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Ripple(XRP)價格在3月8日遇到了額外的下行壓力,在不冷不冷不熱的州結束了一周。
The price of XRP has faced difficulties in recent days, largely due to a lack of progress in the U.S. regulatory landscape. As the White House hosted a gathering of crypto executives for a discussion on digital assets, hopes for swift action on coins like XRP were dashed.
最近幾天,XRP的價格在很大程度上遇到了困難,這主要是由於美國監管景觀缺乏進展。當白宮舉辦了一批加密高管,以討論數字資產,希望對XRP等硬幣進行快速採取行動。
This had implications for the cryptocurrency markets, which saw a shift in derivatives market trends that could have implications for the near-term outlook of coins like XRP.
這對加密貨幣市場產生了影響,加密貨幣市場發生了變化的衍生品市場趨勢,這可能會對XRP等硬幣的近期前景產生影響。
What Happened: As the dust settles on the White House Crypto Summit, which saw the participation of major crypto executives, the lack of immediate regulatory clarity is continuing to weigh on altcoins.
發生了什麼:隨著塵埃落定在白宮加密峰會(Crypto Crypto)峰會(看到主要加密高管的參與)時,缺乏直接的監管清晰度正在繼續對山寨幣進行權衡。
While the event generated significant media buzz throughout the week, with confirmed attendance from Ripple (NYSE:REVL) CEO Brad Garlinghouse fueling hopes for positive developments on the regulatory front, the outcome fell short of expectations.
儘管該活動在整個星期都引起了媒體的重大嗡嗡聲,但Ripple(NYSE:REVL)首席執行官Brad Garlinghouse助長了人們對監管方面的積極發展的希望,結果沒有預期。
This lack of progress was reflected in the lukewarm price action of XRP, which experienced additional setbacks on Friday.
XRP的冷淡價格行動反映了這種缺乏進展,後者在周五遇到了額外的挫折。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped further into oversold territory, highlighting the strong selling pressure that XRP faced.
相對強度指數(RSI)進一步下降到超賣領土上,強調了XRP面臨的強大銷售壓力。
The Bollinger Bands displayed a widening pattern, indicating increased price volatility in response to the unfolding events.
布林樂隊表現出擴大的模式,表明響應不斷發展的事件而增加了價格波動。
The lower Bollinger Band provided support at the $2.30 level, which could be tested if sellers attempt to exert more pressure.
下布林樂隊在$ 2.30的水平上提供了支持,如果賣家試圖施加更大的壓力,可以對此進行測試。
The Accumulation/Distribution indicator moved into negative territory, suggesting that sellers were beginning to exert control over the price trends.
累積/分配指標轉移到負面的領域,表明賣方開始對價格趨勢施加控制權。
The implications of Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data also played a role. The U.S. NFP report showed a concerning rise in the unemployment rate, putting additional downward pressure on the markets.
非農業工資(NFP)數據的含義也起了作用。美國NFP的報告顯示,失業率上升了,給市場帶來了額外的下行壓力。
This macroeconomic factor prevented XRP from extending gains post-summit, as the lack of congressional approval for executive orders left traders pessimistic about the speed of regulatory progress.
這種宏觀經濟因素阻止了XRP擴大後的收益,因為缺乏國會批准對執行命令的批准使交易者對監管進步的速度感到悲觀。
This led to a 2% dip in the price of XRP on Friday, bringing total weekly losses to 13%. However, bulls staged a mild recovery, pushing the price of XRP up by 2% to reach the $2.47 level by Saturday.
這導致周五XRP的價格下跌了2%,每週的總損失達到13%。然而,公牛隊的溫和恢復率上升,到週六,XRP的價格提高了2%,達到2.47美元。
The majority of short traders had positioned for a much deeper correction on Friday, but key derivatives market metrics suggest that these traders are adjusting their overleveraged positions. This could help the price of XRP to score mild gains over the weekend.
大多數短貿易商在周五進行了更深入的更正,但是主要的衍生品市場指標表明,這些交易者正在調整其過度槓杆位置。這可以幫助XRP的價格在周末得分溫和。
The data from derivatives market analytics firm Coinglass shows that trading volumes fell sharply by 45%, which is a common precursor to a shift in momentum.
來自衍生品市場分析公司Coinglass的數據表明,交易量急劇下降了45%,這是勢頭轉變的常見前體。
The volume on XRP dropped significantly as the first green candle appeared in four days. The volume contraction signals a pending shift in directional sentiment from last week's dominant bearishness.
XRP的體積顯著下降,因為第一個綠色蠟燭在四天內出現。音量收縮標誌著上週主要看跌的方向情緒的待定轉變。
In addition, the open interest fell by 6% during the day as prices rose by 2%. This indicates capital outflows from short traders closing their positions rather than new capital entering on the long side.
此外,由於價格上漲了2%,白天的開放利息下降了6%。這表明資本從短貿易商結束職位而不是長期進入的新資本中流出。
The development bodes well for a short squeeze scenario, where shorts covering positions could help to drive a gradual recovery in prices.
該開發項目在短暫的擠壓場景中表現良好,覆蓋頭寸的短褲可以幫助逐步恢復價格。
The long/short ratio is still heavily skewed in favor of longs across major exchanges. Binance XRP/USDT accounts had a long/short ratio of 3.6642, while OKX traders had a 2.71 long/short ratio.
長/短的比例仍然偏向於跨主要交流的渴望。 Binance XRP/USDT帳戶的長度/短比率為3.6642,而OKX交易者的長度為2.71/縮短。
This indicates that bullish sentiment is returning despite the broader market's inertia.
這表明儘管市場更廣泛,但看漲的情緒仍在返回。
Finally, the options market also shows signs of a shift in positioning. While options volume dropped by 73%, options open interest rose by nearly 19%.
最後,期權市場還顯示了定位變化的跡象。雖然期權量下降了73%,但期權開放興趣上漲了近19%。
This suggests that traders are adjusting their positions rather than exiting completely. The repositioning signals confidence that the $2.30 level could hold and possibly enable a move higher without any further bearish catalysts.
這表明交易者正在調整其頭寸,而不是完全退出。重新定位的信號表明,2.30美元的水平可以保持,並且可能會使移動更高,而無需任何其他看跌催化劑。
Related Link: How Interest Rates Could Impact Bitcoin Price In The Long Term
相關鏈接:利率如何長期影響比特幣價格
Why It’s Important: The prevailing derivatives data suggests that most short traders had anticipated a much larger price drop following the White House Summit.
為什麼重要的是:普遍的衍生品數據表明,大多數短交易者預計在白宮峰會之後的價格下降了更大的價格。
However, with no major post-event euphoria materializing and optimism waning due to the unfolding macroeconomic backdrop, these traders are unlikely to realize amplified gains in the near term.
但是,由於不斷發展的宏觀經濟背景,事件發生後的欣快感沒有實現和樂觀,這些交易者不太可能在短期內實現放大的收益。
Instead, the data indicates that short traders are now repositioning, which could help the price of XRP to stabilize above the $2.30 support level or even move higher towards $2.50 in the absence of any further bearish catalysts.
取而代之的是,數據表明短交易者現在正在重新定位,這可以幫助XRP的價格穩定在2.30美元的支持水平上,甚至在沒有任何其他看跌催化劑的情況下向2.50美元移動到2.50美元。
If bullish momentum continues building over the weekend, a potential retest of the $2.50 mark remains within reach, setting the stage for further upside in the coming week.
如果看漲的勢頭在周末繼續建立,那麼潛在的2.50美元大關仍在觸及的範圍內,為即將在下一周提供了進一步的上升空間。
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