RUNE Price Analysis:鯨魚拋售導致RUNE 在24 小時內暴跌15%，但長期基本面完好無損

RUNE，THORChain 的原生代幣，在截至發稿時過去24 小時內經歷了15% 的大幅下跌，這可能是由於恐慌情緒引發，此前一條大鯨魚在Kraken 上拋售。

The native token of THORChain, RUNE, faced a sharp 15% drop in the past 24 hours as of press time, a decline that could be attributed to panic following a major whale’s sell-off on Kraken.

截至發稿，THORChain 的原生代幣 RUNE 在過去 24 小時內暴跌 15%，這一下跌可能歸因於大鯨魚拋售 Kraken 後的恐慌。

As per on-chain data, the whale withdrew 2.85 million RUNE, valued at roughly $12.35 Million, and proceeded to sell a portion of it through ThorSwap for Bitcoin [BTC].

根據鏈上數據，鯨魚提取了 285 萬個 RUNE，價值約 1235 萬美元，並透過 ThorSwap 將其中一部分出售為比特幣 [BTC]。

The whale’s activity saw 9.69 BTC being withdrawn to Kraken while the remaining 2.7 million RUNE tokens were sent to Binance.

鯨魚的活動導致 9.69 BTC 被提取到 Kraken，而其餘 270 萬個 RUNE 代幣被發送到幣安。

Impact of whale sell-off on RUNE’s price

鯨魚拋售對 RUNE 價格的影響

The whale’s sell-off had an immediate impact, driving the price of RUNE down. However, it did not appear to pose a significant long-term threat to the token’s future value.

鯨魚的拋售產生了立竿見影的影響，導致 RUNE 的價格下跌。然而，它似乎並未對代幣的未來價值構成重大的長期威脅。

Being a Layer-1 Blockchain DEX with vast usability, THORChain continues to support cross-chain swaps, especially for major Layer-1 blockchains, which bodes well for its adoption potential.

作為具有廣泛可用性的 Layer-1 區塊鏈 DEX，THORChain 繼續支援跨鏈交換，特別是對於主要的 Layer-1 區塊鏈，這預示著其採用潛力。

Despite a lack of a clear signal from indicators, which often react more slowly to abrupt price shifts, the RUNE price on the 4-hour timeframe showed signs of recovering.

儘管指標缺乏明確的訊號（這些指標通常對價格突然變化的反應較慢），但 4 小時時間範圍內的 RUNE 價格顯示出復甦的跡象。

After bouncing from the $4.50 range, RUNE/USDT hinted at a recovery attempt with early buying interest. This suggests that the level could become a new support zone.

從 4.50 美元區間反彈後，RUNE/USDT 暗示有早期買盤興趣，試圖復甦。這表明該水平可能成為新的支撐區域。

After failing to maintain its support at the ascending trendline, RUNE fell below the $5 level and later stabilized around $4.50.

在未能維持上升趨勢線的支撐後，RUNE 跌破 5 美元水平，隨後穩定在 4.50 美元附近。

The MACD indicator showed a bearish crossover, confirming that bearish pressure had dominated the recent market activity.

MACD 指標顯示看跌交叉，證實看跌壓力主導了近期的市場活動。

However, recent histogram bars indicated a potential slowing down of selling momentum, which gave hope to investors for a gradual recovery in the upcoming sessions.

然而，最近的長條圖表明拋售勢頭可能放緩，這給投資者帶來了未來交易日逐步復甦的希望。

But the previous ascending trendline, which once acted as a support level, turned into resistance, and now RUNE needs to regain momentum and break above this level to signal a bullish reversal.

但之前的上升趨勢線曾經作為支撐位，現在變成了阻力位，現在RUNE需要重新獲得動力並突破該水平以發出看漲反轉的信號。

If RUNE manages to sustain a move above $5.5, it could eventually climb towards $7.30, the prior high. However, a confirmed reversal would require more buying volume and a clear breakthrough of these resistance levels.

如果 RUNE 能夠維持在 5.5 美元以上的走勢，它最終可能會攀升至之前的高點 7.30 美元。然而，確認的逆轉需要更多的買盤量和明確突破這些阻力位。

Volume and TVL

音量和 TVL

In other news, RUNE’s weekly trading volume hit a new all-time high at $78 million, indicating growing market interest despite recent volatility.

其他消息方面，RUNE 的每週交易量創下 7,800 萬美元的歷史新高，顯示儘管近期波動較大，但市場興趣仍在增長。

Moreover, the total value locked (TVL) of Bitcoin on THORChain has tripled since 2023, highlighting the increasing adoption of THORChain’s cross-chain liquidity services.

此外，自 2023 年以來，THORChain 上比特幣的總鎖定價值（TVL）增加了兩倍，突顯了 THORChain 跨鏈流動性服務的採用率越來越高。

These factors suggest that although RUNE faced short-term selling pressure, the long-term fundamentals remained intact, and future price action could benefit from renewed market confidence.

這些因素表明，儘管RUNE面臨短期拋售壓力，但長期基本面保持完好，未來的價格走勢可能會受益於市場信心的恢復。