Solana 的價格困境：雙頂暗示潛在的低迷

在市場持續低迷的情況下，Solana (SOL) 面臨著重拾 205 美元上方勢頭的挑戰。在先前的反彈之後形成雙頂形態表示可能存在修正。如果這種模式成立，SOL 可能會下跌 8.5% 至 162.3 美元，如果未能守住此支撐，則存在進一步下行風險。然而，週線圖呈現出更大的圓底形態，顯示如果買家將價格推回 205 美元上方，則有可能持續復甦。

Solana's Price Conundrum: Double-Top Formation Hints at Impending Correction

Solana 的價格難題：雙頂形態暗示即將進行調整

Amidst the ongoing market turbulence, Solana (SOL), a prominent layer 1 cryptocurrency, is valiantly battling to maintain its position above the pivotal $205 threshold. This formidable resistance has twice denied the price's recovery attempts within a three-week period, solidifying the formation of an ominous double-top pattern. This bearish configuration, emerging after an extended price surge, signals a potential for a significant correction for SOL holders in the near future.

在持續的市場動盪中，Solana (SOL) 作為一種著名的 Layer 1 加密貨幣，正在勇敢地努力維持其在 205 美元關鍵門檻之上的地位。這種強大的阻力在三週內兩次阻止了價格的復甦嘗試，鞏固了不祥的雙頂形態的形成。這種看跌配置是在價格長期飆升後出現的，預示著 SOL 持有者在不久的將來可能會大幅調整。

SOL's Ascendancy and Setback

SOL的崛起與挫折

Since its late January nadir of $80, Solana has embarked on a remarkable rally, propelling its value by a staggering 166% to reach a 27-month peak of $210. However, the upward trajectory encountered a roadblock at this resistance level, causing a lateral shift in price action amidst the broader market's consolidation phase.

自 1 月底最低點 80 美元以來，Solana 開始了驚人的上漲，將其價值推高了 166%，達到 27 個月的峰值 210 美元。然而，上行軌跡在此阻力位遇到了障礙，導致價格走勢在大盤盤整階段橫向移動。

On April 1st, SOL's price succumbed to its second reversal from the $205 barrier, triggering a plunge of 12% to trade at $179.8. This downswing, according to derivative market tracker Coinglass, resulted in liquidations amounting to $20 million across Long positions.

4 月 1 日，SOL 的價格從 205 美元關卡第二次逆轉，引發暴跌 12%，交易價格為 179.8 美元。根據衍生性商品市場追蹤機構 Coinglass 的數據，這次下跌導致多頭部位清算金額達 2,000 萬美元。

Bearish Double-Top Pattern

看跌雙頂形態

Technical analysis of the daily chart reveals that the recent reversal has created a bearish reversal pattern known as a double top. This pattern typically occurs when an asset reaches a peak, followed by a pullback and a subsequent attempt to surpass the previous high, which ultimately fails.

日線圖的技術分析表明，最近的反轉形成了一種看跌反轉模式，稱為雙頂。這種模式通常發生在資產達到高峰、隨後回調並隨後嘗試超越先前高點但最終失敗時。

If the pattern holds true, Solana's price could potentially decline by 8.5% to test the combined support of $162.3 and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. A breach of this support would intensify selling pressure, potentially driving the price down to the $136 or $111.5 support levels.

如果該模式成立，Solana 的價格可能會下跌 8.5%，以測試 162.3 美元和 23.6% 斐波那契回檔位的綜合支撐位。突破該支撐位將加劇拋售壓力，可能導致價格跌至 136 美元或 111.5 美元的支撐位。

Contrasting Indicators

對比指標

However, an examination of the weekly chart provides a contrasting perspective. SOL coin is currently navigating within a formidable rounding bottom pattern, a classic reversal formation that signifies the culmination of a downtrend and the emergence of a new bull run.

然而，對週線圖的檢視提供了一個對比的視角。 SOL 代幣目前正處於強大的圓底形態中，這是一種經典的反轉形態，標誌著下跌趨勢的頂峰和新牛市的出現。

Sustained buying pressure from investors could propel SOL to a lofty $260, as the rounding bottom pattern suggests.

正如圓底模式所表明的那樣，來自投資者的持續購買壓力可能會推動 SOL 升至 260 美元的高點。

Technical Indicators

技術指標

• Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The 20- and 50-day EMA lines remain pivotal support levels for buyers during periodic market corrections.
• Directional Movement Index (DMI): The DI+ (blue) and DI- (orange) lines are on the cusp of a bearish crossover, implying the development of an active correction trend in SOL.

In conclusion, while short-term indicators suggest a potential correction in Solana's price due to the formation of a double-top pattern, the long-term outlook remains positive, supported by the rounding bottom formation. Investors should exercise caution and monitor the market closely to navigate this volatile period and capitalize on favorable trading opportunities.

指數移動平均線(EMA)：20 日和50 日EMA 線在定期市場調整期間仍然是買家的關鍵支撐位。方向運動指數(DMI)：DI+（藍色）和DI-（橙色）線位於尖點看跌交叉，意味著 SOL 正在形成積極的修正趨勢。總之，雖然短期指標表明 Solana 的價格由於雙頂模式的形成而可能出現修正，但長期前景仍然樂觀，受到圓底形態的支撐。投資者應保持謹慎並密切關注市場，以度過這個動盪的時期並利用有利的交易機會。