Solana (SOL) 現在值得買進嗎？

自 2020 年春季推出以來，Solana（CRYPTO：SOL）加密貨幣一直處於瘋狂狀態。

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) has seen wild price swings since launching in the spring of 2020. It traded for less than $1 at first, soared to $259 in the crypto boom of 2021, then fell below $10 in December 2022. More recently, Solana tagged along with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is 2024, matching the larger cryptocurrency's moves with eerie precision most of the time. On the evening of December 18, one Solana coin was worth $202.

Solana（加密貨幣：SOL）自 2020 年春季推出以來，價格波動劇烈。與比特幣（加密貨幣：BTC）一起標記的是2024 年，大多數時候都以令人毛骨悚然的精確度與更大的加密貨幣的走勢相匹配。 12 月 18 日晚，一枚 Solana 幣價值 202 美元。

That's all in the rearview mirror by now, and it's time to look forward into 2025 and beyond. Is Solana a good buy, an overvalued sell, or a reasonably priced cryptocurrency you should hold if it's already in your crypto portfolio?

現在這一切都已成為過去，是時候展望 2025 年及以後了。如果 Solana 已經在您的加密貨幣投資組合中，那麼 Solana 是一個值得買入、值得高估的賣出還是價格合理的加密貨幣？

Solana's rocky history

Solana 的坎坷歷史

The steep price swings in recent years had their reasons. When the FTX crypto-trading service broke down in a spectacular fashion, it held a significant amount of Solana tokens that became entangled in the collapse. Investors quickly lost trust in Solana, and it didn't help that the scandal was unveiled in the middle of an inflation crisis and a crypto winter.

近年來價格的劇烈波動是有原因的。當 FTX 加密貨幣交易服務以驚人的方式崩潰時，它持有大量 Solana 代幣，這些代幣陷入了崩潰。投資者很快就失去了對 Solana 的信任，而且在通膨危機和加密貨幣寒冬期間揭露這一醜聞也於事無補。

It took time to rebuild that damaged investor trust, even though the cryptocurrency itself didn't break the FTX platform. However, Solana provides valuable features that still inspired many app developers to use its in new projects. The cryptocurrency supports smart contracts like Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH), but can execute these contracts faster and with lower fees. That's one way to recover from the winter of FTX-based distrust.

儘管加密貨幣本身並沒有破壞 FTX 平台，但重建受損的投資者信任仍需要時間。然而，Solana 提供的寶貴功能仍然激勵許多應用程式開發人員在新專案中使用它。該加密貨幣支援以太坊（CRYPTO：ETH）等智能合約，但可以更快地執行這些合約並以更低的費用。這是從基於 FTX 的不信任冬天中恢復過來的一種方法。

The developer interest reached a bullish tipping point about a year ago, resulting in dramatically higher transaction volumes and usage fees. There was a brief slowdown over the summer, followed by another intense spike of Solana usage and a consistent boost to average daily transaction counts.

大約一年前，開發商的興趣達到了看漲的臨界點，導致交易量和使用費大幅上升。夏季出現了短暫的放緩，隨後 Solana 使用量再次大幅飆升，日均交易量持續增加。

In other words, people appear to have forgiven Solana for its unfortunate FTX connection and moved on to use the token in blockchain-based apps. It's a popular back-end for stablecoins and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and its quick transaction settlement makes Solana useful in everyday payment systems. You may not have seen these blockchain tools in action yet, but they are quietly growing in popularity as consumers, businesses, and regulators become more comfortable with cryptocurrencies.

換句話說，人們似乎已經原諒了 Solana 不幸的 FTX 連接，並繼續在基於區塊鏈的應用程式中使用該代幣。它是穩定幣和不可替代代幣 (NFT) 的流行後端，其快速交易結算使 Solana 在日常支付系統中非常有用。您可能還沒有看到這些區塊鏈工具的實際應用，但隨著消費者、企業和監管機構對加密貨幣越來越滿意，它們正在悄悄流行起來。

The Solana project's ambitions

Solana 專案的雄心

Often seen as a so-called "Ethereum killer," Solana can handle many projects based on smart contracts. The Solana Foundation sees the coin as an integral part of the oncoming Web3 vision, where individuals hold more power over the internet experience than social network operators.

