in our Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl 59 predictions

在堪薩斯城酋長隊與費城老鷹隊超級碗59預測中找出我們所有的NFL選秀權

Super Bowl Opening Kickoff to be a Touchback Odds

超級碗開場的開球是一個反位的賠率

These are the current Super Bowl odds on the opening kickoff to be a touchback or fair catch, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook (1st) and Bet365 (2nd):

這些是Fanduel Sportsbook（第一）和Bet365（第二）（第二）的首次接球開球中目前的超級碗賠率：

As we can see, yes there will be a touchback is the current heavy favorite. The odds for this happening have become very short in recent years following tweaks to the kickoff rules in the NFL, especially now with touchbacks resulting in the ball being placed at the 30-yard line. The last time we didn’t see a Super Bowl opening kickoff be a touchback was in Chiefs vs Buccaneers in 2021.

正如我們所看到的，是的，當前的最愛是當前的theback。在調整了NFL的開球規則之後，近年來，這種情況的機率已經很短，尤其是現在的反擊，導致球被放在30碼線上。上次我們沒有看到超級碗開場的開球是2021年的首席與海盜隊。

Looking for a sportsbook to bet on the Super Bowl? Check out the best NFL betting sites, where you can earn THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS in bonus bets ahead of the big game, as well as our handy guide on how to bet on the Super Bowl

尋找一本體育書可以在超級碗上打賭嗎？查看最佳的NFL博彩網站，在大型比賽之前，您可以在其中賺取數千美元的獎金下注，以及我們方便的指南，涉及如何在超級碗上投注

Super Bowl Kickoff best bet: Yes – Opening Kickoff to result in a touchback or fair catch (-245)

超級碗開球最好的選擇：是的 - 開場開球，導致反擊或公平的收穫（-245）

Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.

出版時在Fanduel Sportsbook上可用的賠率。

In the 2024 NFL season, 64.3% of all kickoffs were touchbacks. This is down from the 73% we saw in 2023, but it is still the 2nd-highest touchback rate since the year 2000. As mentioned above, it’s understandable why this number is so high. After all, there is a much greater risk involved in returning a kickoff when you factor in things like fumbles, and it is already hard enough for the returner to even get to the 30-yard line. We’ve seen the returner stopped short plenty of times, and even when it does look like they’ve broken out on an impressive run, they’ve often only earned a handful more yards than they would’ve done if they just took a knee in the end zone.

在2024年NFL賽季，所有開球中有64.3％是反擊。這比我們在2023年看到的73％降低了，但這仍然是自2000年以來第二高的回擊率。如上所述，這是可以理解的，為什麼這個數字如此之高。畢竟，當您考慮諸如Fumbles之類的事情時，返回開球的風險更大，而且返回者甚至可以到達30碼線已經很難了。我們已經看到返回者停下了很多次，即使看起來他們在令人印象深刻的奔跑中脫穎而出，他們通常只賺了幾個院子膝蓋在末端區域。

I used to be a big supporter of the opening kickoff not being a touchback, especially when factoring in what Pat McAfee has noted in the past of that football being the hardest a kicker will face due to it only being used once and then going in the Hall of Fame. However, things have swung too heavily in favor of the kickoff being a touchback now and there is little reason for the returner to take the risk of bringing the ball out. Further, both Jake Elliott and Harrison Butker ranked in the top 10 this season in kickoff touchback percentage. There’s a lot of juice in this play but it feels like the right one.

我曾經是開場開場的大力支持者，不是一個反位，尤其是當帕特·麥卡菲（Pat McAfee）過去指出的那個足球是最困難的踢腳球員時，他才會面對一次，因為它只能被使用一次，然後才進入名人堂。但是，事情已經過分傾向於現在是一個反擊，現在沒有理由冒險將球帶出來的風險。此外，傑克·埃利奧特（Jake Elliott）和哈里森·巴特克（Harrison Butker）在本賽季的開球票房率中排名前十。這部戲中有很多果汁，但感覺就像是正確的。

Don’t miss our Super Bowl 59 Same Game Parlay picks at +1449 odds, as well as our best Chiefs player prop bets and our Eagles player prop picks

不要錯過我們的超級碗59個同一比賽的球員選秀權，以及+1449的賠率，以及我們最好的酋長球員道具投注和我們的老鷹隊球員道具選秀權

Super Bowl Touchback prediction: Yes – Will any punt result in a touchback? (+130)

超級碗的回落預測：是的 - 任何平底鍋會導致反擊嗎？ （+130）

Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.

出版時在Fanduel Sportsbook上可用的賠率。

FanDuel also has a market available posing the question of whether any punt will result in a touchback, and getting plus-money odds on there to be a touchback looks enticing. Firstly, it should be pointed out that this market does somewhat depend on how well the offenses are performing. If they’re hot then we could see very few punts which lowers our chances of cashing this bet. The Chiefs and Eagles punted only twice each in their respective Conference Championship games.

Fanduel還提供了一個市場，提出了一個問題，即是否有任何平底船會導致回溯，並且在上面贏得了誘人的賠率。首先，應該指出的是，這個市場確實取決於犯罪的表現。如果他們很熱，那麼我們可以看到很少的平底鍋降低了我們兌現這個賭注的機會。在各自的會議冠軍賽中，酋長和老鷹隊每場只打了兩次。

However, what is interesting about this is that the 2 punters going head-to-head will be Matt Araiza of the Chiefs and Braden Mann of the Eagles — the 2 men who happen to have the highest punting touchback percentage in the NFL. Araiza sees a touchback on 14.5% of his punts while Mann comes in at 13%. While each offense has been hot, they also sport plenty of fantastic pieces on defense and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this one turn into a bit of a defensive battle

但是，有趣的是，酋長的馬特·阿拉伊薩（Matt Araiza）和老鷹隊的布雷登·曼（Braden Mann）將是2個前進的下注者，這兩個男人恰好是NFL中的最高打擊反擊百分比。 Araiza看到他的平底船的14.5％，而曼恩的平均水平為13％。雖然每一次進攻都很熱，但他們也在防守上扮演很多奇妙的比賽，我不會驚訝地看到這一變成了一場防禦性的戰鬥