美國龐大的美國財政市場移動引起交易者的關注，潛在的溢出到加密貨幣

債券收益率是峰值；美元正在搖擺，交易者現在也期望進入加密貨幣市場。

Sharp moves in the US economy following President Trump’s tariff announcements have captured trader attention. Bond yields are spiking, the dollar is wobbling, and traders are now expecting a spillover into the crypto market as well.

在特朗普總統的關稅公告引起了交易者的關注之後，美國經濟的急劇搬遷。債券收益率正在飆升，美元正在搖擺，交易者現在也期望進入加密貨幣市場。

On April 2, Trump called for a blanket 10% tariff on all US imports. Although he softened his tone and stance later in the week, the message to markets was clear: global trade tensions are back on the table with China facing 125% tariffs. The announcement set off rapid selling in US Treasuries, pushing the benchmark 10-year yield up by a considerable 50 basis points within days.

4月2日，特朗普呼籲對所有進口商品徵收10％關稅。儘管他在本週晚些時候軟化了自己的語調和立場，但向市場的信息很明顯：全球貿易緊張局勢又回到了桌面上，中國面臨125％的關稅。該公告引發了美國國債的快速銷售，在幾天內將基準的10年收益率提高了50個基點。

Good luck explaining how #Trump panicked and suspended #tariffs for 90 days because the US bond market had been collapsing for 48 hours and was headed towards catastrophe.

祝您好運，解釋了#Trump如何驚慌失措90天，因為美國債券市場已經崩潰了48小時，並朝著災難往返。

Half the country still think tariffs are fees paid by one government to another. #TrumpTariffs #BondMarket pic.twitter.com/33KkfyXZoW

一半的國家仍然認為關稅是一個政府向另一個政府支付的費用。 #trumptariffs #bondmarket pic.twitter.com/33kkfyxzow

Related: Congress Puts Foot Down: Trump Signs Bill Overruling IRS on DeFi

相關：國會放下腳步：特朗普簽署法案覆蓋了國稅局

Market Reactions: Kashkari Notes Investor Pullback, Fed Holds Steady

市場反應：Kashkari指出投資者的回調，美聯儲保持穩定

This is one of the sharpest moves in recent decades. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari commented on the fallout, noting that international investors are “pulling back from US assets.” This is a sign that America’s reputation as a safe haven may be faltering.

這是近幾十年來最敏銳的舉動之一。明尼阿波利斯美聯儲主席尼爾·卡什卡里（Neel Kashkari）對此表示了評論，並指出國際投資者正在“退回美國資產”。這表明美國作為避風港的聲譽可能正在步履蹣跚。

Interestingly, the Federal Reserve has chosen to stay on the sidelines, signaling no urgency to adjust rates despite the volatility.

有趣的是，美聯儲選擇留在場上，這表明儘管有波動性，但沒有緊迫地調整費率。

Related: MAGA: Make Markets Awlible Again? Trump Delivers Historic Market Losses

相關：Maga：使市場再次震撼嗎？特朗普帶來歷史性的市場損失

A Double-Edged Sword for Crypto: Bull & Bear Cases Emerge

加密貨幣的雙刃劍：Bull＆Bear Case出現

With the US Dollar weakening and bond-yield spiking, there are two scenarios that could present itself for the crypto market:

隨著美元削弱和債券收益的峰值，有兩種情況可以為加密市場展示：

The Bullish Argument:

看漲的論點：

The Bearish View:

看跌的觀點：

Bond-Yield Soars, Market Cap Analysis and Targets

債券收益飆升，市值分析和目標

The current total crypto market cap is hovering at approximately $2.64 trillion, slightly above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level ($2.64 trillion), a crucial resistance point. Holding this level is very important.

目前的加密市政上限懸停在約2.64萬億美元，略高於0.618的斐波那契回縮水平（2.64萬億美元），這是一個重要的阻力點。保持這一水平非常重要。

Also, a break above $2.75 trillion, which aligns with the 0.786 Fib level, could signal renewed momentum and open the path to $2.85 trillion and beyond, potentially confirming the bottom.

同樣，超過2.75萬億美元的中斷，與0.786的FIB水平保持一致，可能會發出更新的動量，並為2.85萬億美元及以後的道路打開路徑，並有可能確認底部。

Meanwhile, the MACD indicator shows signs of a bullish crossover, with the histogram flipping green and momentum shifting favorably. A short-term rally could be brewing.

同時，MACD指示器顯示了看漲跨界的跡象，直方圖翻轉綠色和動量轉移有利。短期集會可能正在釀造。

However, a failure to hold current levels, particularly a drop below the 0.5 Fib level (—$2.52 trillion), could see the market revisit lower support zones near the recent cycle low of $2.3 trillion.

但是，未能保持當前水平，尤其是低於0.5 fib水平的下降（2.52萬億美元），可能會使市場重新訪問較低的支撐區域，接近最近週期的較低週期低於2.3萬億美元。

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