SOL現場ETF最終會點燃價格上漲嗎？

關於Solana Futures ETF的談判觸發了關於下一級別的對話 - Sol Spot ETF。作者：AlokavantMedia。

Solana (SOL) has struggled to gain momentum despite the recent excitement surrounding the potential for a Solana ETF.

儘管最近對Solana ETF的潛力產生了興奮，但Solana（Sol）仍在努力獲得動力。

Top Gainers | Losers (24 Hour)

最高獲利者|失敗者（24小時）

CoinPrice24h High24h Low24h Volume (24h)

COINPRICE24H高24H低24H體積（24H）

Solana (SOL) is handling the March 2024 price movements better than most other major coins. However, even Solana has struggled to gain momentum despite the recent excitement surrounding the potential for a Solana ETF.

Solana（Sol）比大多數其他主要硬幣更好地處理2024年3月的價格變動。然而，儘管最近圍繞著溶酶ETF的潛力引起了人們的興奮，但即使索拉納也很難獲得動力。

The crypto heatmap on Tuesday, March 20, indicates that SOL has remained mostly unchanged, which begs the question of whether this news has already been priced into SOL.

3月20日星期二的加密熱圖表明，索爾仍保持不變，這引發了一個問題，即該消息是否已經被定為SOL。

Other macro uncertainty and regulation as well as competitors like Ethereum and Layer 2 projects are keeping investors from feeling too confident.

其他宏觀不確定性和監管以及以太坊和第2層項目等競爭對手也使投資者無法感到過於自信。

Will a SOL Spot ETF Finally Ignite a Price Surge?

SOL現場ETF最終會點燃價格上漲嗎？

Talks around a Solana futures ETF have triggered conversations about the next level—a SOL spot ETF. Spot ETFs, unlike futures-based ETFs, would force purchasers to buy SOL directly, creating real buying pressure to increase the price of SOL.

關於Solana Futures ETF的談判觸發了關於下一級別的對話 - Sol Spot ETF。與基於期貨的ETF不同，現場ETF將迫使購買者直接購買SOL，從而產生真正的購買壓力以提高Sol的價格。

The biggest issue, however, would be regulatory risk. Just because futures have been approved does not mean that regulators will approve spot ETFs any time soon.

但是，最大的問題將是監管風險。僅僅因為期貨已獲得批准並不意味著監管機構很快就會隨時批准ETF。

In the long run, spot ETFs could produce stability and credibility for Solana, but custody and compliance concerns could easily slow down the ETF.

從長遠來看，現場ETF可以對Solana產生穩定性和信譽，但是監護和合規性問題很容易減慢ETF。

Solana’s Future: Innovation vs. Challenges

Solana的未來：創新與挑戰

Despite the current challenges faced by Solana, it is continuing to evolve. Recently, the blockchain experienced 1 full year without a single major outage, further enhancing reliability concerns with this network.

儘管索拉納（Solana）目前面臨的挑戰仍在繼續發展。最近，區塊鏈經歷了整整1年，而沒有一次大規模停電，從而進一步提高了該網絡的可靠性問題。

Solana and an ecosystem project called Solaxy, Solana’s very first Layer 2, is another attempt to reduce issues with congestion and increase stability in scalability solutions. Solaxy will be able to clear congestion issues with on-chain transactions and create bridges with Ethereum, which seems to be the ticket for Solana to become a competitive force.

Solana和一個名為Solaxy的生態系統項目是Solana的第一層，是減少擁塞問題並提高可伸縮性解決方案穩定性的另一種嘗試。 Solaxy將能夠通過鏈交易清除擁堵問題，並用以太坊建立橋樑，這似乎是Solana成為競爭力量的門票。

As we track market fluctuations toward this, technical analysis will be key in evaluating whether SOL is going to break out of the current stagnant price movement or if is on a path to further downside or short-order selling. Now let us look at the charts to determine what’s in store for Solana.

當我們跟踪市場波動時，技術分析將是評估SOL是否會破壞當前停滯的價格變動的關鍵，還是是否正在走上進一步的下行或短期銷售的道路。現在，讓我們查看圖表，以確定Solana的商品。

Price Analysis and SOL Price Prediction

價格分析和溶膠價格預測

The trading session on 21st March started with a trading range following a slight price correction.

3月21日的交易會議始於價格稍有校正後的交易範圍。

Within the trading range, the prices are hovering between $125 and $128. At 02:15 UTC, a death cross formed pulling the prices down slightly but remain within the trading range.

在交易範圍內，價格徘徊在125美元至128美元之間。在02:15 UTC，死亡十字架形成了略微下跌，但保持在交易範圍內。

By 09:00 UTC, another death cross formed leading the price to fall to a level of $125. By 11:45 UTC, a golden cross was constructed leading to a price rise to $127.

到09:00 UTC，另一個死亡十字架形成了導致價格下跌至125美元的水平。到11:45 UTC，建造了一個金十字架，使價格上漲至127美元。

The prices continue to struggle between buy and sell-side pressure leading to prices stuck in the trading range.

買入和賣方壓力之間的價格繼續掙扎，導致價格停留在交易範圍內的價格。

Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokravantmedia published on March 22, 2025.

圖1，由Alokravantmedia分析，於2025年3月22日出版。

By 16:40 UTC, a significant buying pressure developed when a golden cross formed leading to a steep price rise in an uptrend channel. The prices continue to rise in an uptrend channel following strong bullish momentum.

到16:40 UTC，當金十字架形成導致上升趨勢渠道急劇上漲時，產生了重大的購買壓力。在強大的看漲勢頭之後，上升渠道的價格繼續上漲。

By the start of the new trading session on 22nd March, the bull run continues to dominate the market. At 08:05 UTC another golden cross formed in an uptrend channel leading the prices toward resistance level.

到3月22日的新交易會開始時，公牛奔跑繼續統治市場。在08:05 UTC，另一個在上升渠道中形成的另一個黃金十字架將價格朝著阻力水平降低。