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SEI自達到0.73美元的峰值以來一直處於穩定的下降趨勢,形成了一個清晰的降落通道。
SEI has experienced a prolonged downtrend, testing a key demand zone that could be the final point of defense. If breached, SEI could continue to fall, aiming for the next significant support at $0.1. However, if buyers manage to defend this zone and spark a rebound, SEI has the potential to rise towards $0.4, offering a 100% return from current levels.
SEI經歷了長時間的下降趨勢,測試了一個關鍵需求區,這可能是防禦的最後一點。如果被違反,SEI可能會繼續下降,以0.1美元的價格獲得下一個重大支持。但是,如果買家設法捍衛這一區域並引發反彈,SEI有可能提高到0.4美元,從目前的水平獲得100%的回報。
On the other hand, if SEI fails to break above the $0.20-$0.22 range, it could signal another leg down, with the next support level at $0.15.
另一方面,如果SEI未能超過$ 0.20- $ 0.22的範圍,它可能會降低另一條腿,下一個支撐級別為0.15美元。
SEI Is Now Testing A Key Demand Zone
SEI現在正在測試關鍵需求區域
SEI has been on a tear since the beginning of the year, hitting a high of $0.73 in January. However, the token has since lost more than 70% of its value, falling to a low of around $0.18 in March.
SEI自今年年初以來就一直流淚,一月份達到0.73美元。但是,該令牌此後損失了其價值的70%以上,3月份跌至低於0.18美元的低點。
The token has been trading in a clear descending channel on the 4-hour chart for the past few months. This channel has provided strong resistance for any rallies, while the lower channel support has provided support for any declines.
在過去的幾個月中,該令牌一直在4小時圖表上的清晰降落頻道上進行交易。該渠道為任何集會提供了強烈的阻力,而較低的渠道支持為任何下降提供了支持。
The recent correction has also formed an extended W-X-Y-Z pattern, which is a common pattern that signals a change in trend. The wave Z low of this pattern coincides with the lower channel support at around $0.18. This region is also a key horizontal demand zone, which could provide strong support for any further declines.
最近的校正還形成了擴展的WXYZ模式,這是一種通用趨勢變化的常見模式。這種模式的波Z低於下頻道支撐,約為0.18美元。該地區也是一個關鍵的水平需求區,可以為任何進一步下降提供強有力的支持。
The Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent low of $0.18 and the high of $0.32 could provide some resistance for any rallies. The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level is at around $0.32, which is the likely ceiling for any relief rally.
最近低於0.18美元的低點和0.32美元的斐波那契回撤水平可以為任何集會提供一定的阻力。 0.786斐波那契回撤水平約為0.32美元,這是任何救濟集會的上限。
Moreover, the RSI has become oversold, which indicates that selling pressure is waning. A bullish divergence could also form on the RSI, which would signal that the downtrend is weakening.
此外,RSI已過多出售,這表明銷售壓力正在減弱。 RSI也可能形成看漲的分歧,這表明下降趨勢正在減弱。
A breakout from the descending trendline, which has been dictating price action for the past few months, would be needed to confirm a reversal in the trend.
在過去幾個月中一直在決定價格行動的下降趨勢線的突破將需要確認趨勢的逆轉。
If SEI manages to close above the $0.20-$0.22 range, it could signal the start of a new recovery wave, which has the potential to target the 0.382 or 0.5 retracement levels at $0.40 or $0.46, respectively.
如果SEI設法超過$ 0.20- $ 0.22的範圍,則可能標誌著新的恢復浪潮的開始,這有可能分別以0.40美元或0.46美元的價格針對0.382或0.5回撤水平。
If SEI is rejected at this range, it could continue to fall, testing the $0.15 level or lower, which would invalidate the reversal scenario.
如果SEI在此範圍內被拒絕,它可能會繼續下降,測試$ 0.15或更低的水平,這將使逆轉情況無效。
SEI Could Be Setting Up For A Short-Term Rally
SEI可能會為短期集會設置
In the 1-hour timeframe, SEI is still showing signs of recovery, with the structure hinting at the early stages of an impulsive recovery.
在1小時的時間範圍內,SEI仍在顯示恢復的跡象,結構暗示了衝動恢復的早期階段。
The formation of waves (i) and (ii) indicates a possible five-wave structure in progress as SEI attempts to break free from the prolonged downtrend.
波(i)和(ii)的形成表明,隨著SEI試圖擺脫延長的下降趨勢,可能正在進行五波結構。
If wave (iii) extends properly, setting a new rally towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.22, it could open the door for another leg up.
如果Wave(III)延伸得正確,則將新的集會朝向0.22美元的0.382 Fibonacci回撤水平,它可能為另一支腿打開門。
A breakout from the descending triangle would provide confirmation, sending the price towards the $0.24-$0.25 region, offering a final point of rejection for sellers. However, failure to break above this level would invalidate the impulse count and suggest further consolidation or even a return to the lower support.
降臨三角的突破將提供確認,將價格發送到0.24- $ 0.25的地區,為賣方提供了最後的拒絕點。但是,未能超出此水平將使衝動數量無效,並提出進一步的合併甚至返回較低的支持。
Key support remains at $0.175, aligning with the lows of wave (ii) and offering a buffer for buyers. If SEI breaks below this level, the bullish outlook will be invalidated, leading to further declines towards $0.15.
關鍵支持仍為0.175美元,與波浪(II)的低點保持一致,並為買家提供緩衝。如果SEI突破此水平,則看漲的前景將無效,從而進一步下降至0.15美元。
In the bullish case, if the structure holds and completes the five-wave impulse, a corrective wave (iv) retracement around $0.21-$0.22 could offer a safe place to reenter before another push higher into the $0.24-$0.26 region.
在看漲案件中,如果結構保持並完成了五波衝動,則在$ 0.21- $ 0.22左右的糾正浪潮(IV)回收率可能會提供一個安全的地方,然後再將較高的價格提高到$ 0.24- $ 0.26的地區。
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