Solana 通常被視為所謂的“以太坊殺手”，它可以處理許多基於智能合約的項目。 Solana 基金會將代幣視為即將到來的 Web3 願景不可或缺的一部分，在該願景中，個人比社交網路營運商對網路體驗擁有更多的權力。

Instead of "killing" the original smart contracts system, Solana's backers hope to win a significant portion of next-generation app designs in fierce competition with Ethereum and others.

Solana 的支持者希望在與以太坊和其他系統的激烈競爭中贏得下一代應用程式設計的很大一部分，而不是「殺死」原始的智慧合約系統。

The surging usage statistics suggest that Solana is well on its way to a long-term success story. There is no shortage of high-performance cryptocurrencies today, and even Ethereum has boosted its execution speed in recent years. Still, Solana's platform offers a proven combination of speed, security, and a collaborative developer community.

激增的使用統計數據表明 Solana 正在邁向長期成功的道路。現今不乏高性能的加密貨幣，甚至以太幣近年來也提高了其執行速度。儘管如此，Solana 的平台還是提供了經過驗證的速度、安全性和協作開發者社群的組合。

Final verdict: You may want to buy Solana right now

最終結論：您可能想立即購買 Solana

This cryptocurrency is here to stay. Solana has already built a robust user community and a very large market footprint. According to CoinMarketCap data, Solana is the sixth most valuable cryptocurrency today with a $99 billion market cap. That's comparable to household-name stocks such as coffee giant Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) or tobacco titan Altria (NYSE: MO). Not too shabby for a four-year-old project that already survived one massive value meltdown.

這種加密貨幣將繼續存在。 Solana 已經建立了強大的用戶社群和非常大的市場足跡。根據 CoinMarketCap 數據，Solana 是當今第六大最有價值的加密貨幣，市值為 990 億美元。這與咖啡巨頭星巴克（納斯達克股票代碼：SBUX）或菸草巨頭奧馳亞（NYSE：MO）等家喻戶曉的股票相當。對於一個已經經歷了一次大規模價值崩潰並倖存下來的四年前計畫來說，這並不算太破爛。

Solana's price has doubled this year, trailing behind Bitcoin in recent weeks. The main reason behind this lagging performance is that investors are stepping away from risky high-growth assets these days. The artificial intelligence (AI) boom is cooling off and economic regulators are taking steps to avoid another inflation-based panic.

Solana 的價格今年翻了一番，最近幾週落後於比特幣。業績落後的主要原因是投資者目前正在遠離高風險的高成長資產。人工智慧（AI）熱潮正在降溫，經濟監管機構正在採取措施避免另一場基於通膨的恐慌。

These are real market concerns, and current or prospective Solana investors should not ignore them. That said, the bearish attitudes shouldn't last long and many crypto investors expect leading crypto names to keep rising in 2025. At the same time, web3 ideas look more relevant every day and Solana should benefit greatly if and when that simmering vision transforms into a few killer apps.

這些都是真正的市場擔憂，當前或潛在的 Solana 投資者不應忽視它們。也就是說，看跌態度不會持續太久，許多加密貨幣投資者預計領先的加密貨幣名稱將在2025 年繼續上漲。已久的願景轉變為現實時，Solana 應該會受益匪淺。

Solana deserves your consideration these days, unless you're convinced that cryptocurrencies are inherently and hopelessly worthless. But then you probably wouldn't have read this far. So I recommend taking a closer look at Solana's technical features and its role in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Those findings may inspire you to grab a couple of Solana tokens.

如今，Solana 值得您考慮，除非您確信加密貨幣本質上毫無價值。但你可能不會讀到這裡。因此我建議仔細了解 Solana 的技術特性及其在加密貨幣生態系統中的作用。這些發現可能會激勵您購買一些 Solana 代幣。