如果美國陷入衰退？

唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的關稅及其不確定性導緻美國和其他國家的經濟衰退機率更高。

Donald Trump’s tariffs and their uncertainties have led to higher odds of a recession in the US and other countries.

唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的關稅及其不確定性導緻美國和其他國家的經濟衰退機率更高。

PIMCO analysts have boosted their recession odds to 35%, and the Atlanta FedNow tool estimates that the economy will contract in Q1. So, is it safe to hold these three altcoins – Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Binance Coin (BNB) – if the US slips into a recession?Is It Safe to Hold These 3 Altcoins if the US Moves Into a Recession?There is a high chance that the US will move into a recession this year because of Donald Trump’s tariffs. These tariffs will reduce consumer and business spending at a time when Trump is slashing government spending through Elon Musk’s DOGE department.

PIMCO分析師將衰退賠率提高到35％，亞特蘭大Fednow工具估計，經濟將在第一季度收縮。那麼，如果美國陷入經濟衰退的情況下，將這三個山寨幣（ETH），Solana（Sol）和Binance Coin（BNB）（BNB）持有安全嗎？如果美國有很大的機會，那麼如果美國有很高的機會，由於Donald Trump的優勢，美國有很高的機會闖入美國會陷入衰退嗎？這些關稅將在特朗普通過埃隆·馬斯克（Elon Musk）的總督部門削減政府支出的時候減少消費者和企業支出。

A recession is usually a good thing for risky assets as seen during the COVID-19 pandemic. That happens because the Federal Reserve usually intervenes by cutting interest rates, which boosts risky assets. Jim Cramer mentioned about this saying:“We’re most likely not going to go into a serious recession, because the Fed can take action to prevent that. And even if the Fed does nothing, the market can recover once all of this tariff stuff is behind us — and it will be behind us at some point.”

經濟衰退通常是危險資產的一件好事，如在19日大流行期間所見。之所以發生這種情況，是因為美聯儲通常通過降低利率進行干預，從而提高了風險的資產。吉姆·克萊默（Jim Cramer）提到了這句話：“我們很可能不會陷入嚴重的衰退，因為美聯儲可以採取行動來防止這種情況。即使美聯儲什麼也不做，一旦所有這些關稅都在我們身後，市場也可以恢復 - 在某個時候，它將在我們身後。”

So, will it be safe to hold Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Binance Coin (BNB) during a recession in the US?

那麼，在美國經濟衰退期間，持有以太坊（ETH），solana（sol）和二強硬幣（BNB）的安全性嗎？

Ethereum (ETH)Ethereum price has been in a strong selling spree in the past three months, moving from $4,000 to $1,800 today. Therefore, Ethereum holders are at a dilemma, wondering whether they should continue holding or sell to avoid more losses.

以太坊（ETH）以太坊價格在過去三個月中一直處於強勁的銷售狂潮中，今天從4,000美元轉移到1,800美元。因此，以太坊持有人處於困境中，想知道他們是否應該繼續持有或出售以避免更多的損失。

Technicals suggest that ETH price may have some more downside to go since the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is yet to get into the oversold level on the weekly chart. It needs to become more oversold for a rebound to happen. Also, Ethereum price has formed a triple-top pattern, pointing to further downside, meaning that it may drop to $1,500.

技術人員表明，ETH價格可能還有更多的缺點，因為相對強度指數（RSI）尚未在每週圖表上進入超售水平。反彈的發生需要變得更加超重。此外，以太坊價格已經形成了三層模式，指出了進一步的缺點，這意味著它可能會降至1,500美元。

On the positive side, a rebound may soon happen once it gets to the oversold level and once the blood moon lunar eclipse happens this week. In most periods, panic selling often leads to strong rebounds.Solana (SOL)Solana price has also crashed, partly because of the ongoing slump in the top SOL meme coins. It has crashed below the lower side of the ascending channel, meaning that bears are in control. SOL price has also dropped below the 50-week moving average. Like Ethereum, the RSI has just crossed 50, and is yet to move to the oversold level, pointing to further declines.

從積極的一面來看，一旦達到超售水平，一旦血月的月食發生，本週的血月月食就會很快發生。在大多數時期，恐慌銷售通常會導致強勁的籃板。Solana（Sol）Solana Price也崩潰了，部分原因是頂級Sol Meme Coins持續下跌。它已墜毀在上升通道的下側，這意味著熊在控制中。索爾價格也降至50週的移動平均水平。像以太坊一樣，RSI剛剛越過50，尚未提升到超售水平，指出進一步下降。

Therefore, the token may drop to $100 as the recession odds rise and the tariff fear remain. As it has done in the past, the coin will likely bounce back, and potentially retest the year-to-date high of near $300.Binance Coin (BNB)BNB price has held steady during the recent crypto crash. It has dropped just from the year-to-date high of $792 to about $600 today. The coin continues to form the handle section of the cup and handle pattern that has been forming since 2021. Measuring the cup’s depth and extrapolating it from the upper side, points to a surge to $1,100 eventually.Is It Safe to Hold These 3 Coins During a US Recession?Historical data, especially during the Covid-19 pandemic shows that cryptocurrencies do well during a recession. As such, if you hold these tokens and have taken huge losses, odds are that you will do better holding them than selling now.

因此，隨著經濟衰退的賠率上升，保稅恐懼仍然存在，代幣可能會降至100美元。正如過去所做的那樣，硬幣可能會反彈，並有可能重新測試臨近$ 300的高價。BINANCECOIN（BNB）BNB價格在最近的加密貨幣崩潰中一直保持穩定。它僅從$ 792降至今天約600美元。該硬幣繼續形成自2021年以來一直形成的杯子的手柄部分，並從2021年開始形成。測量杯子的深度並將其從上側推斷，最終降至1100美元。在美國經濟衰退期間握住這3枚硬幣是安全的嗎？在歷史數據中，尤其是在Cryptocial Shows ersectocorcies ersecorceries ers recepens secunse secuns secuns secuns secuns secuns secuns的歷史數據。因此，如果您持有這些令牌並承擔了巨大的損失，那麼您將比現在出售更好地持有它們。