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達到崇高1美元的Shiba Inu(Shib)的前景吸引了加密貨幣世界中許多人的想像力。
A top analyst on TradingView has shared his take on why he doesn't see Shiba Inu (SHIB) hitting $1, despite claims from other analysts.
一位頂級交易景觀分析師分析了他對為什麼其他分析師的聲稱,為什麼他沒有看到Shiba Inu(Shib)達到1美元的看法。
He shared key insights and technical analysis that raise questions about the feasibility of SHIB reaching such a lofty price target.
他分享了關鍵的見解和技術分析,這引發了有關達到如此崇高目標目標的可行性的問題。
One of the major reasons why Shiba Inu reaching $1 is highly unlikely is the resulting massive market cap, given the coin’s supply. According to the analyst, for SHIB to hit $1 per coin, its market capitalization would need to reach an astronomical $589 trillion.
鑑於硬幣的供應,Shiba Inu達到1美元的主要原因之一是由此產生的大規模市值。根據分析師的說法,要使Shib每枚硬幣達到1美元,其市值將需要達到589萬億美元的天文資本。
For context, the total market cap of gold, the most valuable asset in the world, is just $19 trillion.
就背景而言,黃金的總市值,世界上最有價值的資產,僅為19萬億美元。
Likewise, Bitcoin, the crypto market leader, has a market cap of $1.66 trillion. The analyst argues that this stark comparison illustrates how unreasonable such a target is, especially when compared to assets with more limited supply or higher utility.
同樣,加密市場領導者比特幣的市值為1.66萬億美元。分析師認為,這種鮮明的比較說明了這樣一個目標的不合理,尤其是與供應量更高或公用事業更有限的資產相比。
As a result, he emphasizes that claims of SHIB reaching $1 are misleading. In parallel, he suggests that investors look beyond these lofty and unlikely predictions.
結果,他強調說,達到1美元的濕骨的主張是誤導性的。同時,他建議投資者超越這些崇高和不太可能的預測。
Notably, projections arguing for a $1 SHIB price often point to a timeline in the future rather than a near-term expectation. For instance, Telegaon analysts, who have forecasted a $1 price for Shiba Inu, outlined a 2050 timeline.
值得注意的是,預測以1美元的價格削減價格通常會在未來的時間表上指出時間表,而不是近期期望。例如,預測Shiba Inu價格為1美元的Telegaon分析師概述了2050年的時間表。
By this time, they expect Bitcoin’s price to reach $5.2 million per coin, which would mean a $109.45 trillion market cap. Interestingly, this cap still dwarfs the $589 trillion cap for SHIB, especially if its supply doesn't decrease.
到這個時候,他們預計比特幣的價格將達到每枚硬幣520萬美元,這意味著市值為109.45萬億美元。有趣的是,此帽子仍然使5.89萬億美元的濕度蓋相比,尤其是當它的供應沒有減少時。
Bitcoin Market Impact On SHIB
比特幣市場對濕骨的影響
Before commenting on Shiba Inu’s real potential beyond speculative targets, the analyst scans the state of Bitcoin. He notes that Bitcoin is facing downward pressure with the potential for further decline.
在評論Shiba INU超出投機目標之外的真正潛力之前,分析師掃描了比特幣的狀態。他指出,比特幣正面臨著向下壓力,有可能進一步下降。
This, coupled with rising Bitcoin dominance, could hurt altcoins like SHIB, as they typically lose value when Bitcoin falls, especially during periods of high dominance. This means potential losses for Shiba Inu holders as the market reacts to Bitcoin’s fluctuations.
加上比特幣的佔優勢,這可能會傷害諸如Shib之類的山寨幣,因為它們通常在比特幣下降時失去價值,尤其是在高統治時期。這意味著由於市場對比特幣的波動做出反應,因此什巴inu持有人的潛在損失。
Should You Still Buy SHIB? Technical Breakdown
你還應該買什布嗎?技術故障
On a more technical level, the analyst identifies the formation of a double-top pattern on SHIB’s weekly chart, a bearish signal. After SHIB reached a December 2024 high of $0.00003279, it failed to break above crucial resistance and retraced to the $0.00001296 support.
從技術層面上講,分析師確定了Shib每週圖表(看跌信號)上雙頂模式的形成。在Shib達到2024年12月高度為0.00003279美元之後,它未能超過關鍵阻力,並回落至$ 0.00001296的支持。
The analyst suggests that SHIB could dip to $0.0000067 if the price falls below this key support level of $0.00001296. Indeed, Shiba Inu has lost the $0.00001296 support and has since dipped to $0.00001095, coming close to adding a zero to its value.
分析師建議,如果價格低於此關鍵支持水平為0.00001296美元,則SHIB可能會降至0.0000067美元。實際上,Shiba Inu損失了0.00001296美元的支持,此後跌至0.00001095美元,接近其價值零。
Meanwhile, the analyst makes it clear that, personally, he would never invest in Shiba Inu. Despite its adoption, he believes SHIB remains a “meme coin” with little to no real utility.
同時,分析師清楚地表明,就個人而言,他永遠不會投資於INU。儘管採用了它,但他認為Shib仍然是“模因硬幣”,幾乎沒有真正的效用。
Instead, the analyst suggests looking for low-cap coins with higher growth potential. For those still interested in trading SHIB, he recommends exiting positions below the $0.00001296 price point to minimize risk.
取而代之的是,分析師建議尋找具有較高生長潛力的低位硬幣。對於那些對交易速度感興趣的人,他建議退出低於0.00001296美元的價格點以最大程度地降低風險。
At press time, Shiba Inu is trading at $0.00001282, down 13% over the last 30 days. Its year-to-date performance is even worse, showing a massive 40% loss.
發稿時,Shiba INU的交易價格為0.00001282美元,在過去30天內下跌了13%。其年代至今的表現甚至更糟,顯示出40%的損失。
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