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由於最近在Memecoin騙局和宏觀經濟不確定性浪潮之後,投資者正在尋找更安全的數字資產投資,因此投機性的胃口正在消失。
Speculative appetite is vanishing from the crypto markets, as investors are looking for safer digital asset investments following the recent wave of memecoin scams and macroeconomic uncertainty.
由於最近在Memecoin騙局和宏觀經濟不確定性浪潮之後,投資者正在尋找更安全的數字資產投資,因此投機性的胃口正在消失。
Bitcoin’s hot supply metric, which measures the Bitcoin (BTC) aged one week or less, is down over 50%, from 5.9% at the end of November to just 2.3% on March 20, Glassnode data shows.
GlassNode數據顯示,比特幣的熱供應指標衡量了一周或更短的比特幣(BTC),比11月底的5.9%下降了50%以上,而不是3月20日的2.3%。
The metric’s decline signals an investor shift to safer investment positioning amid the recent market volatility, according to Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research.
Bitget Research首席分析師瑞安·李(Ryan Lee)表示,該指標的下降標誌著投資者在最近的市場波動中轉移了更安全的投資定位。
Bitcoin hot supply metric. Source: Glassnode
比特幣熱源指標。來源:玻璃節
Global trade tensions and fluctuating market dynamics are making investors reconsider their strategies, the analyst told Cointelegraph, adding:
分析師告訴Cointelegraph,全球貿易緊張局勢和波動的市場動態使投資者重新考慮其策略,並補充說:
“This trend isn't solely rooted in fear, it also reflects a more pragmatic approach to investing.”
“這種趨勢不僅源於恐懼,還反映了一種更務實的投資方法。”
Related: Bitcoin experiencing ‘shakeout,’ not end of 4-year cycle: Analysts
相關:比特幣經歷“搖擺”的比特幣,不是4年結束:分析師
The stablecoin supply ratio (SSR), which measures the ratio between Bitcoin and stablecoin supply, also suggests that investors are still hesitant to take on significant new positions.
衡量比特幣和Stablecoin供應之間比率的Stablecoin供應比(SSR)也表明,投資者仍然不願擔任重要的新職位。
BTC SSR ratio, 1-year chart. Source: Glassnode
BTC SSR比率,1年圖表。來源:玻璃節
The SSR ratio stood at an over four-month low of 8, last seen at the beginning of November 2024, when Bitcoin was trading at $67,000, just before the post-election rally took BTC to a new all-time high of $109,000.
SSR的比率在2024年11月初,當時比特幣的交易價格為67,000美元,在大選後的交易中,在四個月以上的8個月以上,在大選後拉力賽之前將BTC帶到了109,000美元的新高點。
Historically, SSR values below 10 are considered low, indicating that there is relatively low stablecoin buying power among investors, compared to Bitcoin’s market cap.
從歷史上看,與比特幣的市值相比,投資者之間的SSR值低於10,這表明投資者的穩定股票購買力相對較低。
The cautious crypto investor positioning aligns with the sentiment among traditional market participants, according to Enmanuel Cardozo, market analyst at Brickken real-world asset (RWA) tokenization platform.
Brickken Real-World Asset(RWA)Tokenization平台的市場分析師Enmanuel Cardozo表示,謹慎的加密投資者定位與傳統市場參與者之間的情感保持一致。
The market analyst told Cointelegraph:
市場分析師告訴Cointelegraph:
Asset performance post-Trump administration takeover. Source: Thomas Fahrer
資產績效在貿易行政後收購。資料來源:托馬斯司機
Despite the growing investor caution, Bitcoin outperformed all major global assets since US President Donald Trump’s election, including the stock market, equities, US treasuries, real estate and precious metals.
儘管投資者的警告不斷增長,但自美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的當選以來,比特幣(Bitcoin)表現出色,包括股票市場,股票,美國國債,房地產和貴金屬。
Related: Whale closes $516M 40x Bitcoin short, pockets $9.4M profit in 8 days
相關:鯨魚關閉$ 5.16億美元40倍比特幣短,口袋在8天內的利潤940萬美元
Speculative appetite is “fading” among crypto investors
投機性食慾是加密投資者的“淡出”
The cooldown in Bitcoin’s hot supply metric shows faltering speculative appetite, according to technical analyst Kyledoops, who wrote in a March 21 X post:
根據技術分析師Kyledoops的說法,比特幣熱供應指標中的冷卻性供應表明,他在3月21日X帖子中寫道:
“This means fewer fresh coins in circulation, reduced liquidity, and lower market participation,” added the analyst.
分析師補充說:“這意味著流通量減少,流動性降低和降低市場參與。”
Despite the current lack of risk appetite, analysts remain optimistic on Bitcoin’s price trajectory for the rest of 2025, with price predictions ranging from $160,000 to above $180,000.
儘管目前缺乏風險食慾,但分析師對比特幣在2025年其餘時間的價格軌跡仍然樂觀,價格預測範圍從160,000美元到180,000美元不等。
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